By Nic Lewis
The course of the COVID-19 pandemic in Sweden is of great interest, as it is one of very few advanced nations where no lockdown order that heavily restricted people’s movements and other basic freedoms was imposed. As there has been much comment, some of it ill-informed, on how the COVID-19 epidemic has developed in Sweden, but relatively little detailed analysis published in English, it is worth exploring what their excellent publicly-available data reveal. Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
by Roland Hirsch
New technologies in mass spectrometry are advancing research in climate science
Posted in Data and observations
By Nic Lewis
Key points about the recent Nature paper by Flaxman and other Imperial College modellers
Posted in Uncategorized
by Gerald Browning
Climate model sensitivity to CO2 is heavily dependent on artificial parameterizations (e.g. clouds, convection) that are implemented in global climate models that utilize the wrong atmospheric dynamical system and excessive dissipation.
Posted in climate models
by Judith Curry
Peter Webster’s magnum opus is now published: Dynamics of the Tropical Atmosphere and Oceans.
Posted in Oceans
By Nic Lewis
Introduction
I showed in my last article that inhomogeneity within a population in the susceptibility and infectivity of individuals would reduce the herd immunity threshold, in my view probably very substantially, and that evidence from Stockholm County appeared to support that view. In this article I will first provide other evidence pointing to such population inhomogeneity being very considerable. I will then go on to consider how the overshoot of infections beyond the herd immunity threshold could be reduced. Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Posted in Week in review
by Andy West
Climate change affirmative responses to all survey questions are culturally determined, and across National Publics related to religiousity. Cultural attitudes inappropriately push climate policy.
Posted in Sociology of science
A new paper finds higher than expected CO2 fertilization inferred from leaf to global observations. The paper predicts that the Earth is going to gain nearly three times as much green matter as was predicted by the IPCC AR5.
Posted in Sensitivity & feedbacks
By Nic Lewis
Introduction
A study published in March by the COVID-19 Response Team from Imperial College (Ferguson20[1]) appears to have been largely responsible for driving government actions in the UK and, to a fair extent, in the US and some other countries. Until that report came out, the strategy of the UK government, at least, seems to have been to rely on the build up of ‘herd immunity’ to slow the growth of the epidemic and eventually cause it to peter out. Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Posted in Week in review
by Judith Curry
A few things that caught my eye this past week — climate science & policy
Posted in Week in review
Posted in Week in review
by Andy West
Explores the contrast between Allied and Core belief in the culture of climate catastrophe, and the relationships of these plus religiosity to Climate Change Activism (XR and Children’s Strikes for Climate). Post 2 of 3.
Posted in Sociology of science
By Nic Lewis
The current approach
A study by the COVID-19 Response Team from Imperial College (Ferguson et al. 2020[i]) appears to be largely responsible for driving UK government policy actions. The lockdown imposed in the UK appears, unsurprisingly, to have slowed the growth of COVID-19 infections, and may well soon lead to total active cases declining. However, it comes at huge economic and social costs, and substantial COVID-19-unrelated health costs.
Worse, the lockdown is merely a holding strategy, which offers no long term solution to the COVID-19 problem. The eventual total number of deaths for COVID-19 are not reduced relative to any less restrictive policy that likewise avoided the health system being overwhelmed. Deaths are merely spread over a longer period, assuming that eventually restrictions are lifted and people’s lives return to normal. Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
by Judith Curry
My latest roundup of articles Continue reading
Posted in Week in review
by Andy West
Probing the relationship between religiosity globally, and cultural beliefs in the narrative of imminent / certain global climate catastrophe: Post 1 of 3.
Posted in Sociology of science
by Judith Curry
On the importance of expertise from other fields for COVD19 and climate change.
Posted in Sociology of science
Posted in Uncategorized
