Monthly Archives: August 2017

Hurricane Harvey: long-range forecasts

Posted on August 27, 2017 by | 404 comments

by Judith Curry

The 12 year drought of major hurricane landfalls in the U.S. is over, with catastrophic impacts in Texas.  Predictions of Hurricane Harvey illustrate the realization of extended- and long-range hurricane forecasts.

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404 Comments

Posted in Hurricanes

Reviewing the Climate Science Special Report

Posted on August 20, 2017 by | 319 comments

by Judith Curry

Calling on CE Denizens to review the Climate Science Special Report:  nominate an official reviewer, or participate in the CE Crowdsourced Review.

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319 Comments

Posted in Scientific method, Sociology of science

Reviewing the CCSR: Discussion thread

Posted on August 20, 2017 by | 119 comments

by Judith Curry

This post is running parallel to the post Reviewing the Climate Science Special Report (a technical post), to accommodate general discussion on the topic

119 Comments

Posted in Scientific method

What do we know about Arctic sea ice trends?

Posted on August 16, 2017 by | 199 comments

by Dr. Ronan Connolly & Dr. Michael Connolly

Satellite observations indicate that the average Arctic sea ice extent has generally decreased since the start of the satellite records in October 1978. Is this period long enough to assess whether the current sea level trend is unusual, and to what extent the decline is caused by humans?

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199 Comments

Posted in Polar regions

The blame game

Posted on August 14, 2017 by | 182 comments

by Judith Curry

For the sake of argument, let’s accept the IPCC conclusions regarding attribution of global warming, and their 21st century projections.  So, exactly who in the U.S. bears the blame for current and future damages?

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182 Comments

Posted in Ethics, Politics

Nature Unbound IV – The 2400 Bray cycle. Part C

Posted on August 7, 2017 by | 413 comments

by Javier

A possible mechanism for the effect of solar variability on climate, whereby solar variability acts over the stratospheric pressure system transmitting the changes top-down, and over ocean temperatures bottom-up.

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413 Comments

Posted in Adaptation, Data and observations

Electricity in Texas. Part II: the cost of a 100% renewable grid

Posted on August 6, 2017 by | 246 comments

by Peter Davies

While onshore wind generation has been relatively inexpensive for some time, solar PV and lithium ion battery storage costs have recently shown dramatic reductions. So can Texas, with excellent onshore wind and solar resources, be powered economically entirely by renewables in the 2030-40 time frame? This article brings together the available public material to estimate the cost.

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246 Comments

Posted in Energy