Week in review – science edition

Posted on June 6, 2021 by | 64 comments

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye these past few weeks.

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64 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized, Week in review

Truth or consequences: global warming consensus thinking and the decline of public debate

Posted on June 1, 2021 by | 338 comments

by Geoffrey Weiss and Claude Roessiger

The so-called debate about the causes and effects of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) is a notable irony. Rather than a forum for free disputation, AGW has in recent years become the site of a consensus equating majority opinion with truth—leaving little, if any, room for debate. After all, doesn’t everyone but a misguided few agree that we are in the grip of an unparalleled, man- made climatic catastrophe?

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338 Comments

Posted in Consensus, Uncategorized

Simplified climate modelling. Part 1: The role of CO2 in paleoclimate

Posted on May 29, 2021 by | 248 comments

by Thomas Anderl

Simple models are formulated to identify the essentials of the natural climate variabilities, concentrating on the readily observable and simplest description. The results will be presented in a series of five articles. This first part shows an attempt to determine the climate role of CO2 from the past. Observations on 400 Mio. years of paleoclimate are found to well constrain the compound universal climate role of CO2, represented by a simple formula.

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248 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

Collapse of the fake consensus on Covid-19 origins

Posted on May 23, 2021 by | 617 comments

by Judith Curry

The concerning saga of the creation, enforcement and collapse of a ‘consensus’ on Covid-19 origins.

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617 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

Projecting manmade climate change: scenarios to 2050

Posted on May 19, 2021 by | 326 comments

by Judith Curry

Stop using the worst-case scenario for climate change — more realistic scenarios make for better policy. 

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326 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

How epidemiologists try to fool us with flawed statistical practices

Posted on May 17, 2021 by | 182 comments

by S. Stanley Young and Warren Kindzierski

Climate Etc. recently carried several insightful posts about How we fool ourselves. One of the posts – Part II: Scientific consensus building – was right on the money given our experience! The post pointed out that… ‘researcher degrees of freedom’… allows for researchers to extract statistical significance or other meaningful information out of almost any data set. Along similar lines, we offer some thoughts on how others try to fool us using statistics (aka how to lie with statistics); others being epidemiologists and government bureaucrats. 

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182 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

North Atlantic Nonsense

Posted on May 12, 2021 by | 106 comments

by Alan Longhurst

   “Never before in 1000 years the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), also known as the Gulf Stream System, has been as weak as in the last decades“.  

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106 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

Climate book shelf

Posted on May 10, 2021 by | 297 comments

by Judith Curry

Reviews of new books by Steve Koonin, Matthew Kahn and Marc Morano.

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297 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

Week in review – science edition

Posted on May 8, 2021 by | 197 comments

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my these past few weeks.

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197 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

Eco-anxiety

Posted on May 6, 2021 by | 266 comments

by Judith Curry

The damaging effects of generating eco-anxiety in children. Climate Etc. as an antidote.

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266 Comments

Posted in Communication, Uncategorized

Climate is everything

Posted on May 2, 2021 by | 244 comments

by Judith Curry

. . . according to the cover story of April 26 issue of Time Magazine. How have we have fooled ourselves into thinking that manmade climate change is the dominant cause of societal problems?

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244 Comments

Posted in Policy, Uncategorized

Academic freedom and scholarship: perspective from Canada

Posted on April 29, 2021 by | 68 comments

by Pamela Lindsay

Mentorships by professors of students are among the vital functions of a university. Here I expose the vulnerable underbelly of mentorship and one possible threat to academic freedom and scholarship.

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68 Comments

Posted in Sociology of science

How we fool ourselves. Part III: Social biases

Posted on April 25, 2021 by | 375 comments

by Judith Curry

“Is the road to scientific hell paved with good intentions?” – political psychologist Philip Tetlock (1994)

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375 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

Week in review – science edition

Posted on April 17, 2021 by | 500 comments

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week

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500 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

How we fool ourselves. Part II: Scientific consensus building

Posted on April 10, 2021 by | 556 comments

by Judith Curry

“Like a magnetic field that pulls iron filings into alignment, a powerful cultural belief is aligning multiple sources of scientific bias in the same direction. – policy scientist Daniel Sarewitz

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556 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

Environmental Justice campaign to replace New York City peaking power plants

Posted on April 2, 2021 by | 112 comments

by Roger Caiazza

Environmental justice organizations are currently a major driver of environmental regulation in New York. A new report “The Fossil Fuel End Game, A frontline vision to retire New York City’s peaker plants by 2030” illustrates the campaign strategy they are using to shut down peaking power plants in New York City.  Unfortunately their claims are based more on emotion than fact.

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112 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

A pertinent climate question

Posted on March 28, 2021 by | 120 comments

by Michel de Rougemont

Not so innocent as it looks, a pertinent question is asked by Judith Curry on Twitter:

How much of a change in cloudiness would it take to account for the 0.53 W/m2 increase in TOA radiative forcing since 2003?
https://twitter.com/curryja/status/1375144537522204672

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120 Comments

Posted in Sensitivity & feedbacks

UK climate policy discussion thread

Posted on March 21, 2021 by | 261 comments

by Judith Curry

I have been contacted by a UK politician about climate policy in the UK,

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261 Comments

Posted in Policy, Politics, Uncategorized

Climate adaptation sense. Part III: Dynamic Adaptation Policy Pathways

Posted on March 17, 2021 by | 88 comments

by Judith Curry

Best practices in adapting to sea level rise use a framework suitable for decision making under deep uncertainty.

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88 Comments

Posted in Adaptation, Oceans, Uncertainty

Week in review – science edition

Posted on March 12, 2021 by | 164 comments

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye these past few weeks

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164 Comments

Posted in Week in review

Climate adaptation follies. Part II: scenarios of future sea level rise

Posted on March 8, 2021 by | 61 comments

by Judith Curry

How did the state of New Jersey come to adopt sea level rise projections for their adaptation planning that are more than twice as high as the IPCC’s values?

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61 Comments

Posted in Adaptation, Uncertainty

Climate adaptation follies. Part I: The New Jersey challenge

Posted on March 7, 2021 by | 93 comments

by Judith Curry

New Jersey has a sea level rise problem.  How should this be managed?

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93 Comments

Posted in Adaptation, Oceans

Canceling the AMO

Posted on March 6, 2021 by | 140 comments

by Judith Curry

Conclusion from Michael Mann’s new paper:  “We conclude that there is no compelling evidence for internal multidecadal oscillations in the climate system.”

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140 Comments

Posted in Causation, Oceans

Compensation between cloud feedback + ECS and aerosol-cloud forcing in CMIP6 models

Posted on March 5, 2021 by | 45 comments

By Nic Lewis

An important paper, Wang et al.[1], on the relationships between cloud feedback, climate sensitivity (ECS) and aerosol-cloud interaction in the latest generation of global climate models (CMIP6) has just been published. The key conclusion of the paper is:

The seeming consistency of global-mean temperature evolution between more positive cloud feedback (high ECS) models and observations requires a strong aerosol indirect cooling effect that leads to an interhemispheric temperature evolution that is inconsistent with observations.

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45 Comments

Posted in climate models, Sensitivity & feedbacks

Uncomfortable knowledge

Posted on March 3, 2021 by | 197 comments

by Judith Curry

On the misuse of science and scientific authority.

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197 Comments

Posted in Policy, Sociology of science, Uncertainty