by Judith Curry
While my goal is to build bridges, I realize that there is no hope of eliminating disagreement on the climate change issue. Does this mean that we are we forever are doomed (Anthony Watts once referred to it as the world’s longest monopoly game), or do we have some chance of dealing with this issue and the risks it presents in a sensible way?
Posted in Uncertainty
by Judith Curry
I’m having another “Alice down the rabbit hole” moment, in response to the Scientific American article, the explication of the article by its author Michael Lemonick, Scientific American’s survey on whether I am a dupe or a peacemaker, and the numerous discussions in blogosphere.
Posted in Ethics
by Judith Curry
The focus of this series on detection and attribution is the following statement in the IPCC AR4:
Posted in Attribution
There is a provocative new paper available at an online discussion journal:
Makarieva, Gorshkov, Sheil, Nobre, Li: Where do winds come from? A new theory on how water vapor condensation influences atmospheric pressure and dynamics. link
Posted in climate models
Not much has caught my interest in terms of climate happenings this week (perhaps this is a symptom associated with the head spinning).
Posted in Open thread
by Judith Curry
The focus of this series on detection and attribution is the following statement in the IPCC AR4:
Posted in Attribution
by Judith Curry
Arguably the most important conclusion of IPCC AR4 is the following statement:
Posted in Attribution
by Judith Curry
On the uncertainty monster thread, a scenario was defined as a plausible but unverifiable description of how the system and/or its driving forces may develop in the future. Scenarios may be regarded as a range of discrete possibilities, often with no a priori allocation of likelihood. An example is the future greenhouse gas emission scenarios used to force global climate models.
Posted in IPCC, Uncertainty
by Judith Curry
As climate models become increasingly relevant to policy makers, they are being criticized for not undergoing a formal verification and validation (V&V) process analogous to that used in engineering and regulatory applications. Further, claims are being made that climate models have been falsified by failing to predict specific future events.
Posted in climate models, Uncertainty
by Judith Curry
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC ) international environmental treaty (1992) states as its objective:
Posted in Climate change impacts
by Judith Curry
There is much angst in the climate community over effective public communication of climate science. Strategies such as framing, messaging and narrative are receiving increasing attention by the climate establishment. The current ideas seem to be focused on “climate distruption” and framing the problem in terms of human health impacts. I can only hope that an uncertainty frame is ascendant.
Posted in Communication
by Judith Curry
Communicating climate science to the public is a substantial challenge, owing to the complexity of the subject, its potential socioeconomic consequences, and the politicization of the issue.
Posted in Communication
by Judith Curry
Towards providing a robust scientific basis for climate policy, the United Nations initiated a scientific consensus building process under the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC), which consisted of an intergovernmental multidisciplinary panel of experts.
Posted in IPCC, Uncertainty
by Judith Curry
Over the last few months, I’ve received copies of several books on the topic of climate:
Posted in Communication
by Judith Curry
Notions of uncertainty range from everyday usage in common parlance to specific definitions appearing in the philosophical and scientific literature.
Posted in Uncertainty
by Judith Curry and Peter Webster
The 2010 Pakistan floods began in July 2010 following following a series of heavy monsoon rains in the northern part of the country.
Posted in South Asia
The unauthorized release of emails from the Climate Research Unit (CRU) at the University of East Anglia initiated extensive public scrutiny on climate research.
Posted in Ethics
by Judith Curry
Well, I hope that everyone is having difficulty in classifying “Climate Etc.”, it is definitely my intention to defy classification by the norms of the climate blogosphere. Over the past four months, I have been labeled as a warmist , lukewarmer , skeptic , confusionist, and notorious (!) denier (posted here, but since deleted).
Posted in Uncertainty
by Judith Curry
The 2005 Atlantic hurricane season saw hurricane activity and devastation that was unprecedented in the historical record.
Posted in Hurricanes
This blog provides a forum for the exchange of ideas about climate science and the science-policy interface. Climate Etc. is envisioned as a gathering place for climate researchers, academics and technical experts from other fields, citizen scientists, and the interested public. Open minds and critical thinking are required, and stimulating discussion and group learning is expected.
My engagement in the blogosphere over the past several years have convinced me that the blogosphere has untapped potential for educating the public and for enabling large-scale collective intelligence to address the scientific and policy challenges associated with climate change.
The climate blogosphere is a vibrant environment but the signal is often hidden by the noise. Towards separating the signal from the noise, Climate Etc. will experiment with different formats. To start, Climate Etc. will try three different types of threads, with different types and levels of moderation:
• Technical threads, written by myself or a guest or crowd sourced, with moderated comments that are expected to advance the technical dialogue. The idea is to have a focused and snark-free environment in which academics and other technical experts with little or no blogging experience will feel comfortable engaging with the broader community.
• Commentary threads, on topical issues related to the climate science-policy interface and the philosophy, sociology, and politics of science and its institutions. Comments will be moderated for netiquette and lightly moderated for relevance and excessive length.
• Open threads, with comments moderated only for netiquette and length, which can include a less formal discussion of topics on the technical threads, general observations and reflections on the dialectic, as well as bringing up new topics. Signals will be sought for new threads and also for raising issues on currently active technical threads. Depending on traffic, a new open thread will be started weekly.
I look forward to your reactions, opinions, suggestions, and ideas. Please check out the blog rules before posting your comment. Any advice (technical, moderation, etc.) from veteran bloggers would be most appreciated. Thank you for your participation!
On this thread, please limit your comment to 250 words or less and not more than 2 links.
Posted in Welcome
