Category Archives: Uncertainty

CoV discussion thread

by Judith Curry

Some articles I’ve flagged, plus emails I’ve received.

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Coronavirus uncertainty

by Judith Curry

My thoughts on coronavirus and deep uncertainty.

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Plausible scenarios for climate change: 2020-2050

by Judith Curry

A range of scenarios for global mean surface temperature change between 2020 and 2050, derived using a semi-empirical approach. All three modes of natural climate variability – volcanoes, solar and internal variability – are expected to act in the direction of cooling during this period.

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Escape from model land

by Judith Curry

“Letting go of the phantastic mathematical objects and achievables of model- land can lead to more relevant information on the real world and thus better-informed decision- making.” – Erica Thompson and Lenny Smith

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Climate Change: What’s the Worst Case?

by Judith Curry

My new manuscript is now available.

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Climate science’s ‘masking bias’ problem

by Judith Curry

How valid conclusions often lay hidden within research reports, masked by plausible but unjustified conclusions reached in those reports.  And how the IPCC institutionalizes such masking errors in climate science.

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Climate’s uncertainty principle

by Garth Paltridge

On the costs and benefits of climate action.

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