by Judith Curry
Draft of article to be submitted for journal publication.
by Judith Curry
I have now completed my assessment of sea level rise and climate change.
Posted in Climate change impacts, Oceans
The term ‘CAGW’ has both appropriate and inappropriate usage.
Posted in Communication
by Judith Curry
In considering ‘worst case’ climate change impacts, we first need to assess the realistic worst case for global carbon emissions.
Posted in Energy
By Nic Lewis
There have been further interesting developments in this story Continue reading
Posted in Data and observations, Oceans, Uncertainty
By Nic Lewis
Introduction
The Resplandy et al. (2018) ocean heat uptake study (henceforth Resplandy18) is based on measured changes in the O2/N2 ratio of air sampled each year, compared to air stored in high pressure tanks originally sampled in the late 1980s and early 1990s, and in atmospheric CO2 concentration. These are combined to produce an estimate (ΔAPOObs) of changes in atmospheric potential oxygen since 1991 (ΔAPO). They break this series down into four components, including one attributable to ocean warming (ΔAPOClimate). By estimating the other three, they isolate the implied ΔAPOClimate and use it to estimate the change in ocean heat content. In two recent articles, here and here, I set out why I thought the trend in ΔAPOClimate – from which they derived their ocean heat uptake estimate – was overstated, and its uncertainty greatly understated. Continue reading
Posted in Data and observations, Oceans, Uncertainty
by Nic Lewis
In a recent article I set out why I thought that the trend in ΔAPOClimate was overstated, and its uncertainty greatly understated, in the Resplandy et al. ocean heat uptake study. In this article I expand on the brief explanation of the points made about “trend errors” and “scale systematic errors” given in my original article, as these are key issues involved in estimating the trend in ΔAPOClimate and its uncertainty.
Posted in Oceans
by Nic Lewis
Obviously doubtful claims about new research regarding ocean content reveal how unquestioning Nature, climate scientists and the MSM are. Continue reading
Posted in Data and observations, Oceans, Uncertainty