Category Archives: Policy

Some realism about technological fixes

by Judith Curry

Not all problems will yield to technology. Deciding which will and which won’t should be central to setting innovation policy, say Daniel Sarewitz and Richard Nelson.

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Now that climate science is ‘settled’ . . .

by Judith Curry

Climate science is being gutted in Australia.

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Paris climate promise: a bad deal for America?

by Judith Curry

The U.S. House Committee on Science, Space and Technology held a Hearing yesterday — Paris Climate Promise: A Bad Deal for America.

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The trojan horse of the Paris climate agreement

by Judith Curry

How multi-level, non-hierarchical governance poses a threat to constitutional government.

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Climate models and precautionary measures

by Judith Curry

Ergo, we should build down CO2 emissions, even regardless of what climate-models tell us. – Nassim Taleb

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Paris: impacts?

by Judith Curry

The world’s leaders are touting victory as a result of the COP21 deliberations in Paris.

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A closer look at scenario RCP8.5

by Larry Kummer

The United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP21) in Paris climate was preceded by a surge of studies and articles warning of a dismal future if we do not take strong policy action. One scenario in the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) provides the basis for these: RCP8.5. Even a casual examination of this shows it to be a useful worst-case scenario, but not “business as usual”.

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Reactions on the Senate hearing

by Judith Curry

I’ve been traveling; first chance I’ve had to collect some reactions to the Senate Hearing.

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Senate Hearing: Data or Dogma

by Judith Curry

The Senate Commerce Committee Hearing ‘Data or Dogma? Promoting Open Inquiry in the Debate Over the Magnitude of the Human Impact on Earth’s Climate‘ is about to begin.

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Bill Gail: Don’t let climate debate hinder the economy

by Judith Curry

Nature’s deviations disrupt our lives and businesses more than we should accept. – Bill Gail

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Senate Hearing: Data or Dogma?

by Judith Curry

Data or Dogma? Promoting Open Inquiry in the Debate over the Magnitude of Human Impact on Earth’s Climate

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Decision making under uncertainty – maximize expected social welfare

by  -1=e^i pi

Expected social welfare maximization is where you try to obtain the set of parameters (such as climate change policies) that will maximize the expected value of a social welfare function.

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Iatrogenic (?) climate policy

by Judith Curry

So, is the climate ‘cure’ worse than the climate ‘disease’?

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Lomborg: Impact of Current Climate Proposals

by Judith Curry

Current climate policy promises will do little to stabilize the climate and their impact will be undetectable for many decades. – Bjorn Lomborg

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Accountability for Climate Change Damages: Is Fossil Fuel Like Tobacco?

by Lucas Bergkamp

At a Workshop in 2012, a group of scientists, lawyers and advocacy groups discussed what lessons could be learned from the tobacco litigation for launching successful climate change litigation against corporations.

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Lukewarming

by Judith Curry

Two new books on lukewarming have recently been published.

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Steve Koonin: The tough realities of the Paris climate talks

by Judith Curry

And, overarching all this, the tension between emissions reductions and development is complicated by uncertainties in how the climate will change under human and natural influences and how those changes will impact natural and human systems. – Steve Koonin

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Informed Consent for Climate Policy

by Lucas Bergkamp

A hypothetical medical case involving uncertain diagnosis, prognosis, and therapy to explain the wickedness of climate change.
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Adjudicating scientific disputes in climate science

by Judith Curry

The limits of judicial competence and the risk of taking sides

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Pink flamingos versus black swans

by Judith Curry

American strategists would benefit from a longer-range view of history to better inform force design. Thinking historically about the future means dealing openly with those things we want to avoid or are in denial about. – Frank Hoffman

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Adjudicating the future: silencing climate dissent via the courts

by Judith Curry

A British academic wants an international court to declare climate skeptics wrong, once and for all.

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Global climate agreements could be counterproductive

by Judith Curry

International climate agreements like the Kyoto Protocol may discourage much-needed investment in renewable energy sources, and hence be counterprodutive, according to new research.

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On Trial: Social Cost of Carbon

by Judith Curry

The Social Cost of Carbon is on trial in Minnesota.

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The Urgenda ruling in the Netherlands

by Lukas Bergkamp

The Dutch government has decided to appeal the widely publicised “Urgenda” ruling from the district court in The Hague, ordering the Netherlands to step up its climate change actions. There are good reasons why we should hope that the court of appeals will overturn the ruling — it sets a dangerous precedent for judicial activism, is inconsistent with European law and will even undermine international climate negotiations.

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Embracing uncertainty in climate change policy (!)

We argue for a redesign of climate change mitigation policies to be ‘anti-fragile’ with respect to scientific uncertainty. – Otto et al.

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