Author Archives: curryja

Senate Hearing – Climate Change: The Need to Act Now

by Judith Curry

The U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works is convening a Hearing today on Climate Change:  The Need to Act Now.

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What can we expect for this year’s Arctic sea ice?

by Judith Curry

The seasonal forecasts of Arctic sea ice minimum have been submitted to annual SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook

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What is the measure of scientific ‘success’?

by Judith Curry

Science has been extraordinarily successful at taking the measure of the world, but paradoxically the world finds it extraordinarily difficult to take the measure of science — or any type of scholarship for that matter. – Stephen Curry

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On the AR4’s projected 0.2C/decade temperature increase

by Judith Curry

“For the next two decades a warming of about 0.2C per decade is expected for a range of emission scenarios.” – IPCC AR4

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Steven Hayward: Conservatism and Climate Science

by Judith Curry

Liberals and environmentalists would do well to take on board the categorical imperative of climate policy from a conservative point of view, namely, that whatever policies are developed, they must be compatible with individual liberty and democratic institutions, and cannot rely on coercive or unaccountable bureaucratic administration. –  Steven Hayward

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Climate adaptation – Bangladesh style

by Judith Curry

With the Ganges–Brahmaputra delta sinking, the race is on to protect millions of people from future flooding. – Quirin Schirmeier

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Clean(?) Coal

by Rud Istvan

Many climate policy debates come down to coal as an electricity fuel, including the EPA’s proposed coal power plant CO2 regulations.

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How ‘extreme’ can it get?

by Judith Curry

When might we see Category 6 hurricanes?  60C surface temperatures?

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Asymmetric responses of Arctic and Antarctic

by Judith Curry

Rapidly melting Arctic sea ice, growing Antarctic sea ice, and concerns about the melting Thwaites glacier – can all of this be explained by anthropogenic global warming?

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State of the blog discussion thread

by Judith Curry

After almost four years of blogging at Climate Etc., its time for some reflection

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World Bank on Understanding Climate Uncertainty

by Judith Curry

The impact of climate change looms large as a deep uncertainty with global consequences. – Khalra et al.

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What is skepticism, anyway?

by Judith Curry

Two recent essays on skepticism stimulate reflections on both the scientific consensus and the high level of public skepticism.

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Explaining(?) abrupt climate change

by Judith Curry

 . . . suggesting that Dansgaard-Oeschger events resulted from a combination of the effects of sea ice and ice shelves—structures that help define the margins of ice sheets—to account for both the rapid and the slower parts of the cycle.

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AGU: Enforcing the consensus

by Michael Asten

I have decided to reject the submission based on the significant scientific consensus regarding the question of human-induced climate change. – Eos editor

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The sociology of correlation and causation

by Judith Curry

Correlation doesn’t imply  causation.

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‘Global warming’ versus ‘climate change’

By Judith Curry

We found that the term “global warming” is associated with greater public understanding, emotional engagement, and support for personal and national action than the term “climate change.” 

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The Astonishing Math of Michael Ghil’s Climate Sensitivity

by Robert Ellison

Climate sensitivity is large in the vicinity of tipping points but moderate otherwise.

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U.S. House Hearing on the IPCC Process

by Judith Curry

The U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Science, Space & Technology is holding a Hearing today at 11 a.m.: Examining the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Process

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IPCC: Functional stupidity?

by Judith Curry

Our point is that the IPCC has bought into a very specific framing of “the problem” that has rendered climate policy ineffective and has foreclosed the possibility of public consent. – Silke Beck et al.

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Climate casino

by Judith Curry

The heart of the climate dynamics debate

by Judith Curry

Lennart Bengtsson’s recent statement on climate research has elicited a response from Andy Lacis, that directly points to the fundamental debate in climate dynamics.

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Are climate scientists being forced to toe the line?

by Judith Curry

Climate researchers are now engaged in a debate about whether their science is being crippled by a compulsion to conform. They wonder if pressure to reach a consensus is too great. They ask if criticism is being suppressed. No less is at stake than the credibility of research evidence for climate change and the very question of whether climate research is still reliable. – Spiegel

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How simple is simple?

by Tomas Milanovic

This essay has been motivated by Isaac Held’s paper [link] arguing for possible emerging simplicity or even linearity in climate dynamics.

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Science and policy – reconciling the two cultures

by Judith Curry

There are obvious issues, such as protecting the independence of advice, acknowledging the limitations of science and being clear about what we know and do not know, to understand how science informs but does not make policy, and the need to ensure honest brokerage of information. – Sir Peter Gluckman

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Mechanisms for Warming of the Oceans

by Donald Rapp

This paper describes a model that uses the basics of heat transfer to demonstrate than an increase in downwelling infrared radiation associated with increased CO2 reduces heat loss from the mixed layer of the ocean, causing the ocean to warm.

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