Category Archives: Policy

Climate and Energy Policies: Two Sides of the Same Coin (?)

by Peter Hartley

It has been claimed that energy security and climate policy should be considered “two sides of the same coin.” In 2006, former UK Prime Minister Tony Blair said, “We must treat energy security and climate security as two sides of the same coin.” Other leaders in Europe, members of the United States Congress and many commentators have echoed Blair’s statement.

Are both energy security and climate policy best addressed by the same policies, or do policies that are best for one goal possibly compromise attainment of the other goal?

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How not to save the planet

by Judith Curry

Climate change presents us with a pressing challenge. A global consensus accepts that human activity is responsible for climate change and its associated dangers. However, there is disagreement on how best to address this challenge. The essay argues that leading proposals are unsatisfactory, such as the ecological footprint and polluter pays principle. The reasons include that they do not effectively manage climate change and may contribute to further problems. We require a new approach to address climate change.

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Geoengineering for decision makers

by Judith Curry

The most fundamental argument for R&D on geoengineering is that those decision makers should not be put in a position of either letting dangerous climate change occur or deploying poorly evaluated, untested technologies at scale. At the very least, we need to learn what approaches to avoid even if desperate. 

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Beyond smoke and mirrors: the middle ground

by Judith Curry

Stanford physicist’s prescriptions include more natural gas and nuclear power, doubts about renewable energy goals, and a new way to gain political support.

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A better climate for disaster risk management

by Judith Curry

how building new capacity, tools and partnerships between disaster risk managers and climate information providers can lead to improved disaster risk management, including prevention, preparedness and response.

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Durban outcome(?)

by Judith Curry

From the latest UNFCCC press release:

Countries meeting in Durban, South Africa, have delivered a breakthrough on the future of the international community’s response to climate change

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Kyoto Protocol: unintended consequences

by Judith Curry

Gail Tverberg writes:

In a recent post, I discovered something rather alarming–the fact that in the last decade (2000 to 2010) both world energy consumption and the CO2 emissions from this energy consumption were rising as fast as GDP for the world as a whole. This relationship is especially strange, because prior to 2000, it appeared as though decoupling was taking place: GDP was growing more rapidly than energy use and CO2 emissions. And even after 2000, many countries continued to report decoupling.

 

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Why the decision to tackle global warming isn’t simple

by Judith Curry

A June 22, 2010 article in the New Republic provides one of the most sensible analysis of global warming policy that I’ve seen (h/t Roger Caizza).  It is particularly relevant in light of the current negotiations at Durban

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New report on climate change and security

by Judith Curry

Mother Jones has an article entitled “CIA’s Weather Underground.”  Its closing sentence:

In this political climate, it’s no wonder the CIA declined to discuss its global-warming research for this article. For the time being, the climate spooks have gone underground.

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Smith and Stern on uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy

by Judith Curry

Risk assessment requires grappling with probability and ambiguity (uncertainty in the Knightian sense) and assessing the ethical, logical, philosophical and economic underpinnings of whether a target of ‘50 per cent chance of remaining under +2◦C’ is either ‘right’ or ‘safe’. How do we better stimulate advances in the difficult analytical and philosophical questions while maintaining foundational scientific work advancing our understanding of the phenomena? And provide immediate help with decisions that must be made now?

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Capitalism vs. the Climate

by Judith Curry

There is a question from a gentleman in the fourth row.  He introduces himself as Richard Rothschild. He tells the crowd that he ran for county commissioner in Maryland’s Carroll County because he had come to the conclusion that policies to combat global warming were actually “an attack on middle-class American capitalism.” His question for the panelists, gathered in a Washington, DC, Marriott Hotel in late June, is this: “To what extent is this entire movement simply a green Trojan horse, whose belly is full with red Marxist socioeconomic doctrine?”

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The wrong(?) conversation

by Judith Curry

I’ve been meaning to  write a post on the recent “Open Science Conference” organized by the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP).  A post at RealClimate entitled “Conference Conversations” provides a starting point for my post, with this concluding sentence:

The contrast between the conversations in this meeting and what passes for serious issues in the media and blogosphere was very clear.

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Laframboise on the IPCC

by Judith Curry

I’ve finished reading Donna Laframboise’s book “The Delinquent Teenager Who Was Mistaken for the World’s Top Climate Expert: An Expose of the IPCC.”

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Advocacy science and decision making

by Judith Curry

Partisan groups lobbying for preferred outcomes have a long history of the selective use of information to support predetermined conclusions. This is acceptable in politics, but not in science.  The motivations for such advocacy science may be a sincere desire to improve the protection of . .  ecosystems and frustration with decision-making processes that seem to give too little weight to longer term environmental considerations, or a cynical strategy to exploit the challenges that uncertainty poses to decision-making. Whatever the cause, making science advice itself partisan means it no longer deserves to be treated in any special way in the decision-making process. There is a serious risk that the long-term costs of merging advocacy with science advice would outweigh any short-term benefits of greater impact on a particular decision. If scientists do wish to increase the impact of science advice on decision-making, there are alternatives to advocacy in doing so. These approaches make the advice more amenable to decision-makers, while avoiding turning science advisors into partisan lobbyists.

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The case(?) for climate change alarmism

by Judith Curry

“Rather than justifying a lack of response to climate change, the emphasis on uncertainty enlarges the risk and reinforces the responsibility for pursuing successful long-term mitigation policy,” according to a 2010 analysis by researchers at Sandia National Laboratory.

All things considered, alarmism seems like common sense to me.

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USGCRP draft strategic plan

by Judith Curry

The public comment period for the U.S. Global Change Research Program’s (USGCRP) 2012-2021 Strategic Plan is open until November 29, 2011.  Lets take a look at the draft plan.

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Wedges reaffirmed(?)

by Judith Curry

Robert Socolow of Princeton University has written and essay “Wedges Reaffirme,” that examines the impact of  his 2004 paper with Stephen Pacala, entitled  “Stabilization Wedges: Solving the Climate Problem for the Next 50 Years with Current Technologies”.

Its core messages are as valid today as seven years ago, but they have not led to action.

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Uncommon sense: the U.S. Navy

by Judith Curry

The Center for a Better Life has published a very interesting article entitled “Task Force Climate Change: Climate Skepticism and Ways Forward,” by Cmdr. Blake McBride, U.S. Navy Task Force on Climate Change.

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Can we make good decisions under ignorance?

by Judith Curry

Does decision making require high levels of confidence? Can there be such a thing as making good decisions under deep uncertainty and even ignorance?   What decision making criteria or guidelines make sense under these circumstances? How does overconfidence hamper the decision making process?

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A modest proposal for reforestation

by Judith Curry

Douglas Sheil from Uganda sent me an interesting article with the provocative title “A modest proposal for wealthy countries to reforest their land for the common good.”  Following in Swift’s footsteps, the paper uses satire to highlight some inconsistencies regarding international agreements on land cover and ecosystem conservation.

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Arctic Imperative

by Judith Curry

In my congressional testimony, I discussed the idea of climate change winners and losers.   In the Arctic, where climate is changing most rapidly, will there be winners or losers?

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Climate pragmatism

by Judith Curry

[P]ublic support for the environment is at more than 30 year-low, cap and trade is dead, perhaps for good, and global warming has become as partisan and polarizing an issue as abortion and gun control.

Climate Pragmatism offers a framework for renewed American leadership on climate change that’s effectiveness, paradoxically, does not depend on any agreement about climate science or the risks posed by uncontrolled greenhouse gases.

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RIO+20 Earth Summit: What can we expect?

by Judith Curry

The impact of the 1992 Rio Earth Summit is difficult to overestimate: it provided a primary foundation for the Precautionary Principle and fostered an agreement on the Climate Change Convention (UNFCCC) which in turn led to the Kyoto Protocol. The 20th anniversary of the Earth Summit will be marked by the UN Conference on Sustainable Development in Rio de Janeiro (RIO+20).

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Towards sane policies on natural disasters

by Judith Curry

The issue of whether or not global  climate change is causing more frequent or intense natural disasters is a red herring that is interfering with developing sane policies for reducing our vulnerability to natural disasters.

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When Scientists Advise Politicians

by Judith Curry

Bishop Hill spotted an essay with the title of this post that was published in Science and Public Affairs (UK).  The essay is written by Lord William Waldegrave, who is an investment banker and former Cabinet Minister. He is Chairman of the trustees of the Science Museum and President of the Parliamentary and Scientific Committee. This article is based on a talk he gave  at the Royal Institution in 2003.

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