Category Archives: Uncertainty

Science, uncertainty and advocacy

by Judith Curry

I’m attending an interesting conference in Nottingham:  Circling the square: universities, the media, citizens and politics.

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Driving in the dark

by Judith Curry

Long-term strategies should be built not on “visions” of the future but instead on the premise that longer term predictions (that is, forecasts of situations years and decades out), however presently credible, will probably prove wrong. – Richard Danzig

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Improving climate change communication: moving beyond scientific certainty

by Judith Curry

A new report from The University of Nottingham looks at whether climate scientists threaten their own scientific credibility when trying to make their research accessible to members of the public.

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Stalking the uncertainty monster

by Judith Curry

Its time to check in with the Climate Uncertainty Monster.

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We are all confident idiots

by Judith Curry

Stumbling through all our cognitive clutter just to recognize a true “I don’t know” may not constitute failure as much as it does an enviable success, a crucial signpost that shows us we are traveling in the right direction toward the truth. – David Dunning

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Cognitive bias – how petroleum scientists deal with it

by Peter Rose

Everyone complains about the Weather but nobody does anything about it!

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Bertrand Russell’s 10 commandments

by Judith Curry

Here is some more help for climate scientists suffering from pre-traumatic stress syndrome.

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