NETZERO is impeding progress on UN Sustainable Development Goals

by Judith Curry

“Working in global energy and development, I often hear people say, ‘Because of climate, we just can’t afford for everyone to live our lifestyles.’ That viewpoint is worse than patronizing. It’s a form of racism, and it’s creating a two-tier global energy system, with energy abundance for the rich and tiny solar lamps for Africans.” – Kenyan activist and materials scientist Rose Mutiso

“To deny the developing world access to the very infrastructure that has propelled us forward, all in the name of an uncertain future, is not environmentalism, but neocolonialism masquerading as virtue.” – Earth Scientist Matthew Wielicki

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A bad recipe for science

by Judith Curry

Politically-motivated manufacture of scientific consensus corrupts the scientific process and leads to poor policy decisions

An essay with excerpts from my new book Climate Uncertainty and Risk.

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Net-Zero Targets: Sustainable Future or CO2 Obsession Driven Dead-end?

by Balázs M. Fekete

For over three decades, the reduction of CO2 emission was the primary motivation for promoting the transition from fossil fuels to alternative energy sources. Concerns about the inevitable exhaustion of fossil fuels were considered particularly during energy crises, but these concerns died out quickly as discoveries of new fossil fuel reserves such as the shale revolution in the US that appeared to secure energy supplies.

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Hansen’s latest overheated global warming claims are based on poor science

James Hansen’s latest paper “Global warming in the pipeline” (Hansen et al. (2023)) has already been heavily criticized in a lengthy comment by Michael Mann, author of the original IPCC ‘hockey stick’. However Mann does not deal with Hansen’s surprisingly high (4.8°C) new estimate of equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS)[1]. This ECS estimate is 60% above Hansen’s longstanding[2] previous estimate of 3°C. It is Hansen’s new, very high ECS estimate drives, in conjunction with various questionable subsidiary assumptions, his paper’s dire predictions of high global warming and its more extreme concluding policy recommendations, such as ‘solar radiation management’ geoengineering.

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Solving the Climate Puzzle: The Sun’s Surprising Role

by Javier Vinos

This post features a chapter from my new book Solving the Climate Puzzle: The Sun’s Surprising Role.  The book provides a large body of evidence supporting that changes in the poleward transport of heat are one of the main ways in which the planet’s climate changes naturally. It also shows that changes in solar activity affect this transport, restoring the Sun as a major cause of global warming.  Since climate models do not properly represent heat transport and the IPCC reports completely neglect this process, this new hypothesis will not be easily dismissed. I am sure that over time it will lead to a better understanding of how the climate changes naturally, and hopefully less climate hysteria.

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Climate Change: A Curious Crisis

by Iain Aitken

As explained in my new eBook, Climate Change: A Curious Crisis, the climate change ‘debate’ has long-since become a Manichaean, deeply polarized, ‘you are either with us or against us’ war of words in which both sides accuse the other of being closed-minded and refusing to accept the ‘facts’.

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State of the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative in the NE U.S.

by Roger Caiazza

A case study on the challenges of controlling CO2 emissions.

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Arctic sea ice: the canary in the coal mine

by Greg Goodman

With over a decade and a half since the IPCC AR4, it is  instructive to see how the “run away melting” of Arctic sea ice is progressing.

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The ‘Holy Grail’ of social predictors of public attitudes toward climate change

by Andy West

A single social predictor for international attitudes to climate change renders the current literature obsolete.

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New Zealand grid

by Chris Morris

New Zealand (NZ) offers a good example of operating an electricity grid with relatively high penetration of renewables, almost exclusively wind.

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Causality and climate

Guest post by Antonis Christofides, Demetris Koutsoyiannis, Christian Onof and Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz

On the chicken-and-egg problem of CO2 and temperature.

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Comment and Reply to GRL on evaluation of CMIP6 simulations

by Nicola Scafetta

Outcome of an exchange of Comments at Geophysical Research Letters (GRL)  on my paper regarding ECS of CMIP6 climate models

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Australian Electricity Generation – 2023 Update

by Chris Morris

This report brings readers up-to-date with happening in the Australian generation industry since the previous posts: Australian Renewables Integration: Part 1, Part 2, Part 3.  While many were optimistic about Australia’s planned changes, we were concerned that technical problems would emerge and that the costs of the transition will also make the power significantly more expensive for a less reliable supply.

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Controversy surrounding the Sun’s role in climate change

by Dr. Willie Soon, Dr. Ronan Connolly & Dr. Michael Connolly

Gavin Schmidt at realclimate.org attempts to dismiss our recent papers, including pseudo-scientific takedowns.  This post takes a deep dive into the controversies.

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Do CMIP5 models skillfully match actual warming?

by Nic Lewis

Why matching of CMIP5 model-simulated to observed warming does not indicate model skill

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Geophysical consequences of celestial mechanics

by Vincent Courtillot, Jean-Louis Le Mouel and Fernando Lopes

Sources of variability of some terrestrial and solar phenomena.

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State of the climate – summer 2023

by Judith Curry, Jim Johnstone, Mark Jelinek

A deep dive into the causes of the unusual weather/climate during 2023.  People are blaming fossil-fueled warming and El Nino, and now the Hunga-Tonga eruption and the change in ship fuels.  But the real story is more complicated.

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The 2015 major El Nino was predicted years in advance using a lunar cycle

By Javier Vinós

In 2007, two Canadian scientists studying the effects of this cycle on the Pacific coast of North America successfully predicted the occurrence of a major El Niño event in 2015 based on lunar data. Remarkably, their prediction proved accurate.

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The Grip of Culture: The Social Psychology of Climate Catastrophism

by Andy West

My book ‘The Grip of Culture’, subtitled ‘The social psychology of climate change catastrophism’, is now published.

“Climate change catastrophism is a cultural disease haunting Western society.  Andy West’s excellent study of this problem explains the different drivers of this disease. It is an important contribution to a debate where reason must prevail.” – Frank Furedi, emeritus professor of sociology at the University of Kent

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Alarming deterioration of US National Weather Service tornado warnings

by Mike Smith

In spite of better meteorological technology than ever and more raw scientific knowledge about storms, we are seeing a serious regression in a vital government program: the National Weather Service’s tornado warning program.

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How much warming can we expect in the 21st century?

by Hakon Karlsen

A comprehensive explainer of climate sensitivity to CO2

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Solar Activity: Solar Cycle 25 Surpasses Cycle 24

by Javier Vinos

Over the past two decades, solar activity has been characterized by an extended solar minimum spanning two solar cycles, known as the Clilverd Minimum. This phenomenon is currently affecting the climate, but before we can understand its impact, we must address the significant discrepancy between the solar effects observed in paleoclimate proxy records and modern observations.

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What’s causing the extremely warm temperatures in the North Atlantic?

by Jim Johnstone and Judith Curry

With the Atlantic hurricane season underway, we are closely monitoring the exceptionally warm SSTs in the Atlantic.  This post describes what has been happening and why.

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Held v Montana Climate Lawsuit

by Judith Curry

My reflections on the Held v Montana Climate Lawsuit – the inside story, my written expert report and why I didn’t testify at the trial.  Don’t believe the PR about this case from Our Children’s Trust, which the mainstream media has accepted uncritically.

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Is the Arctic September sea ice doomed to disappear in the 2030’s?

by Frank Bosse

Short answer: NO

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