Author Archives: curryja

A bad recipe for science

by Judith Curry

Politically-motivated manufacture of scientific consensus corrupts the scientific process and leads to poor policy decisions

An essay with excerpts from my new book Climate Uncertainty and Risk.

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Net-Zero Targets: Sustainable Future or CO2 Obsession Driven Dead-end?

by Balázs M. Fekete

For over three decades, the reduction of CO2 emission was the primary motivation for promoting the transition from fossil fuels to alternative energy sources. Concerns about the inevitable exhaustion of fossil fuels were considered particularly during energy crises, but these concerns died out quickly as discoveries of new fossil fuel reserves such as the shale revolution in the US that appeared to secure energy supplies.

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Solving the Climate Puzzle: The Sun’s Surprising Role

by Javier Vinos

This post features a chapter from my new book Solving the Climate Puzzle: The Sun’s Surprising Role.  The book provides a large body of evidence supporting that changes in the poleward transport of heat are one of the main ways in which the planet’s climate changes naturally. It also shows that changes in solar activity affect this transport, restoring the Sun as a major cause of global warming.  Since climate models do not properly represent heat transport and the IPCC reports completely neglect this process, this new hypothesis will not be easily dismissed. I am sure that over time it will lead to a better understanding of how the climate changes naturally, and hopefully less climate hysteria.

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Climate Change: A Curious Crisis

by Iain Aitken

As explained in my new eBook, Climate Change: A Curious Crisis, the climate change ‘debate’ has long-since become a Manichaean, deeply polarized, ‘you are either with us or against us’ war of words in which both sides accuse the other of being closed-minded and refusing to accept the ‘facts’.

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State of the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative in the NE U.S.

by Roger Caiazza

A case study on the challenges of controlling CO2 emissions.

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Arctic sea ice: the canary in the coal mine

by Greg Goodman

With over a decade and a half since the IPCC AR4, it is  instructive to see how the “run away melting” of Arctic sea ice is progressing.

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The ‘Holy Grail’ of social predictors of public attitudes toward climate change

by Andy West

A single social predictor for international attitudes to climate change renders the current literature obsolete.

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New Zealand grid

by Chris Morris

New Zealand (NZ) offers a good example of operating an electricity grid with relatively high penetration of renewables, almost exclusively wind.

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Causality and climate

Guest post by Antonis Christofides, Demetris Koutsoyiannis, Christian Onof and Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz

On the chicken-and-egg problem of CO2 and temperature.

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Comment and Reply to GRL on evaluation of CMIP6 simulations

by Nicola Scafetta

Outcome of an exchange of Comments at Geophysical Research Letters (GRL)  on my paper regarding ECS of CMIP6 climate models

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Australian Electricity Generation – 2023 Update

by Chris Morris

This report brings readers up-to-date with happening in the Australian generation industry since the previous posts: Australian Renewables Integration: Part 1, Part 2, Part 3.  While many were optimistic about Australia’s planned changes, we were concerned that technical problems would emerge and that the costs of the transition will also make the power significantly more expensive for a less reliable supply.

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Controversy surrounding the Sun’s role in climate change

by Dr. Willie Soon, Dr. Ronan Connolly & Dr. Michael Connolly

Gavin Schmidt at realclimate.org attempts to dismiss our recent papers, including pseudo-scientific takedowns.  This post takes a deep dive into the controversies.

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Geophysical consequences of celestial mechanics

by Vincent Courtillot, Jean-Louis Le Mouel and Fernando Lopes

Sources of variability of some terrestrial and solar phenomena.

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State of the climate – summer 2023

by Judith Curry, Jim Johnstone, Mark Jelinek

A deep dive into the causes of the unusual weather/climate during 2023.  People are blaming fossil-fueled warming and El Nino, and now the Hunga-Tonga eruption and the change in ship fuels.  But the real story is more complicated.

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The 2015 major El Nino was predicted years in advance using a lunar cycle

By Javier Vinós

In 2007, two Canadian scientists studying the effects of this cycle on the Pacific coast of North America successfully predicted the occurrence of a major El Niño event in 2015 based on lunar data. Remarkably, their prediction proved accurate.

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The Grip of Culture: The Social Psychology of Climate Catastrophism

by Andy West

My book ‘The Grip of Culture’, subtitled ‘The social psychology of climate change catastrophism’, is now published.

“Climate change catastrophism is a cultural disease haunting Western society.  Andy West’s excellent study of this problem explains the different drivers of this disease. It is an important contribution to a debate where reason must prevail.” – Frank Furedi, emeritus professor of sociology at the University of Kent

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Alarming deterioration of US National Weather Service tornado warnings

by Mike Smith

In spite of better meteorological technology than ever and more raw scientific knowledge about storms, we are seeing a serious regression in a vital government program: the National Weather Service’s tornado warning program.

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How much warming can we expect in the 21st century?

by Hakon Karlsen

A comprehensive explainer of climate sensitivity to CO2

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Solar Activity: Solar Cycle 25 Surpasses Cycle 24

by Javier Vinos

Over the past two decades, solar activity has been characterized by an extended solar minimum spanning two solar cycles, known as the Clilverd Minimum. This phenomenon is currently affecting the climate, but before we can understand its impact, we must address the significant discrepancy between the solar effects observed in paleoclimate proxy records and modern observations.

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What’s causing the extremely warm temperatures in the North Atlantic?

by Jim Johnstone and Judith Curry

With the Atlantic hurricane season underway, we are closely monitoring the exceptionally warm SSTs in the Atlantic.  This post describes what has been happening and why.

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Held v Montana Climate Lawsuit

by Judith Curry

My reflections on the Held v Montana Climate Lawsuit – the inside story, my written expert report and why I didn’t testify at the trial.  Don’t believe the PR about this case from Our Children’s Trust, which the mainstream media has accepted uncritically.

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Is the Arctic September sea ice doomed to disappear in the 2030’s?

by Frank Bosse

Short answer: NO

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Publication day!

by Judith Curry

My new book Climate Uncertainty and Risk is now published!

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Experiment with me: A user-friendly algorithm for chatting about climate change

by Joe Nalven

I recently published one article about how to incorporate an AI chatbot as part of a college course. I focused on lying, persuasion and self-reflection. I went even further and anticipated a White House comprehensive plan to counter antisemitism. I used a chatbot to develop my own version of what should be in that plan. Now, I am off on another adventure using a chatbot to understand the ins and outs of climate change impacts. And I need your help. You can see my inquiry as similar to the struggle to get computers, other electronic devices and software to be more user friendly — such as the improvements through GUIs (graphic user interfaces). Perhaps AUIs (algorithm user interfaces) would be helpful — especially if users can insert their own parameters (or “biases”) with a preset language formula.

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CLINTEL’s critical evaluation of the IPCC AR6

by Judith Curry

Clintel has published a new report entitled “The Frozen Climate Views of the IPCC: Analysis of the AR6.”

“The new Report provides an independent assessment of the most important parts of AR6. We document biases and errors in almost every chapter we reviewed. In some cases, of course, one can quibble endlessly about our criticism and how relevant it is for the overall ‘climate narrative’ of the IPCC. In some cases, though, we document such blatant cherry picking by the IPCC, that even ardent supporters of the IPCC should feel embarrassed.”

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