U.S. Presidential discussion thread. Part XIII

by Judith Curry

Plus UK and Australia political issues.

Are energy budget climate sensitivity values biased low?

by Nic Lewis

In a recently published paper (REA16),[i] Mark Richardson et al. claim that recent observation-based energy budget estimates of the Earth’s transient climate response (TCR) are biased substantially low, with the true value some 24% higher.

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Climate power play by the AAAS et al.

by Judith Curry

The AAAS and affiliated professional societies just shot themselves in the foot with the letter to U.S. policy makers.

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Climate polarization requires long, deep look at our worldviews

by Judith Curry

A more truly open dialogue, which honors a wider range of perspectives, may start to take place if we use integrative perspectives.

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Towards reconciling climate sensitivity estimates from climate models and observatiions

by Judith Curry

A new paper purports to have resolved the discrepancy between climate response estimates from global climate models versus energy budget models.

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Record breaking N. American winters not due to climate change

by Judith Curry

A new study finds that human-caused warming in the west tropical Pacific was not responsible for a series of frigid North American winters experienced over the early 2000s.

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How Dr. Frankenstein is making research sick

by Judith Curry

What I saw was a creature not unlike that made by Dr. Frankenstein and which turned onto its creator: neither traditional science nor business, as it is made from incompatible parts taken from both bodies with good intentions but not much forethought. – Yuri Lazebnik

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Energy and Environment on the “Garden Island”

by Planning Engineer

·        Countering the presumption that renewables are always the environmentally preferable alternative, this column suggests that serious consideration should be given to examining if for the short term, fossil fuel might be the “environmentally correct” near term alternative for Kauai.

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A new definition of academic misconduct

by Judith Curry

Ridd was punished by James Cook University for “not displaying responsibility in respecting the reputations of other colleagues.” The university even warned that if he does this again, he’ll be tried for serious misconduct.

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Science on the verge

by Judith Curry

This book offers an uncomfortable but vital diagnosis of the trouble with science. – Jack Stilgoe

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Assessment of Approaches to Updating the Social Cost of Carbon

by Judith Curry

Some new analyses are shedding some light on deficiencies in the approach to estimate the social cost of carbon.

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The cloud-climate conundrum

by Judith Curry

Four new papers remind us of the very large uncertainties surrounding cloud-climate feedbacks.

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The Republic of Science

by Judith Curry

The professional standards of science must impose a framework of discipline and at the same time encourage rebellion against it. – Michael Polanyi (1962)

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Coral bleaching debate

by Jim Steele

Is bleaching the legacy of a marvelous adaptation mechanism or a prelude to extirpation?

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Is much of our effort to combat global warming actually making things worse?

by Judith Curry

Humanity is owed a serious investigation of how we have gone so far with the decarbonization project without a serious challenge in terms of engineering reality. – Michael Kelly

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Another Antarctic Sea Level Rise False Alarm

by Rud Istvan

Aitken et. al. in Nature newly comports to confirm 2015 fears about instability of the Totten Glacier in Eastern Antarctica. This could ‘suddenly’ raise sea level as much as 4 meters! (Or, based on the abstract, maybe only 0.9 meters in ‘modern scale configuration’, but over 2 meters [2.9-4] in unspecified other configurations).

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New presentation: Society of Petroleum Engineers

by Judith Curry

Climate Change Science: Fact, Fiction & the Unsettled

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Science into agitprop: “Climate Change is Strangling Our Oceans”

by Larry Kummer, from the Fabius Maximus website

The public policy debate about climate science shows the dysfunctional nature of the US media. Here’s another example of how propaganda has contaminated the news reporting of this vital subject, looking at stories about a new study of our oceans.

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Climate Hustle

by Judith Curry

Are they trying to control the climate . . . or you?

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Expert judgement and uncertainty quantification for climate change

by Judith Curry

When it comes to climate change, the procedure by which experts assess the accuracy of models projecting potentially ruinous outcomes for the planet and society is surprisingly informal. – Michael Oppenheimer

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Rise in CO2 has greened planet Earth

by Judith Curry

We show a persistent and widespread increase of growing season integrated LAI (greening) over 25% to 50% of the global vegetated area, whereas less than 4% of the globe shows decreasing LAI (browning). Factorial simulations with multiple global ecosystem models suggest that CO2 fertilization effects explain 70% of the observed greening trend. – Zhu et al.

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Updated climate sensitivity estimates

by Nic Lewis

An update to the calculations in Lewis and Curry (2014).

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The Denialism Frame

by Andy West

An inadequately testable and inappropriate framing.

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The Exxon Climate Papers

by Andy May

New York Attorney General Eric T. Schneiderman has accused ExxonMobil of lying to the public and investors about the risks of climate change according to the NY Times and has launched an investigation and issued a subpoena demanding extensive financial records, emails and other documents.

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U.S. Presidential election discussion thread. Part VI

by Judith Curry

The election is heating up with the forthcoming primary in New York

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