by Judith Curry
Some interesting new papers on the hiatus in global warming.
Posted in Attribution, Data and observations
by Judith Curry
I don’t agree that you, when you become students at colleges, have to be coddled and protected from different points of view. I think you should be able to — anybody who comes to speak to you and you disagree with, you should have an argument with ‘em. – President Obama
Posted in Sociology of science
by Judith Curry
Klotzbach and Gray ask whether the active Atlantic hurricane era has ended, owing to the negative values of the AMO.
Posted in Oceans
by Lukas Bergkamp
The Dutch government has decided to appeal the widely publicised “Urgenda” ruling from the district court in The Hague, ordering the Netherlands to step up its climate change actions. There are good reasons why we should hope that the court of appeals will overturn the ruling — it sets a dangerous precedent for judicial activism, is inconsistent with European law and will even undermine international climate negotiations.
Posted in Policy
by Judith Curry
Climatic Change has a new special issue: Managing Uncertainty Predictions of Climate Change and Impacts.
Posted in Uncertainty
by Judith Curry
This is the strongest, and most cogently made, argument that I’ve seen against political advocacy by academics related to their subject of expertise.
Posted in Ethics
by Judith Curry
We anticipate that it may take a decade for the observations to clarify the situation as to whether the hypothesis has predictive power. – Curry et al. 2006
Posted in Hurricanes
Posted in Consensus
Quotations that serve as a conscience of a profession. – Tom Nelson
Posted in Ethics
by Judith Curry
Among the best indirect indicators available to nonexperts is the overwhelming numbers of scientists testifying to anthropogenic climate change. Yet the evidential significance of such clear numbers turns substantially on our nonexpert assessment of these scientists’ trustworthiness. Absent trust, even without active distrust, the numbers’ evidential weight drops considerably. – Ben Almassi
Posted in Consensus
by Judith Curry
There is a remarkable and disturbing story playing out in the biotechnology academic community over industry funding related to genetically modified food.
Posted in Communication, Ethics
Posted in Ethics
by Judith Curry
A Disgrace to the Profession: The World’s Scientists – in their own words – on Michael E Mann, his Hockey Stick and their Damage to Science – Volume One
Posted in Communication, Ethics
by Judith Curry
If you think about the costs I’ll pay for raising these concerns, including the cost of damaged relationships with people that I like, I think you will conclude that a personal commitment to science is the only thing that could be big enough to offset these costs. – Paul Romer
Posted in Ethics, Scientific method
by Dave Rutledge
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On August 3, President Obama declared that “under the Clean Power Plan, by 2030, renewables will account for 28% of our capacity,” and “will save the average American family nearly $85 on their annual energy bill in 2030.”
We argue for a redesign of climate change mitigation policies to be ‘anti-fragile’ with respect to scientific uncertainty. – Otto et al.
Posted in Attribution, Policy
by Judith Curry
The effects of climate change are already being felt across the nation. In the past three decades, the percentage of Americans with asthma has more than doubled, and climate change is putting those Americans at greater risk of landing in the hospital.
by Judith Curry
There is an unfortunate knowledge monopoly in climate science and policy – the IPCC and UNFCCC. As a result there is insufficient intellectual and political diversity in assessments about climate change. To break this monopoly, we need identify new frameworks for encouraging, publishing and publicizing independent and interdisciplinary ideas and assessments.
Posted in Communication, Sociology of science
by Planning Engineer and Rud Istvan
Microgrids and “clean” energy are intertwined in the minds of many. There is a common belief that microgrids will facilitate “clean” energy and that “clean” energy will better support microgrids.
Posted in Uncategorized
by Judith Curry
Jim Hansen’s new paper, and his PR strategy, are raising a whole host of issues that are arguably a backfire for his objectives.
Posted in Attribution
Posted in Adaptation
by Judith Curry
We know that climate change is a problem – but how big a problem is it? We have to answer this question before we can make a good decision about how much effort to put into dealing with it.
Posted in Climate change impacts, Policy
by Judith Curry
How to gain clarity when making decisions in uncertain and complex situations.
Posted in Policy, Uncertainty