by Judith Curry
How much effort should we exert this year as opposed to 10 years from now? How should we manage discontinuous or highly uncertain effects? What is the likelihood of a technological deus ex machina? Will climate change mean geopolitical surprise in the Arctic or from petroleum exporting nations? Are we a world filled with highly flexible innovators or low-turnover, high-cost capital stock? – Hultman, Hassenzahl, Rayner
