Monthly Archives: October 2013

Bangladesh sea level rise

Posted on October 7, 2013 by | 153 comments

by Judith Curry

On the complexity of sea level rise in the Bangladesh delta – global warming may be the least of their concerns.

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153 Comments

Posted in Climate change impacts, South Asia

Confidence levels inside and outside an argument

Posted on October 6, 2013 by | 363 comments

by Judith Curry

[G]iving a very high level of confidence requires a check that you’re not confusing the probability inside one argument with the probability of the question as a whole. – NotWrong

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363 Comments

Posted in Scientific method

Skeptics vs academics

Posted on October 5, 2013 by | 946 comments

by Judith Curry

I am trying to understand how sceptics and warmists can look at pretty much the same information and come up with two very different conclusions – Mike Haseler, the Scottish Sceptic

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946 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

IPCC: fit for its purpose?

Posted on October 4, 2013 by | 184 comments

The IPCC is showing typical signs of middle age, including weight gain, a growing rigidity of viewpoint, and overconfidence in its methods. It did a great job in the early days, but it’s become ritualized and bureaucratic, issuing big bulk reports that do little to answer the hard questions facing policymakers.  – David Keith, as cited by Fred Pearce

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184 Comments

Posted in IPCC

Did the AR5 take the ‘dangerous’ out of AGW?

Posted on October 3, 2013 by | 352 comments

by Judith Curry

Section 12.5.5 in the WG1 Report provides some important insights on what is most commonly regarded as the ‘dangerous’ aspects of AGW.

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352 Comments

Posted in Climate change impacts

Spinning the climate model – observation comparison: Part II

Posted on October 2, 2013 by | 746 comments

by Judith Curry

IPCC model global warming projections have done much better than you think. – Dana Nuccitelli

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746 Comments

Posted in climate models, IPCC

Negotiating the IPCC SPM

Posted on October 1, 2013 by | 319 comments

by Judith Curry

A fascinating look at the how the deliberations in Stockholm influenced the final IPCC AR5 WG1 Summary for Policy Makers

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319 Comments

Posted in IPCC

IPCC: solar variations don’t matter

Posted on October 1, 2013 by | 293 comments

Nevertheless, even if there is such decrease in the solar activity, there is a high confidence that the TSI RF variations will be much smaller in magnitude than the projected increased forcing due to GHG. – IPCC AR5 Chapter 8

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293 Comments

Posted in IPCC, Solar