by Judith Curry
It’s time to declare victory against climate stupidity and move on.
Well, the definition of victory here is about as fuzzy as that for the Iran war. Here is a summary of why Climate Etc. is being euthanized:
- Major progress has been made in the climate debate and the political climate has changed
- My interests have evolved in other directions
- The logistics and cost of keeping the blog running are substantial.
State of the Climate Wars
There have been some decisive battles in the past two years, notably President Trump’s election, the DOE Climate Report, and widespread acknowledgement that RCP8.5 is an implausible emissions scenario. As a result, many news agencies have dropped or substantially reduced their climate desk, we don’t hear about climate change so much in the media (particularly as related to extreme weather events). Also, we can’t underestimate the impact of substantially reduced funding for climate-related NGOs, with USAID and other funds drying up.
The leaders of the climate alarmism movement have not conceded defeat but have done much whining, notably over President Trump and the RCP8.5 scenario. They are still trying to discredit the authors of the DOE Report. Triggered by the DOE Report, they have mostly stopped flogging the warming/extreme weather link, although there is a hardcore group that is committed to extreme event attribution as a mechanism to support litigation against fossil fuel companies. With the demise of the extreme weather link, the climate alarmists are now focused on climate “tipping points,” which simply doesn’t resonate with the public (extreme weather events were much more alarming).
But most importantly, the whole issue has lost its political relevance. During the past several months we have watched the entire world panic over loss of access to Middle Eastern oil, and major concerns raised about the need for massively more electricity to support data centers. Putting a tourniquet around our energy supply in the name of eliminating CO2 emissions is a much worse idea now than it was even a few years ago, and that seems to be widely recognized (even in Europe). Most tellingly, the World Economic Forum (WEF) has dropped climate change as an issue, now focusing on AI (and health).
We are perhaps at an inflection point; one can only hope that the climate enterprise will redirect its efforts away from flogging the CO2 climate control knob mantra and towards understanding regional climate variability, particularly as influenced by natural variability, to support efforts at reducing vulnerability to weather extremes. And figure out how to better work with nature to support our needs for food, water, energy.
JC moving on
When I was planning my retirement for Georgia Tech, I viewed Climate Etc. as a hedge against becoming bored in my retirement. Ha! Seems that it is impossible for me to become bored, too many interesting things to do and to learn about and to ponder.
After publishing my book Climate Uncertainty and Risk, and co-authoring the DOE Climate Report (I have prepared revisions to my sections, who knows when this will ever be published), I frankly don’t have much more to say on the topic of the climate wars. I have no interest in battling with the likes of Michael Mann, Andrew Dessler, et al. (does anybody still care what they have to say?)
Apart from the climate wars, I remain very interested in the fascinating and complex climate system, I erratically consume new research as I come across it (which can be pretty random sometimes). But most of climate science has become BORING . . . too much mega-modeling and politicking, and not enough thinking. In any event, I no longer have an interest in writing for the public on these topics.
My professional interests are more focused on extreme weather on timescales from hours to a year, which is the focus of my company Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN), along with decision making under uncertainty and risk science. It’s a fascinating time for weather forecasting, and CFAN is deeply immersed on the new opportunities afforded by AI. I write reports on a range of related topics, which are sent to CFAN’s clients (they are not made public). I continue to do consulting on climate-related topics, supporting litigation and developing regional, decadal scale scenarios to support risk assessment for specific client needs.
I’be been pretty quiet on twitter (I can’t bring myself to call it X) for the last several months, maybe I should step up my commentary there — I still have alot to say, and short comments responding to a paper or news item is about the right level of effort at this point.
Now that my granddaughter is in high school (yes she is very interested in science), I have been paying more attention to what is going on at the universities, which I abandoned in disgust almost a decade ago.
Personally, after a big downsize and moving into a much smaller and simpler place, Peter and I are focused on our new dog Lucy, after our previous dogs Bruno and Rosie succumbed to old age. And establishing the garden at our new place.
A peaceful life with family and friends, exploring the world and its new developments from my laptop, and having a blast with AI.
Blog logistics and costs
Climate Etc. is a really old blog in terms of blog years – since 2010. Since then, WordPress has modernized and upgraded. Hacking/security has become a growing issue. The way that Climate Etc. was originally set up is fairly obsolete. Starting in 2022, the blog started having technical issues. WordPress required new plugins for the website to operate in the way that I had been using it. Not sure how many of you noticed, but there have been 2 major blog crashes, and periodically things would stop working such as commenting.
I found a company that would trouble shoot the blog, fix as needed, deal with all the WordPress cr@p and security issues. In looking at my account, over the past 4 years there have been 19 tickets opened, for a total cost of $16K. Now, could I have found someone trustworthy and capable to take care of the blog that would have been cheaper? Maybe, but I’ve frankly just lost interest.
I have set up an account on Substack; if I am ever motivated to resume blogging, that is where I will be. I can also make extended posts on twitter (X) although that is more awkward for anything at all technical. Anything newsworthy that I write I will send to WUWT.
But frankly, beyond this current post I’m not seeing any blogging or other public writing in my future.
Eulogy
Climate Etc. isn’t dead yet, but it is in hospice, and all life support is being removed (I’m not paying any more $$ to support the blog). We’ll see how long the patches, etc. that I’ve already paid for will keep the site accessible.
An experiment that started in 2010 in the wake of ClimateGate, Climate Etc. has exceeded my wildest expectations. It has been one of the highlights of my career, and I am endlessly grateful to all of you who have participated here (especially guest bloggers) and to the new friends and colleagues that I have found from the blog. My book Climate Uncertainty and Risk is a culmination of the topics that we have explored on the blog, and is the legacy of this blog.
While writing this post, I have reminisced about the denizens and “characters” that have come and gone on this blog. An amazing cross section of people with diverse expertises from many different parts of the world.
My deepest thanks to all of the guest posters and commenters that have contributed to making Climate Etc. a vibrant, stimulating and occasionally influential place. My very best wishes to each of you.
Your words of reason were so valuable to many of us! Thank you for your service these many years, and may you and Peter enjoy Lucy and the Garden.
Thank you for all your work, Judith. Been a great ride.
Hi Judith thanks very much for your assidious focus on this important topic. You have helped me see through the propaganda and outright lies of people and the MSM in their quest to scare many people. Your scientific approach may help the science community step back from the brink of activism in pursuit of funding and restore the integrity of a once valued community.
Further I have been able to show our grandchildren not to unduly worry about this issue and take a more sceptic view of the media and alarmists.
Thanks again
Thanks Judith. Loved your research. Loved your articles. Loved your professionalism. Loved your dedication!!
I have enjoyed your work immensely and believe that you have made a massive contribution to a very important issue. I hope you feel that your efforts have been appreciated! I hope you will try to preserve major content somewhere. While I hesitate to say this, I am willing to work a few hours a day (free) to transfer selected articles to your substack.
This blog and your book have been invaluable resources, both personally and professionally. The tone and depth of discussion you were able to foster in our cynical and sound-bite driven internet age was truly remarkable. Thank you does not seem sufficient. Best of luck to you, Peter and the family.
Thank you, Judith.
I have been an Australian lurker from the very beginning and greatly benefited from your analysis. I’ve learnt a lot from you and your colleagues.
Thank you for your invaluable information during all these years. Imhave been a silent, yet avid reader.
Thanks for all you have done Dr. Curry. It was important and gave great encouragement to many.
I’m sorry to hear that. I really liked your blog. Enjoy your new challenges! You should sue the company that charged you 16k for fraud. That’s a ridiculously high amount of money. I work full-time as a WordPress developer. I know what I’m talking about.
Dr. Curry,
Thank you for all your efforts. It has been a real educational experience over the many years.
Noooooo. Judith, you can’t leave us! I have followed for many years and have enjoyed your ability to see thru the hoopla and give us the truth. Now finally the crazy people have been proved wrong and we are moving on. But at a big cost I must add. Look at all of the carbon captures etc that we have been overwhelmed with.
We will look forward to hearing from you in the future. Best of luck!
You did more than anyone to bring about the conditions that allow you to withdraw from the blogosphere. You’ve been a real trooper and basically, well, you won. Best of luck!
Thank you Dr. Curry for this blog and for your fortitude all these years!
Appreciate alll that you have accomplished!
Thank you for all the info and a valuable idea exchanges.
A big +1 for all the comments about the impact you have had on rational discourse about a complex and societally consequential topic. I have learnt so much from you and valued your objectivity and courage. Climate Etc remains an important resource for me, and I still read or re-read older posts all the time. Even if you become less active, I really hope the blog ticks over and remains important part of the knowledge base for climate science interested denizens.
One point here is that many ideas essential if mainstream views on climate change are correct make sense regardless e.g cleaner and safer alternatives to fossil fuels, reducing obscene levels of global food waste and overeating, combining conservation with careful use and restoring fish stocks. These are win-win options and make sense even if it were all a damp squib or there were a rerun of Tambora (1815-1816) or if a major food crop failed. These ideas don’t even head towards more controversial waters e.g. population policies and materialism.
Thank you for what you have done for the world. Honest voices that speak the truth and don’t succumb to politicizing science are crucial. You made a difference!
I have always valued your perspective and have quoted you and your work to dozens. I have used your work to help keep my own grand daughters from falling prey to the hype.
I continue to tilt at my own windmills and can’t quite step away yet.
Good luck
You have been a breathe of fresh air and sanity in a world where “We’re all gonna die “ from climate change and for us old enough to remember, global warming.
I have followed your journey and wish you all the best.
You’ve made tremendous contributions.
Keith Harrison
Ottawa Canada
Thanks for the great job – your work has been and will continue to be appreciated.
Merci pour tout. C’était un super blog. Très utile !
Et vous êtes très courageuse !
Dear Judith, Enjoy your garden, your pets, grandchildren and realize how grateful we have been for Climate Etc. and how fortunate Georgia Tech, your students, and all of us have been to have your wise council.
How about the geo-engineering being performed on a daily basis globally?
Dear Dr Judith Curry,
Thank you for helping us through a lo-o-ong climate bad patch where ideology trumped facts. Just a reminder, courtesy Ben Franklin regarding The Republic. ‘nice if you can keep it.’ Anything worth keeping, free speech, liberty, the pursuit of science, require cits’ constant vigilance. Up to us all not just Climate Etc.
A serf.
Awesome run. Give Lucy a pat on the head for us. Thanks.
America, and the world, desperately needs people of competency and integrity, to guide us to a world which will not destroy itself. Dr. Curry has been a stellar resource in advancing this science and technology. There are others but this is a fitting time and place to thank her for a job well done. She has defended modern society from power mad demagogues.
In all honesty, I do not have the scientific background to fully understand the nuances of her writing. So I just write, Thank you.
Yes Integrity is a key factor in all science with Judith doing her utmost to maintain that standard.
Thank you for this public service! Were I President, you would wear a Medal of Honor.
Judith … you’ve been, and will always be, one of my intellectual touchstones.
Thank you for your intelligent commentary and research. I wish you the very best in all you do. Enjoy your granddaughter!
Judith, all the best with Peter, Lucy, and your new garden.
Thank you for the blog, it educated and entertained me.
Thanks for your work to educate the people. We need heroes and whistleblowers in this world of climate propaganda.
You have been a vital representative of the best of your profession and a shining example of Richard Feynman’s coda of following the data and well established laws of physics in the formation of your opinions. I will continue to follow you on X.
Thanks for all you have done to help me better understand climate change and for giving me the ability to talk and respond intelligently to others. I will miss your insights on climate, and I agree with you. It seems some rationality has returned to this arena; we can only hope it is a contagion that will spread to other topics of thought. Best wishes and enjoy your new focus on life!
Below is an op ed I wrote that appeared in several Montana newspapers about the last time I posted on this site back in March. I had in mind this blog when I complained that the public forum was not doing justice to the issue. Navigating our way through an uncertain world requires thoughtfulness, not inflamed rhetoric. I think you, JC, agree with that, though the rhetoric was out of your control.
“Sustainability is a recognized virtue in natural resource management. The virtue of sustainability in legislation and government policy is less recognized but equally important. Businesses and individuals make plans and long-term investments based on government regulations and policy. If the rules change every few years, bad decisions are inevitable and future investment is paralyzed.
US climate policy is the poster child of policy instability. We joined and then left the Paris Climate Accords twice in the last ten years. We passed a bill subsidizing renewable energy, then returned to a policy of subsidizing only fossil fuels. Recently carbon dioxide was declared harmless by the EPA, having been considered a pollutant the previous sixteen years due to its climate impact. Is it any wonder that in countries with more policy stability, India and China for example, companies are much better positioned to benefit from the ongoing global energy transition, a transition which continues unabated? (Indecision must be contagious. I can’t decide whether to laugh or cry!)
Policy dithering has not been motivated by changes in the science. Climate science has been consistent, even while the climate itself changes. Predictions of warming made by Exxon scientists in the 1970’s describe the 2020’s pretty well, as do predictions made by academic and government scientists. The models ran slightly hot for a while, but more recently have been somewhat low. Predictions for the end of the 21st century have a lot of uncertainty, much of it from our uncertain policy response. But do we dare ignore them? We know from our premiums that insurance companies are paying attention. We know that the past winter was exceptionally mild, and that Montana farmers are concerned about our drift towards Utah’s climate.
The public forum is not doing justice to the climate issue. Far too much of the “debate” is an unproductive all-or-nothing clash between “existential threat” and “hoax”. That poor framing is no doubt responsible for all the policy flip-flopping. We should be discussing more nuanced questions. How will the new, emerging world order tackle a global problem? Will the US lead, follow, or isolate itself? At what rate should we be phasing out fossil fuels? Going too fast risks economic disruption. Going too slowly risks more severe environmental disruption. What are the best ways to incentivize fossil fuel phase-out in a capitalist democracy? Can decarbonization be successful without the inclusion of available-on-demand nuclear power? None of these are easy questions, and reasonable people can disagree.
In July of 2025, a five-member panel of prominent climate skeptics hand-picked by the current administration’s Secretary of Energy Chris Wright produced a report entitled “A Critical Review of Impacts of Greenhouse Gas Emissions on the U.S. Climate”. While this report was much criticized by mainstream scientists for a variety of reasons, Secretary Wright included the following language in his forwarding message: “Climate change is real, and it deserves attention. … Climate change is a challenge—not a catastrophe.” This is an invitation for more productive discussion. Citizens’ Climate Lobby is one nonpartisan organization seeking such a dialogue.
`
We are presently distracted by other public issues, but this one is not going away. It deserves thoughtful discussion in the election season that is getting underway, not partisan rhetoric. Candidates from all parties should be judged by their ability to analyze complex issues, as this reflects on their ability to govern effectively in a complex world. There is plenty of room between “imminent doom” and “hoax” to find common ground. That common ground could then become the basis of the sustainable climate policy we sorely need. “
It has been fun. Hope to read you on twitter.
Many thanks for all your work!!
All the best to you Judith!
Your diligence in bringing sanity to the climate chaos will never be forgotten.
Well done.
All things must come to an end!
Before the site dies, please take a few minute to ensure it gets crawled and archived by either archive.org or archive.is. The content here is worth preserving.
Your contribution has been immense in helping to expose the fact that AGW derangement is taking comfort in the belief that the Leftists of liberal Utopia can reliably produce an ideal climate by restricting the freedoms of Americans with the passage of totally arbitrary CO2 emissions laws.
Yes, let’s declare victory, all of us, and move on.
You have done great work Judith, and shown great courage. Good luck for the future.
Thanks, Judith! You have truly made a difference.
The weary warrior has heroically fought the fight.
Thank you for all you’ve taught me, Judy
Thank you for all your great work. All the best for your future.
Climate&Etc. has been tons o’ enlightenment and fun.
Thank you Judith for all your work. My wife and I have followed you for years. All you interviews and testimony before congress were great.
You’ve come to the same conclusion I have, Judy: The war is over.
The climatistas are doing their best to keep the “crisis” alive, but they’re shifted their appeal to self-interest rather than “saving” the planet. Renewables are cheaper! The nation’s energy security depends on wind! Republicans better vote for solar or they’ll lose reelection!
My latest novel that came out last week–RUN ROBBIE RUN– barely mentioned climate. It’s just not the hot button it was.
And thanks for that goes to you and others (like Steve Koonin) who were brave enough to stand up to the alleged “97 percent”. Your well-reasoned arguments about natural variability and all that we don’t know exposed the charlatans.
Congratulations on a job well done!
Sorry to see you go, but I understand. I’ve had some of the same thoughts.
One hopes that the stress caused by the loss of just 20% of global oil capacity has sharpened the understanding of how bad 100% of “carbon” gone would be.
Similarly, getting tired of WordPress constantly doing “odd things” and once again trying to force me into the “Block Editor” (I do better HTML longhand…).
And my blog, too, has drifted from “Climate stuff” to more personal interest. We’ll see how long it takes for me to follow your example ;-)
Thanks Judith! This has been a great blog to follow. I will miss It. Best wishes!
Judith – your work is deeply appreciated and was a voice of reason and sanity in a field with not a lot of balanced information. Thank you for the many years and all the best.
Thank you Judith! I greatly appreciate the balance and clarity you have brought to the climate discussion. It is right to declare victory and move on to the next topic. I know that you will bring great clarity and balance there too.
It’s been a great run, thank you for your invaluable service to science
Judith, Climate Etc. has been a very important contribution and I wish you the very best in the future. I also want to thank you for helping me with my two guest posts. I intend to continue to publish my progress in CFD. There is a new and exciting one I’m working on now that adds a volume source term to the full potential equation that brings solutions into agreement with Euler solutions. Developed by Mark Drela at MIT, this will enable us to make TRANAIR a full flight envelop CFD tool.
I certainly have been surprised again and again at what has happened over the last century. The internet has enabled everyone to have access to non-elite opinion and publish their own content. Just as the printing press led to the Reformation and the Counterreformation and the 100 years war, the internet led to the rise of Populism and changed politics forever. The rise of Trump has been a revolution too that as you point out has led to massive changes in focus and funding with perhaps his largest accomplishment being the defunding of the deep state/NGO censorship industrial complex that was the largest threat to the Constitution since WWI. The elite responded with the biggest seditious conspiracy in our history, i.e., the soft coup to remove Trump from the Presidency and/or destroy his power to limit elite corrupt power. They chose the wrong man to try to destroy and Trump 2.0 is beyond my biggest dreams a victory for freedom and a massive blow to the corrupt elite institutions since Teddy Roosevelt, who Trump resembles in so many ways.
As you point out, the climate mass hysteria event has been defunded and its media propagandists have lost public confidence and many are about to lose their jobs due to new ownership. I feel that we are at the dawn of a new era. There are still big challenges such as European censorship. I would not have believed a decade ago that Britain would be arresting people for harmless and truthful media posts. Biden’s autopen administration was almost as bad and we really dodged a bullet when Kamala Harris was defeated.
This war is not over however and we need to remain vigilant in defense of the Bill of Rights and the right of the people to use the tools of the internet.
I’ll be eagerly awaiting your work on Substack Judith. It’s a wonderful platform where some of the leaders in this battle have been working such as Matt Taibbi, Michael Schellenberger, and Alex Berensen. My very best regards for a job well done.
First, thankyou so much for your time and public presence standing up for the science we prove by measurement,not by a con-sensus of Sagans’s charlatans, paid to promote a knowing deceit for their grant reward money. They are forever damned as the liars they are, in the equally corrupt Universities they occupy, places filled with parasites publishing junk science they all agree on and most don’teven understand, made up in models to prove political calims, not test them. A disgrace to science. You stood out as a rare real scientist in these cabals of fools and liars for their dishonest rewards.
I came here late, from the energy BS, my core subject. Climate, etc. was a very useful place to find some properly thought out comment on the elements of the earth’s energy balance that I then studied from 2016 to now, having realised, as an electrical engineer/ physicist that the claims for renewables as the best way to decarbonise and improve our energy supply were absolute nonsense, and that the only thing that could do the job, unsubsidised, cheapest of all and limitless in terms of its energy source, was ignored or made unafforadable by laws designed for this purpose, when it was clearly becoming the cheapest, most sustainable, lowest cost of energy there is, fitted right on the grid without any need to mess with the grid and destabilise it, because it still made steam to generate the leccy in big heavy turbines, etc..
You asked a question early on which encapsulated the approach required to quantfy the climate system empirically, not make it up in models. Shortly afterwards I received this video made by the NBI and presented by Jorgen Peder Steffenssen, that essentially asked the same question a different way.
10 Years After…. I just finished a paper that finally explains how climate change we measure cannot be caused by the change attributed to CO2, and how the measurements show natural feedback to change must be c.10W/m2 per degree K Net negative, net of Hansen’s “amplification”. Not the modellers’ 1K per W/m2
THis is a Le Corboisier stable system, no tipping points likely from the widgy bit of AGW, even with Hansen’s overcooked amplification of water vaour GHE included. Nota problem to the real negative feedbacks.
I have answered your question, and Jorgen’s, by presenting what the real sensitivity to change is likely to be, all in, and thus how much of change is natural. Simple way to detrmine natural background, as in radaiation phsyics. It’s unsurprisingly in line with the sensitivity of the Earth to 11a Solar radiation cycles, 0.1K’ish per W/m2. Just a teaser….
I use only the empirical realities to determine the global change to any given radiative perurbation to the dynamic energy balnce that detrmines Earth’s GMST. CInatins no models.
So I believe your question is answered? At last? It only took me 10 years, line by line.
You were right, and here’s why:
The Balance of the Earth – An Empirical Quantification of the Negative Feedbacks of Earth’s Energy Balance (June 07, 2026). SSRN: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.6898238
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PS In case it helps other’s still puzzled…. I found a few fundamental realities were poorly understood because they were rarely communicated within the debate that they are fundamental to.
1. The earth’s balnce in space is highky dynamic, it s very nota staticsystem. What happens if the (Sun) lights go out? Climate control is by a dynamic energy balance, a Smore before a 122PW nuclear fusion furnace. The system has a maximum time constant of the 9 days of the hydrological cycle. What evaporates must precipitate. “Trapped” radiation from the surface scattered by GHGs gets to space in 20s or so, not exactly resisted much by the modellers’ fairy tale physics. And that resistance is getting close to its maximum, declining logarithmically.
2. The Earth can only cool by radiating EMR. EMR can only come from a Planck radiator, land, ocean, atmospheric cloud droplets, or from greenhouse gasses by photonic scattering. Not from the 99% ideal gas atmosphere.
3.Because ideal gasses can neither absorb or emit EMR. SO atmospheric Kinetic/thermal heat cannot be lost to space directly, unless it warms a solid or liquid by conduction that can then lose energy by creating Planck radiation.
4. The stored surface energy plays no part in the dynamic balance when stabilised (it really never is balanced, always trying to catch up, but just pretend). A BIG red herring. Wehre the energy enters and leaves is largely irrelevant on a planetary scale.
A small amount of energy is gained by the surface enrgy system from the 122PW of incoming EMR passing through the dynamic system to rebalnce a cooling, or is lost to space as additional LWIR radiation to balance a warming due to a positive radiative imbalnce, this small part of the total flux exchange creates an imbalance that slows the rebalancing of the system at the new equlibrium temperature. Not the new balance.
5. The stuff made up in models suggesting that the extra 7% of energy lost as latent heat from the surface is somehow unable to leave for space at the same changing rate is simply nonsense, if it leaves the surface, it must all leave for 3K, it does that as EMR on condensation, when it is radiated as Planck radiation from warmed water droplets during condensation at the colder dew point , transforming the latent heat energy released as kinetic energy to EMR. All of it.
6. The idea kinetic energy somehow morphs into EMR by exciting GHGs is modellers BS. It doesn’t happen at any significant, detectable, level under earth’s climate conditions, because it can’t, thermal energies are much lower than molecular binding energy. Modellers just assume it can, to force the energy in and out to balance and attribute all change to the tiny effect of CO2, when in fact most change is provably natural – as the geological record shusggests and the natural feedbacks confirm.
7. Models are a bad way to determine earth’s primary enrgy balance, they are bottom up collections of internal weather models that rely on modellers’ bad science guesses. More in common with doing science with entrails. Except the Moche priests were probably brighter. Modelers deny the known physics of how energy is exchanged within and without the system, to force their bogus models to deny the measured geophysical reality of natural change at scale, when all this rabbit holing is unnecessary. We don’t need no models – because the empirical reality is there to quantify the real system by applying the phsyics we know to the data we measure, top down.
8. Climate science was always a simple fraud, using models to prove a lie the measured science immediately exposes, if anyone took the trouble to take an engineering view of the Earth’s heating and ventilating. Nobody seems to have done this? Till now.
9. Models are engineered to deny the dominant natural feedback of water vapour, 6W/m2 K, to attribute all change their tiny AGW cause and make the models balance.
10. Junk science climate models simply diminish natural effects by provably false claims about how they work in nature. Their predictions are so badly and obviously wrong they should be immediately rejected in any serious field of endeavour where using such science could have negative consequences.
But they still aren’t. And this American nonsense, funnelled out of the UN by corrupt politicians in the troughs of money it creates, is still going full steam ahead in the European socialist world where the party members of the EU “New Class” are pocketing millions pa , and their lobbyist cronies billions,
the susbidy troughs filled by thelegalised crime of climate laws. Hugle costs to no public benfit, by laws passed based on blantant and contrived lies for reward, not mistakes -,the truth was always there to se, and delibertaely buried in fraulent models an fa new religious science which cannot be tested, because “testing is science denial”. Really?.
The polar vortex in the Southern Hemisphere is strong this year (as evidenced by its visible symmetry). Therefore, temperatures in Antarctica will be very low.
https://i.ibb.co/Kcsh3pvn/gfs-z50-sh-f00.png
There’s still lefties trying it on in the UK.
We had what is called a ‘red heat warning’ for the southern UK yesterday, supposedly covering the next 3 days. The BBC were trying to claim that temperatures of 39C, new records by a clear margin for any day in UK’s weather record history, would be set tomorrow and possibly Thursday.
I had my doubts yesterday evening when it started raining and when I got up this morning to take my exercise before the heat of the day arrived, the ground was still wet and the air was fresh after the rain.
Now, today, the temperature peaked at 33C and the predictions for tomorrow and Thursday have dropped by 4-5C.
This of course did not stop hundreds of schools announcing closures and people told to ‘do nothing non-essential’ out of doors for two days. Seriously?
I walked 6.5km this morning, which merely required that I took a cool shower at the end of it, went to the supermarket to stock up on groceries, fruit and vegetables (where a power outage had shut down all the fridges) and then merely stayed out of the burning sun (I’d already had an hour of less intense sunlight earlier in the day to get my Vitamin D manufacturing programme going).
And I am 61 years old, so if I can do it, I’m sure the 11-50s can do it, even if they need to wear a sunhat, put on a bit of suncream and carry a bottle of water with them if they are out of doors.
This nanny state trying to create a nation of scaredy cat incompetents still has to be overcome over here…..
Good lady, the world owes you a huge debt for both your actions in the climate wars in general, and your blog which has been endlessly fascinating, educational, and entertaining.
Best wishes on your retirement from your blog.
Your friend always,
w.
Thank you for all the great information you have provided over the years. It was great to hear another opinion and see real data. Best wishes for any future blogging you might do.
One scientist against maybe 10 000 or more… With all respect, I doubt about your credibility. Taking like you do about fossil fuel, your probably paid by then, like your orange president.
False info and slurs in a single Comment. TauDeltaSigma is everywhere these days . . . for the past 11 years, and counting.
Still waiting for your scientific sources…
When all is said and done, the ‘hockey stick’ is the smoking gun. The Left has been using fear, propaganda, practicing black arts, saying anything, demonizing all who oppose, doing whatever it takes to push a secular socialist political agenda. And, the witchdoctors of academia have been willing and material enablers in the use by their government employers of the authority of science to plunder the savings of the productive to gain political power over the people. The fundamental challenge of our time is surviving liberal fascism not AGW.
Dr. Curry, thank you for your contributions to climate science, for your integrity—and especially for keeping the climate debate centered, real! You’ve made a difference. It’s been a pleasure to have this blog forum available for all to participate in the spirited open climate science discussion (etc).
Calling out free speech here—still the USA brand—so far.
Ms. Curry, THANK YOU!!!! ….For being a voice of truth and honest research, and for the courage you have shown in the face of politically-driven hysteria. I truly wish you the very best!!! Again, THANK YOU!!! Sincerely, David H Eichen
Thank you and best wishes
Ken
Here comes the sun
Doo doo doo doo
Here comes the sun and I say
It’s alright
Little darling, it’s been a long, cold, lonely winter
Little darling, it feels like years since it’s been here
Here comes the sun
Doo doo doo doo
Here comes the sun and I say
It’s alright
Little darling, the smiles returning to the faces
Little darling, it seems like years since it’s been here
Here comes the sun
Doo doo doo doo
Here comes the sun and I say
It’s alright
Sun, sun, sun
Here it comes
~ Beatles, 26 September 1969
The silliness does continue — while hiking this weekend, a close friend worried that her camp stove was contributing greenhouse gasses. (She’s a physicist!)
China is still warmly portrayed as a Solar Powerhouse. In 2014, coal generated 4,200 terawatt-hours of its electricity; it was 5,800 in 2024 (55% of the total; statbase.org).
Citizens of WEIRD countries purchasing climate indulgences from abroad…
However, there’s good news now that hardly existed a decade ago, notably Progressives grudgingly starting to favor nuclear over impoverishment, as a way to cut down on CO2 emissions.
And, as mentioned in the original post, the loss of credibility for the RCP8.5 scenario.
Dr. Curry, you’ve done a lot to bring rationality back to the climate table. Thanks for that, and best wishes for continued success with you company and your other ventures!
Dr. Curry, I am both sad to hear this news, while at the same time I am happy for you.
Sad, because I look forward to the Climate Etc postings, from which I have learned so much, and how I’ve broadened and sharpened my thinking about Anthropogenic and Catastrophic Climate Change.
Happy, because I have been wondering for some time how a “declaration of victory” would come about, and you have answered that most satisfactorily.
Best wishes to you, Peter, and Lucy, and to whatever comes next for you.
Geoffrey Noakes
Thanks Judith. We disagree on many (most?) aspects of climate change, but your blog has been a valuable catalyst for exploring a variety of related issues. And a useful means of keeping track of some pretty bizarre ideas about climate. I guess we agree that it’s time to close up this shop. Enjoy.
It ain’t over till the fat lady sings.
Climate politics are still destroying Europe, Canada and Australia. And it is only one election away from returning to the US.
The main battle however has not even been fought. While there were some attempts, notably by Lindzen and the contribution here by Greg Goodman (https://judithcurry.com/2016/03/09/on-inappropriate-use-of-least-squares-regression), this vital issue has not been resolved.
However, I managed to..
https://greenhousedefect.com/the-holy-grail-of-ecs/regrettable-regressions-a-reanalysis
Hi Judith,
Two small things : you might be able to import your posts from this blog into substack, see here : https://gemini.google.com/share/1000fefe083c
And you were asked way too much for maintenance of the website, this is outrageous. Pro tip : claude code and other LLM can handle most of these issues like champs.
Thanks for all the excellent information over the years.
Judith, thank you for your passion to educate the educatable on climate issues. Before I read yours and John Christy’s 2014 WSJ article, which brought me here to see the debate, I only knew about the subject from Al Gore’s movie. Thank goodness for your courage in standing up to get the whole truth out along with the other very intelligent and brave people.
You may have been a “climate heretic” but only because your sole faith is in the science.
Thank you Dr. Curry for your tireless search for truth and your endless use of common sense. I have been following you on a couple platforms for over a decade. Bought and read your book when it first came out. Enjoyed your posts all along the way. Our country is a better place because of you and your collaborators. I wish you all the best. Mike
Global warming has accelerated, you know.
Indeed.
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2025GL118804
Keep worrying humanity will continue to adapt.
Rob,
Adaptation is not always easy, especially if the recent acceleration in warming persists and the warming continues to accumulate over time.
I also find Judith Curry’s declaration of victory difficult to understand. Her argument seems to rest largely on declining political and public attention to climate change, but that is not the same as demonstrating that the science linking greenhouse gases to warming is incorrect. The climate system is indifferent to public perception.
And if AGW continues and its effects become increasingly noticeable, climate change could very well regain more political prominence in the future. A temporary decline in public attention does not necessarily mean the underlying problem has gone away.
Rob, I’m not worried – you must be projecting.
During the period of the greatest warming (1950’s to prrsent), the human population has more than doubled. Humanity adaptps
Yes, Rob, population growth, leveraged by technological energy usage, is the main cause of the greatest warming in recorded history.
Sorry that comments on my telephone are of such poor quality.
But at some point, thresholds are exceeded.
Though I suppose that concern should be dismissed because it:
“…simply doesn’t resonate with the public (extreme weather events were much more alarming).”
What thresholds have been exceeded
Rob, I don’t know whether any major thresholds have already been crossed, but there are serious ones that could be crossed in the future.
One example would be a threshold beyond which parts of the Antarctic ice sheet become committed to continued retreat. This occurs when warm ocean water causes retreat of ice shelves and grounding lines. This reduces the stability of the ice sheet and allows retreat to become self reinforcing.
As warming continues, the risk of crossing such a threshold increases. The resulting sea level rise would unfold slowly over centuries to millennia, but the long term consequences become increasingly significant.
Yes, population is the principal driver of emissions. Now that previous estimates of high growth have been revised to saner levels, one wonders when the climate establishment will recognize that 9 billion emitters are not quite as many as 15 billion.
Thank you Judith.
https://www.thefirebreak.org/p/climate-etc-much-more-than-an-et
Parting is such sweet sorrow
RIP beloved Climate etc.
Written with integrity, honor and courage
Swiping aside the petty slings and arrows of lessers
With grace and honesty
You ran the good race, you fought the good fights
May the survivors form an equally fine community
Wishing Judith and family well-earned tours of relaxation and future accomplishments
I’m already missing you and the guest bloggers
Thanks for the memories
Hope to see you on X
following from the beginning to the end
Thank you for a scientific voice.
You have made a real difference and should be proud. Few of us are granted opportunities to deflect the course of events. You have achieved that with grace and dignity
Judith
You are the personification of good science, always demonstrating the highest level of integrity and an unfailing commitment to finding truth. You should be held up as the highest level of role model for those aspiring to enter your profession. May you have continued success in all of your future endeavors. Thanks for the opportunity to learn so much about climate science.
Thanks Judith and congratulations on winning the battle. Thank you as well for being one of the many few I have used to show there is no consensus. I had used WordPress too and it became far too glitchy in 2020-2021 so I dumped it as well. Thank you for all the congressional testimonies you gave. Thank you for the updates. Thank you for not folding to pressure. You’re one of the greats. Good luck to you and your future. Sounds like a good plan.
Judith, THANK YOU for your work to help break down the climate hysteria. All that I read above makes perfect sense. Enjoy life.
The academy, however, is still broken. Not only are the major universities still clinging to corporate grants, but IMO the academic journals are more like “good ol’ boy” networks. It is virtually impossible to get published if you are going against the grain in any significant way UNLESS you are already on the “good ol’ boy” list. It is very sad….
But that is a separate issue. Enjoy yourself and know that your voice made a difference.
Sorry to see you go. You have been a beacon of light in the dark maze. Enjoy your well-deserved retirement!