Category Archives: climate models

Climate uncertainty & risk

by Judith Curry

I’ve been invited to write an article on climate uncertainty and risk.

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Of boundary and initial conditions

by Dan Hughes and Tomas Milanovic

Further reflections on the application of the divergence theorem to the Earth’s climate system.

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Energy budgets, climate system domains and internal variability

by Dan Hughes

It is not a boundary value problem.

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Brown and Caldeira: A closer look shows global warming will not be greater than we thought

by Nic Lewis

A critique of a recent paper by Brown and Caldeira published in Nature that predicted greater than expected global warming.

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Are Climate Models Overstating Warming?

by Ross McKitrick

A number of authors, including the IPCC, have argued that climate models have systematically overstated the rate of global warming in recent decades. A recent paper by Millar et al. (2017) presented the same finding in a diagram of temperature change versus cumulative carbon emissions since 1870.

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Prospects for a Prolonged Slowdown in Global Warming in the Early 21st Century

by Nic Lewis

[W]e estimate that the warming slowdown (< 0.1 K/decade trend beginning in 1998) could persist, due to internal variability cooling, through 2020, 2025 or 2030 with probabilities 16%, 11%, and 6%, respectively. – Knutson et al.

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Climate models for lawyers

by Judith Curry

I have been asked to write an Expert Report on climate models.

***SEE UPDATE

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