Green energy: Don’t stick Granny with the bill

by Planning Engineer (Russell Schussler)

Renewable energy has an equity problem.  Energy policies that force consumers to incur huge costs to meet larger public aims become a hidden form of taxation.  Energy bills eat up much larger proportions of income for those at the lower end of the economic scale.

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Rapid technological innovation – not harmful renewables policy – key to lighting our energy future

by Judith Curry

Framework for a robust transition of our energy systems.

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Climate Uncertainty and Risk: in press

by Judith Curry

My book Climate Uncertainty and Risk has now been accepted for publication, following peer review and submission of my revised manuscript.

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Academics and the Grid Part 3: Visionaries and Problem Solvers

by Planning Engineer (Russell Schussler)

The potential of climate change with an unworkable grid is the most frightening potential scenario of all.  We need visionaries and problem solvers to avoid this scenario.

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Academics and the grid. Part II: Are they studying the right things?

By Planning Engineer (Russell Schussler)

Influential academics as a body are encouraging an energy transition to renewables, discussing remote hopes and ignoring huge obstacles and greater costs, which will worsen reliability and eventually result in unbearable blackouts.

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Academics and the grid Part I: I don’t think that study means what you think it means

By Planning Engineer (Russell Schussler)

The media, individuals, and policy makers are prone to serious misunderstanding of studies, reports and pronouncements coming from academic experts. It is important to carefully read and interpret academic publications to understand what has been studied and what is being claimed. Far too many dismiss the many wide-ranging formidable challenges inherent in green energy efforts due to their misreading and misunderstanding of academic publications.

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The 2023 transition

by Judith Curry

Discussion thread for your reflections and prognostications

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The yin and yang of climate science

by Judith Curry

How the duality of yin-yang can illuminate the climate debate and enlighten transformational research.

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The faux urgency of the climate crisis is giving us no time or space to build a secure energy future

by Judith Curry

There is a growing realisation that emissions and temperature targets are now detached from the issues of human well-being and the development of our 21st century world.

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Cli-fi: the net zero sub-genre

by Judith Curry

Two exciting new books in climate fiction (Cli-fi), with net zero themes.

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Urban night lighting observations challenge interpretation of land surface temperature observations

by Alan Longhurst

The pattern of warming of surface air temperature recorded by the instrumental data is accepted almost without question by the science community as being the consequence of the progressive and global contamination of the atmosphere by CO2.   But if they were properly inquisitive, it would not take them long see what was wrong with that over-simplification: the evidence is perfectly clear, and simple enough for any person of good will to understand.

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Misperception and amplification of climate risk

by Judith Curry

“Something frightening poses a perceived risk. Something dangerous poses a real risk.” – Swedish physician Hans Rosling et al.[i]

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JC navigates the new media

by Judith Curry

With the new media, it’s astonishing  how much trouble a mild-mannered grandmother speaking common sense about climate change can cause without leaving her home.

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Transient Climate Response from observations 1979-2022

by Frank Bosse

A very interesting blog post by Gavin Schmidt provides input on “constraining“  the observed TCR ( Transient Climate Response) in the time window 1979- 2022 using the latest climate models.

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“Colorful fluid dynamics” and overconfidence in global climate models

by David Young

This post lays out in fairly complete detail some basic facts about Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) modeling. This technology is the core of all general circulation models of the atmosphere and oceans, and hence global climate models (GCMs).  I discuss some common misconceptions about these models, which lead to overconfidence in these simulations. This situation is related to the replication crisis in science generally, whereby much of the literature is affected by selection and positive results bias.

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Exploiters versus experts

by Planning Engineer (Russell Schussler)

The unfolding saga around FTX, the cryptocurrency exchange currently in bankruptcy, appears to share some similarities with factors which led to the demise of Enron. Enron and FTX both initially achieved success because they were able to exploit some of the inefficiencies present in a complex system.

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Glacier saga

by Judith Curry

The loss of glaciers from Glacier National Park is one of the most visible manifestations of climate change in the U.S.  Signs were posted all around the park, proclaiming that the glaciers would be gone by 2020.  In 2017, the Park started taking these signs down.  What happened, beyond the obvious fact that the glaciers hadn’t disappeared by 2020?

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Victims of the faux climate ‘crisis’. Part I: Children

by Judith Curry

The apocalyptic rhetoric surrounding the climate “crisis” has numerous victims.  Children and young adults rank among the victims of greatest concern.

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The climate ‘crisis’ isn’t what it used to be

by Judith Curry

Growing realization by the climate establishment  that the threat of future warming has been cut in half over the past 5 years. Continue reading

ERCOT renewable energy: reality check

by Energy Meteorologist

A local example of the penetration problem for renewable energy in Texas

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An interview with top climate scientist Bjorn Stevens

by Nic Lewis

This week Die Zeit published an interview with Bjorn Stevens. Die Zeit is the largest German weekly newspaper (circulation well over one million), and has a highly educated readership.  

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Winter Gatekeeper Hypothesis: New support for the effect of solar activity on lower atmospheric circulation

by Javier Vinós

A recent paper by Svetlana Veretenenko provides important support for the effect of solar activity on the lower atmospheric circulation through its effect on the polar vortex. Veretenenko’s paper is an important step in demonstrating the solar effect on global atmospheric circulation, an important part of the Winter Gatekeeper Hypothesis.

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The Primacy of Doubt

by Judith Curry

Tim Palmer’s new book has just been published: “The Primacy of Doubt: From Quantum Physics to Climate Change, How the Science of Uncertainty Can Help Us Understand Our Chaotic World”

This book is a physics-intellectual feast.  Must read.

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The Penetration Problem. Part II: Will the Inflation Reduction Act Cause a Blackout?

by Planning Engineer

The “green” provisions of the poorly named  Inflation Reduction Act  are sweeping and it appears they may do more harm than good. The philosophy behind the inflation Reduction Act seems to reflect the belief that if you can get the ball rolling, adding additional wind and solar will get easier. However, as  Part 1 discussed, the compounding problems associated with increasing the penetration level of wind and solar generation are extreme.

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The Penetration Problem. Part I: Wind and Solar – The More You Do, The Harder It Gets

by Planning Engineer

There seems to be a belief that increasing the level of wind and solar projects will make subsequent progress with these resources easier. Nothing could be further from the truth.

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