by Judith Curry
Pathological altruism can be conceived as behavior in which attempts to promote the welfare of another, or others, results instead in harm that an external observer would conclude was reasonably foreseeable.
by Judith Curry
Pathological altruism can be conceived as behavior in which attempts to promote the welfare of another, or others, results instead in harm that an external observer would conclude was reasonably foreseeable.
Posted in Policy
by Judith Curry
Failure to communicate the relevant ‘weak link’ is sometimes under-appreciated as a critical element of science-based policy-making.
Posted in Policy, Uncertainty
Lets take a look at the new ‘Warsaw International Mechanism for Loss and Damage’ agreed to by the UNFCCC COP in Warsaw last week, and its potential for breeding a climate of corruption.
Posted in Policy, South Asia
Posted in Policy
by Judith Curry
This list will help non-scientists to interrogate advisers and to grasp the limitations of evidence – William J. Sutherland, David Spiegelhalter and Mark A. Burgman.
Posted in Policy, Scientific method
by Judith Curry
In addition to traditional fallacies such as ad hominem, discussions of risk contain logical and argumentative fallacies that are specific to the subject-matter. Ten such fallacies are identified, that can commonly be found in public debates on risk. They are named as follows: the sheer size fallacy, the converse sheer size fallacy, the fallacy of naturalness, the ostrich’s fallacy, the proof-seeking fallacy, the delay fallacy, the technocratic fallacy, the consensus fallacy, the fallacy of pricing, and the infallability fallacy. – Sven Ove Hansson
Posted in Policy, Uncertainty
by Judith Curry
Informing the extensive preparations needed to manage climate risks, avoid damages, and realize emerging opportunities is a grand challenge for climate change science.
Posted in Policy
by Judith Curry
“I chose the…title largely in reaction to the sanctimonious tone employed by so many of those who advocate substantial and and costly responses to what they see as irrefutable evidence that the world’s climate faces catastrophe…To them the cause has become a substitute religion.” – John Howard
Posted in Policy
by Judith Curry
It’s time to move beyond the old debates and endless gridlock, and find pragmatic, new leverage points to tackle climate change. – Jon Foley
Posted in Policy
The latest IPCC report will not bridge the ideological divide on climate change so it is up to governments to find the sensible centre. – Warwick McKibben
Posted in Policy
by Judith Curry
Diagnosis: paradigm paralysis, caused by motivated reasoning, oversimplification, and consensus seeking; worsened and made permanent by a vicious positive feedback effect at the climate science-policy interface.
Posted in IPCC, Policy, Scientific method
by Judith Curry
The modification of the 2C climate target will put an end to the vision of a “science-based” climate policy – Oliver Geden
Posted in Climate change impacts, Policy, Politics
Posted in Policy
Posted in Policy
I have an interview tonite on NPR’s All Things Considered.
Posted in Communication, Policy, Politics, Uncertainty
by Judith Curry
The world’s poor need more than a token supply of electricity. The goal should be to provide the power necessary to boost productivity and raise living standards. – Morgan Brazilian and Roger Pielke Jr.
Posted in Policy
by Judith Curry
“Many of today’s ecological policy issues are contentious, socially divisive, and full of conundrums.” – Robert Lackey
Posted in Policy
by Judith Curry
The Weather Forecasting Improvement Act of 2013 introduced by Environment Subcommittee Vice Chairman Jim Bridenstine will prioritize the mission of NOAA to include the protection of lives and property, and make funds available to improve weather-related research, operations and computing resources.
Posted in climate models, Policy
by Judith Curry
How much effort should we exert this year as opposed to 10 years from now? How should we manage discontinuous or highly uncertain effects? What is the likelihood of a technological deus ex machina? Will climate change mean geopolitical surprise in the Arctic or from petroleum exporting nations? Are we a world filled with highly flexible innovators or low-turnover, high-cost capital stock? – Hultman, Hassenzahl, Rayner
Posted in Policy