by Kevin Murphy
A response to: “Is RCP8.5 an impossible scenario?”. This post demonstrates that RCP8.5 is so highly improbable that it should be dismissed from consideration, and thereby draws into question the validity of RCP8.5-based assertions such as those made in the Fourth National Climate Assessment from the U.S. Global Change Research Program.
Posted in Energy
by Judith Curry
A careful look at the early 20th century global warming, which is almost as large as the warming since 1950. Until we can explain the early 20th century warming, I have little confidence IPCC and NCA4 attribution statements regarding the cause of the recent warming.
Posted in Attribution
by Nic Lewis
*** UPDATE : response to comments by Zeke Hausfather appended
There are a number of statements in Cheng et al. (2019) ‘How fast are the oceans warming’, (‘the paper’) that appear to be mistaken and/or potentially misleading. My analysis of these issues is followed by a reply from the paper’s authors.
Contrary to what the paper indicates:
Posted in climate models, IPCC, Oceans
by Judith Curry
There have several interesting papers on ocean heat content published in recent weeks, with some very important implications.
Posted in Oceans
by Alan Cannell
The new tropical lands: a carbon sink during formation and huge source of carbon dioxide and methane when lost to the sea.
Posted in Oceans
by Frank Bosse
A demonstration that multidecadal variation since 1950 leads to overestimation of the Transient Climate Response (TCR).
Posted in Sensitivity & feedbacks
by Judith Curry
“You can say I don’t believe in gravity. But if you step off the cliff you are going down. So we can say I don’t believe climate is changing, but it is based on science.” – Katherine Hayhoe, co-author of the 4th National Climate Assessment Report.
Posted in Consensus, Uncertainty
