Category Archives: Hurricanes

CFAN’s forecast for the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season

by Judith Curry

Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN)’s  first seasonal forecast for  Atlantic hurricanes is based on a breakthrough in understanding of the impact of global climate dynamics on Atlantic hurricane activity.

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How hurricanes replenish their vast supply of rain water

by Makarieva A.M., Gorshkov V.G., Nefiodov A.V., Chikunov A.V., Sheil D., Nobre A.D., Li B.-L.

New questions and ideas about hurricanes and their power.

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Post-mortem on the forecasts of Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew

by Judith Curry

Reflections on forecasting hurricanes in light of U.S. landfalling Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew, highlighting the complexities of forecast ensemble interpretation.

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ACE in the hole

by Greg Goodman

Pondering the recent downturn in Atlantic hurricane activity.

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Hurricanes and global warming: 10 years post Katrina

by Judith Curry

We anticipate that it may take a decade for the observations to clarify the situation as to whether the hypothesis has predictive power.Curry et al. 2006

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How ‘extreme’ can it get?

by Judith Curry

When might we see Category 6 hurricanes?  60C surface temperatures?

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Storm surge hockey stick (?)

by Judith Curry

“The results show that the extreme sea levels observed during Hurricane Katrina will become ten times more likely if average global temperatures increase by 2°C”, said Dr Jevrejeva. That would mean a storm surge of Katrina proportions every other year. – Alex Kirby

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