Category Archives: Hurricanes

Post-mortem on the forecasts of Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew

by Judith Curry

Reflections on forecasting hurricanes in light of U.S. landfalling Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew, highlighting the complexities of forecast ensemble interpretation.

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ACE in the hole

by Greg Goodman

Pondering the recent downturn in Atlantic hurricane activity.

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Hurricanes and global warming: 10 years post Katrina

by Judith Curry

We anticipate that it may take a decade for the observations to clarify the situation as to whether the hypothesis has predictive power.Curry et al. 2006

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How ‘extreme’ can it get?

by Judith Curry

When might we see Category 6 hurricanes?  60C surface temperatures?

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Storm surge hockey stick (?)

by Judith Curry

“The results show that the extreme sea levels observed during Hurricane Katrina will become ten times more likely if average global temperatures increase by 2°C”, said Dr Jevrejeva. That would mean a storm surge of Katrina proportions every other year. – Alex Kirby

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Sandy: a wake-up call on our satellite-based weather and climate observing capacity

by Marshall Shepherd

Hurricane – Post-Tropical Storm Sandy is one of “those” moments. A moment that rallies the public and policy makers around an issue. Other “those” moments include 9/11 and Hurricane Katrina. In the wake of Sandy, an array of issues have surfaced including the role of climate change, vulnerability of urban infrastructure, and how it will effect the U.S. Presidential election. As I write this, another Nor’easter looks to impact the same region in the days after the election.

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Hurricane Sandy: Part n

by Judith Curry

Hurricane Sandy is having many repercussions beyond the obvious damage.

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