Category Archives: Hurricanes

Slower decay of landfalling Hurricanes in a warmer world — really?

by Frank Bosse

A recent paper published in “Nature” made some excitement in the media, see here or here.

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U.S. election discussion thread

by Judith Curry

No words.

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Don’t overhype the link between climate change and hurricanes

by Judith Curry

Doing so erodes scientific credibility — and distracts from the urgent need to shore up our vulnerability to storms’ impacts.

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‘Alarmism enforcement’ on hurricanes and global warming

by Judith Curry

I used to be concerned about ‘consensus enforcement’ on the topic of climate change.  Now I am concerned about ‘alarmism enforcement.’

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Gallery

Extremes

by Judith Curry Politics versus science in attributing extreme weather events to manmade global warming.

2019 Atlantic hurricane forecast

by Judith Curry and Jim Johnstone

CFAN predicts an active North Atlantic hurricane season season.

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Hurricanes & climate change: 21st century projections

by Judith Curry

Final installment in my series on hurricanes and climate change.

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Hurricanes & climate change: recent U.S. landfalling hurricanes

by Judith Curry

An assessment of whether any of the impacts of recent  U.S. landfalling hurricanes were exacerbated by global warming.

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Hurricanes & climate change: landfalls

by Judith Curry

Part III: is there any signal of global warming in landfalling hurricanes and their impacts?

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Hurricanes and Climate Change: Attribution

by Judith Curry

Part II:  what causes variations and changes in hurricane activity?

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Hurricanes & climate change: detection

by Judith Curry

I am preparing a new Special Report on Hurricanes and Climate Change.

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Hurricane Florence: climate dynamics context

by Judith Curry

“Impending massive hurricanes bring the best out of weather twitter and the worst out of climate twitter” – Joseph Maykut

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Long-range predictability of seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity

by Jim Johnstone and Judith Curry

Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) has identified new early precursors for seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity that involve systematic, repeating interactions among ENSO, stratospheric circulations and regional North Atlantic processes.

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Causes and predictability of the exceptionally active 2017 Atlantic hurricane season

by Jim Johnstone and Judith Curry

The good news: the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season is over.  The bad news: it was an extremely active season, with substantial damage in the U.S. and the Caribbean islands. What caused this extremely active hurricane season, and was it foreseeable?

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JC interview: hurricanes and global warming

by Judith Curry

My recent interview with David Whitehouse of the Global Warming Policy Foundation on Hurricanes Harvey and Irma and the link with global warming.

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Hurricane Irma eyes Florida

by Judith Curry

Cat 5 Hurricane Irma is one for the record books; it’s eye is on Florida.

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Hurricane Harvey: long-range forecasts

by Judith Curry

The 12 year drought of major hurricane landfalls in the U.S. is over, with catastrophic impacts in Texas.  Predictions of Hurricane Harvey illustrate the realization of extended- and long-range hurricane forecasts.

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CFAN’s forecast for the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season

by Judith Curry

Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN)’s  first seasonal forecast for  Atlantic hurricanes is based on a breakthrough in understanding of the impact of global climate dynamics on Atlantic hurricane activity.

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How hurricanes replenish their vast supply of rain water

by Makarieva A.M., Gorshkov V.G., Nefiodov A.V., Chikunov A.V., Sheil D., Nobre A.D., Li B.-L.

New questions and ideas about hurricanes and their power.

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Post-mortem on the forecasts of Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew

by Judith Curry

Reflections on forecasting hurricanes in light of U.S. landfalling Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew, highlighting the complexities of forecast ensemble interpretation.

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ACE in the hole

by Greg Goodman

Pondering the recent downturn in Atlantic hurricane activity.

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Hurricanes and global warming: 10 years post Katrina

by Judith Curry

We anticipate that it may take a decade for the observations to clarify the situation as to whether the hypothesis has predictive power.Curry et al. 2006

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How ‘extreme’ can it get?

by Judith Curry

When might we see Category 6 hurricanes?  60C surface temperatures?

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Storm surge hockey stick (?)

by Judith Curry

“The results show that the extreme sea levels observed during Hurricane Katrina will become ten times more likely if average global temperatures increase by 2°C”, said Dr Jevrejeva. That would mean a storm surge of Katrina proportions every other year. – Alex Kirby

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Sandy: a wake-up call on our satellite-based weather and climate observing capacity

by Marshall Shepherd

Hurricane – Post-Tropical Storm Sandy is one of “those” moments. A moment that rallies the public and policy makers around an issue. Other “those” moments include 9/11 and Hurricane Katrina. In the wake of Sandy, an array of issues have surfaced including the role of climate change, vulnerability of urban infrastructure, and how it will effect the U.S. Presidential election. As I write this, another Nor’easter looks to impact the same region in the days after the election.

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