Category Archives: Uncertainty

Escape from model land

by Judith Curry

“Letting go of the phantastic mathematical objects and achievables of model- land can lead to more relevant information on the real world and thus better-informed decision- making.” – Erica Thompson and Lenny Smith

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Climate Change: What’s the Worst Case?

by Judith Curry

My new manuscript is now available.

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Climate science’s ‘masking bias’ problem

by Judith Curry

How valid conclusions often lay hidden within research reports, masked by plausible but unjustified conclusions reached in those reports.  And how the IPCC institutionalizes such masking errors in climate science.

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Climate’s uncertainty principle

by Garth Paltridge

On the costs and benefits of climate action.

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National Climate Assessment: A crisis of epistemic overconfidence

by Judith Curry

“You can say I don’t believe in gravity. But if you step off the cliff you are going down. So we can say I don’t believe climate is changing, but it is based on science.” – Katherine Hayhoe, co-author of the 4th National Climate Assessment Report.

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Sea level rise: what’s the worst case?

by Judith Curry

Draft of article to be submitted for journal publication.

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Resplandy et al. Part 4: Further developments

By Nic Lewis

There have been further interesting developments in this story Continue reading