Category Archives: Uncertainty

The Uncertainty Monster: Lessons From Non-Orthodox Economics

by Vincent Randall

A perspective on economists’ grappling with the ‘uncertainty monster.’

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Uncertainty about the Climate Uncertainty Monster

by Judith Curry

The many dimensions of the climate uncertainty monster.

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The ‘threat’ of climate change

by Judith Curry

A major disconnect in the discourse surrounding climate change is interpretation of the ‘threat’ of climate change.

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The art and science of climate model tuning

by Judith Curry

We survey the rationale and diversity of approaches for tuning, a fundamental aspect of climate modeling which should be more systematically documented and taken into account in multi-model analysis. – Hourdin et al.

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Expert judgement and uncertainty quantification for climate change

by Judith Curry

When it comes to climate change, the procedure by which experts assess the accuracy of models projecting potentially ruinous outcomes for the planet and society is surprisingly informal. – Michael Oppenheimer

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(Mis) communicating science in public controversies

by Judith Curry

Bringing uncertainty to the public debate or putting the credibility of climate science at risk matters less to them than interest groups misusing or the public misinterpreting their results. – Senja Post

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Climate models and precautionary measures

by Judith Curry

Ergo, we should build down CO2 emissions, even regardless of what climate-models tell us. – Nassim Taleb

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