Category Archives: Uncertainty

We are all confident idiots

by Judith Curry

Stumbling through all our cognitive clutter just to recognize a true “I don’t know” may not constitute failure as much as it does an enviable success, a crucial signpost that shows us we are traveling in the right direction toward the truth. – David Dunning

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Cognitive bias – how petroleum scientists deal with it

by Peter Rose

Everyone complains about the Weather but nobody does anything about it!

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Bertrand Russell’s 10 commandments

by Judith Curry

Here is some more help for climate scientists suffering from pre-traumatic stress syndrome.

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Lewis and Curry: Climate sensitivity uncertainty

by Judith Curry

Our new paper on climate sensitivity is now published.

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Why scientists should talk to philosophers

by Judith Curry

The divorce between philosophers and scientists is fairly recent.  Its time for a reconciliation.

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IPCC and treatment of uncertainties

by Judith Curry

A new review paper on the IPCC and treatment of uncertainties.

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Overconfidence(?)

by Judith Curry

Yet not once has overconfidence by actual scientists been demonstrated. You just keep making that up. – Chris Colose

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