Category Archives: Consensus

What is there a 97% consensus about?

by Frank Hobbs (franktoo)

At the Senate Hearing on “Dogma and Data”, dogma about the 97% consensus went unchallenged. Democratic Senators constantly recited the phrase “97% consensus”, but it is not clear whether they – or their Republican opponents – had the slightest idea what the phrase meant: 97% of what group support a consensus about exactly what?

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Climate culture

by Andy West

A frequent topic at Climate Etc. is the ‘consensus.’ An argument is presented here that the climate consensus is as much about culture as it is about climate science.

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Adjudicating scientific disputes in climate science

by Judith Curry

The limits of judicial competence and the risk of taking sides

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Adjudicating the future: silencing climate dissent via the courts

by Judith Curry

A British academic wants an international court to declare climate skeptics wrong, once and for all.

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Structured expert judgment

by Judith Curry

Any attempt to impose agreement will “promote confusion between consensus and certainty”. The goal should be to quantify uncertainty, not to remove it from the decision process. –  Willy Aspinall

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The conceits of consensus

by Judith Curry

Critiques, the 3%, and is 47 the new 97?

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Climate Change, Epistemic Trust, and Expert Trustworthiness

by Judith Curry

Among the best indirect indicators available to nonexperts is the overwhelming numbers of scientists testifying to anthropogenic climate change. Yet the evidential significance of such clear numbers turns substantially on our nonexpert assessment of these scientists’ trustworthiness. Absent trust, even without active distrust, the numbers’ evidential weight drops considerably. – Ben Almassi

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