Author Archives: curryja

Another Antarctic Sea Level Rise False Alarm

by Rud Istvan

Aitken et. al. in Nature newly comports to confirm 2015 fears about instability of the Totten Glacier in Eastern Antarctica. This could ‘suddenly’ raise sea level as much as 4 meters! (Or, based on the abstract, maybe only 0.9 meters in ‘modern scale configuration’, but over 2 meters [2.9-4] in unspecified other configurations).

Continue reading

New presentation: Society of Petroleum Engineers

by Judith Curry

Climate Change Science: Fact, Fiction & the Unsettled

Continue reading

Science into agitprop: “Climate Change is Strangling Our Oceans”

by Larry Kummer, from the Fabius Maximus website

The public policy debate about climate science shows the dysfunctional nature of the US media. Here’s another example of how propaganda has contaminated the news reporting of this vital subject, looking at stories about a new study of our oceans.

Continue reading

Climate Hustle

by Judith Curry

Are they trying to control the climate . . . or you?

Continue reading

Expert judgement and uncertainty quantification for climate change

by Judith Curry

When it comes to climate change, the procedure by which experts assess the accuracy of models projecting potentially ruinous outcomes for the planet and society is surprisingly informal. – Michael Oppenheimer

Continue reading

Rise in CO2 has greened planet Earth

by Judith Curry

We show a persistent and widespread increase of growing season integrated LAI (greening) over 25% to 50% of the global vegetated area, whereas less than 4% of the globe shows decreasing LAI (browning). Factorial simulations with multiple global ecosystem models suggest that CO2 fertilization effects explain 70% of the observed greening trend. – Zhu et al.

Continue reading

Updated climate sensitivity estimates

by Nic Lewis

An update to the calculations in Lewis and Curry (2014).

Continue reading

The Denialism Frame

by Andy West

An inadequately testable and inappropriate framing.

Continue reading

The Exxon Climate Papers

by Andy May

New York Attorney General Eric T. Schneiderman has accused ExxonMobil of lying to the public and investors about the risks of climate change according to the NY Times and has launched an investigation and issued a subpoena demanding extensive financial records, emails and other documents.

Continue reading

U.S. Presidential election discussion thread. Part VI

by Judith Curry

The election is heating up with the forthcoming primary in New York

Continue reading

The paradox of the climate change consensus

by Judith Curry

In our view, the fact that so many scientists agree so closely about the [causes of the] earth’s warming is, itself, evidence of a lack of evidence for [human caused] global warming. – D. Ryan Brumberg and Matthew Brumberg

Continue reading

Kudos to the AGU

by Judith Curry

AGU Board votes to continue relationship with Exxon-Mobil and to accept sponsorship support.

Continue reading

Twilight of the Climate Change Movement

by Judith Curry

Don’t be fooled by the post-Paris fanfare: The climate change movement faces big trouble ahead.

Continue reading

Electricity in China

by Peter Davies

China has big plans for low-carbon electricity, primarily to reduce air pollution but also with the intent of reducing CO2 emissions and building a true 21st century power grid. Is it going to succeed?

Continue reading

Controversy over comparing models with observations

by Judith Curry

My draft talk elicited an interesting conversation on twitter, that deserves some wider discussion.

Continue reading

Preparing a new talk

by Judith Curry

I could use some help pulling together some graphs for a talk I am giving next week.

Continue reading

Paris agreement: A risk regulation perspective

by Judith Curry

The Paris Agreement and, more generally, climate change policy, almost perfectly illustrate the contradictions of the post-modern industrialized world risk society, characterized by perceived threats confirmed by politicized science and governed by sub-politics beyond democratic control. – Lucas Bergkamp

Continue reading

Campus unrest, viewpoint diversity, and freedom of speech

by Judith Curry

Campus unrest, viewpoint diversity, and freedom of speech are issues that have been of increasing concern to me.

Continue reading

New AMS members survey on climate change

by Judith Curry

The American Meteorological Society has issued a draft report on the results from a survey of the views of their membership on climate change.

Continue reading

U.S. Presidential discussion thread. Part IV

by Judith Curry

A new thread for this discussion.

Energy strategies: horses for courses

by Planning Engineer and Rud Istvan

Just because something works in one place’s circumstances does not mean it will work elsewhere under different circumstances.    Continue reading

U.S. Presidential election discussion thread

by Judith Curry

Such drama.

Continue reading

Attribution of extreme weather events?

by Judith Curry

The National Academies has published a new report:  Attribution of extreme weather events in the context of climate change.

Continue reading

Nuclear power learning rates: policy implications

by Peter Lang

A revolution could be achieved with nuclear power if we remove the factors that caused the large cost increases during and since the 1970’s, i.e. return to the learning rates demonstrated before 1970.

Continue reading

On inappropriate use of least squares regression

by Greg Goodman

Inappropriate use of linear regression can produce spurious and significantly low estimations of the true slope of a linear relationship if both variables have significant measurement error or other perturbing factors. This is precisely the case when attempting to regress modelled or observed radiative flux against surface temperatures in order to estimate sensitivity of the climate system. Continue reading