Author Archives: curryja

Eco-anxiety

Posted on May 6, 2021 | 268 comments

by Judith Curry

The damaging effects of generating eco-anxiety in children. Climate Etc. as an antidote.

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268 Comments

Posted in Communication, Uncategorized

Climate is everything

Posted on May 2, 2021 | 244 comments

by Judith Curry

. . . according to the cover story of April 26 issue of Time Magazine. How have we have fooled ourselves into thinking that manmade climate change is the dominant cause of societal problems?

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244 Comments

Posted in Policy, Uncategorized

Academic freedom and scholarship: perspective from Canada

Posted on April 29, 2021 | 70 comments

by Pamela Lindsay

Mentorships by professors of students are among the vital functions of a university. Here I expose the vulnerable underbelly of mentorship and one possible threat to academic freedom and scholarship.

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70 Comments

Posted in Sociology of science

How we fool ourselves. Part III: Social biases

Posted on April 25, 2021 | 375 comments

by Judith Curry

“Is the road to scientific hell paved with good intentions?” – political psychologist Philip Tetlock (1994)

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375 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

How we fool ourselves. Part II: Scientific consensus building

Posted on April 10, 2021 | 556 comments

by Judith Curry

“Like a magnetic field that pulls iron filings into alignment, a powerful cultural belief is aligning multiple sources of scientific bias in the same direction. – policy scientist Daniel Sarewitz

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556 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

Environmental Justice campaign to replace New York City peaking power plants

Posted on April 2, 2021 | 112 comments

by Roger Caiazza

Environmental justice organizations are currently a major driver of environmental regulation in New York. A new report “The Fossil Fuel End Game, A frontline vision to retire New York City’s peaker plants by 2030” illustrates the campaign strategy they are using to shut down peaking power plants in New York City.  Unfortunately their claims are based more on emotion than fact.

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112 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

A pertinent climate question

Posted on March 28, 2021 | 120 comments

by Michel de Rougemont

Not so innocent as it looks, a pertinent question is asked by Judith Curry on Twitter:

How much of a change in cloudiness would it take to account for the 0.53 W/m2 increase in TOA radiative forcing since 2003?
https://twitter.com/curryja/status/1375144537522204672

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120 Comments

Posted in Sensitivity & feedbacks

Climate adaptation sense. Part III: Dynamic Adaptation Policy Pathways

Posted on March 17, 2021 | 88 comments

by Judith Curry

Best practices in adapting to sea level rise use a framework suitable for decision making under deep uncertainty.

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88 Comments

Posted in Adaptation, Oceans, Uncertainty

Climate adaptation follies. Part II: scenarios of future sea level rise

Posted on March 8, 2021 | 61 comments

by Judith Curry

How did the state of New Jersey come to adopt sea level rise projections for their adaptation planning that are more than twice as high as the IPCC’s values?

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61 Comments

Posted in Adaptation, Uncertainty

Climate adaptation follies. Part I: The New Jersey challenge

Posted on March 7, 2021 | 93 comments

by Judith Curry

New Jersey has a sea level rise problem.  How should this be managed?

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93 Comments

Posted in Adaptation, Oceans

Canceling the AMO

Posted on March 6, 2021 | 140 comments

by Judith Curry

Conclusion from Michael Mann’s new paper:  “We conclude that there is no compelling evidence for internal multidecadal oscillations in the climate system.”

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140 Comments

Posted in Causation, Oceans

Uncomfortable knowledge

Posted on March 3, 2021 | 197 comments

by Judith Curry

On the misuse of science and scientific authority.

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197 Comments

Posted in Policy, Sociology of science, Uncertainty

CO2 sensitivity: the polar solution

Posted on February 26, 2021 | 108 comments

by Alan Longhurst

Natural climate variability in the polar regions.

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108 Comments

Posted in Polar regions, Sensitivity & feedbacks

Assigning Blame for the Blackouts in Texas

Posted on February 18, 2021 | 553 comments

By Planning Engineer

The story from some media sources is that frozen wind turbines are responsible for the power shortfalls in Texas. Other media sources emphasize that fossil fuel resources should shoulder the blame because they have large cold induced outages as well and also some natural gas plants could not obtain fuel.

Extreme cold should be expected to cause significant outages of both renewable and fossil fuel based resources. Why would anyone expect that sufficient amounts of natural gas would be available and deliverable to supply much needed generation? Considering the extreme cold, nothing particularly surprising is happening within any resource class in Texas. The technologies and their performance were well within the expected bounds of what could have been foreseen for such weather conditions. While some degradation should be expected, what is happening in Texas is a departure from what they should be experiencing. Who or what then is responsible for the shocking consequences produced by Texas’s run in with this recent bout of extreme cold?

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553 Comments

Posted in Energy

Assessment of climate change risk to the insurance sector

Posted on February 15, 2021 | 86 comments

by Judith Curry

The insurance sector is abuzz with a new report from AIR Worldwide on the insurance risk from the impact of climate change on hurricanes.  Insurance industry clients of my company, Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN), have requested a critique of this report.

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86 Comments

Posted in Hurricanes

A climate of dialogue

Posted on February 12, 2021 | 183 comments

by Judith Curry

A pacated dialogue between two serious thinkers who disagree about climate change.

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183 Comments

Posted in Sociology of science

Road to Climate Neutrality

Posted on February 8, 2021 | 191 comments

by Judith Curry

Spatial Requirements of Wind/Solar and Nuclear Energy and Their Respective Costs

“In addition to the energy sector, the climate debate also needs a transition. From ideology and wishful thinking, to facts, figures and rationality.”

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191 Comments

Posted in Energy, Policy

Interview: Climate Change – A Different Perspective with Judith Curry

Posted on January 30, 2021 | 374 comments

by Judith Curry

My recent interview on the Strong and Free podcast.

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374 Comments

Posted in Policy, Politics

Looking forward: new technologies in the 2020’s

Posted on January 2, 2021 | 368 comments

by Judith Curry

Looking ahead towards new energy technologies, plus my own saga and rationale for transitioning my personal power generation and consumption. Continue reading →

368 Comments

Posted in Energy

Asymptomatic spread(?) of Covid-19

Posted on December 20, 2020 | 297 comments

by Judith Curry

I just finished reading an article entitled Asymptomatic Spread Revisited. Continue reading →

297 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

The blame game

Posted on December 7, 2020 | 734 comments

by Judith Curry

How the ‘blame game’ gets in the way of solving complex societal problems.

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734 Comments

Posted in Energy, Policy, Politics

Five rules for evidence communication

Posted on November 21, 2020 | 361 comments

by Judith Curry

“Avoid unwarranted certainty, neat narratives and partisan presentation; strive to inform, not persuade.”

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361 Comments

Posted in Communication, Uncertainty

Cultural motivations for wind and solar renewables deployment

Posted on November 19, 2020 | 290 comments

by Andy West

“For me the question now is, now that we know that renewables can’t save the planet, are we going to keep letting them destroy it?”. – Michael Schellenberger Continue reading →

290 Comments

Posted in Energy

Slower decay of landfalling Hurricanes in a warmer world — really?

Posted on November 17, 2020 | 67 comments

by Frank Bosse

A recent paper published in “Nature” made some excitement in the media, see here or here.

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67 Comments

Posted in Hurricanes

Disconnect in the relationship between GMST and ECS

Posted on November 11, 2020 | 142 comments

by Kenneth Fritsch

Abstract. An analysis is presented of  he disconnection between the CMIP5 and CMIP6 Historical and Future periods when considering the relationship of the individual model GMST changes and the climate sensitivity. I have included a simple model that can account for the period disconnection using the negative forcing of aerosol/cloud effects in the Historical period that is carried forward into the Future period.   I attribute some of the uncertainty in simulations of this simple model to endogenous model decision (selection) uncertainty that leads to variations in the changes of the negative forcing in the Historical period carried forward into the Future period.

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142 Comments

Posted in climate models, Sensitivity & feedbacks