Search Results for: RCP8.5

The climate ‘crisis’ isn’t what it used to be

by Judith Curry Growing realization by the climate establishment  that the threat of future warming has been cut in half over the past 5 years.

Projecting manmade climate change: scenarios to 2050

by Judith Curry Stop using the worst-case scenario for climate change — more realistic scenarios make for better policy. 

Senate Budget Committee Hearing Today

by Judith Curry The Hearing on “Risky Business: How Climate Change is Changing Insurance Markets” starts at 10 a.m.

UN’s climate panic is more politics than science

by Judith Curry I have a new op-ed published in The Australian,  here is the complete text.

Assessment of climate change risk to the insurance sector

by Judith Curry The insurance sector is abuzz with a new report from AIR Worldwide on the insurance risk from the impact of climate change on hurricanes.  Insurance industry clients of my company, Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN), have requested … Continue reading

Climate Uncertainty & Risk: the presentation

by Judith Curry A 20 minute presentation on Climate & Uncertainty and Risk (including some content from my forthcoming book)

How much warming can we expect in the 21st century?

by Hakon Karlsen A comprehensive explainer of climate sensitivity to CO2

Climate adaptation follies. Part II: scenarios of future sea level rise

by Judith Curry How did the state of New Jersey come to adopt sea level rise projections for their adaptation planning that are more than twice as high as the IPCC’s values?

Held v Montana Climate Lawsuit

by Judith Curry My reflections on the Held v Montana Climate Lawsuit – the inside story, my written expert report and why I didn’t testify at the trial.  Don’t believe the PR about this case from Our Children’s Trust, which … Continue reading

Apocalyptic versus post-apocalyptic climate politics

by Judith Curry The Inflation Reduction Act that has passed in the US Senate contains a healthy dose of funding for energy and climate initiatives.  There is much discussion as to why this bill looks like it will pass, when … Continue reading

Climate Uncertainty and Risk: Table of Contents

by Judith Curry A preview of the contents of my forthcoming book Climate Uncertainty and Risk. Plus an update on the publication process and availability of the paperbook version for pre-orders.

How we have mischaracterized climate risk

by Judith Curry “The current thinking and approaches guiding this conceptualization and description have been shown to lack scientific rigour, the consequence being that climate change risk and uncertainties are poorly presented. The climate change field needs to strengthen its … Continue reading

5 minutes

by Judith Curry How would you explain the complexity and uncertainty surrounding climate change plus how we should respond (particularly with regards to CO2 emissions) in five minutes?

Is RCP8.5 an impossible scenario?

by Judith Curry In considering ‘worst case’ climate change impacts, we first need to assess the realistic worst case for global carbon emissions.

NETZERO is impeding progress on UN Sustainable Development Goals

by Judith Curry “Working in global energy and development, I often hear people say, ‘Because of climate, we just can’t afford for everyone to live our lifestyles.’ That viewpoint is worse than patronizing. It’s a form of racism, and it’s … Continue reading

The Primacy of Doubt

by Judith Curry Tim Palmer’s new book has just been published: “The Primacy of Doubt: From Quantum Physics to Climate Change, How the Science of Uncertainty Can Help Us Understand Our Chaotic World” This book is a physics-intellectual feast.  Must … Continue reading

New Confirmation that Climate Models Overstate Atmospheric Warming

by Ross McKitrick Two new peer-reviewed papers from independent teams confirm that climate models overstate atmospheric warming and the problem has gotten worse over time, not better. The papers are Mitchell et al. (2020) “The vertical profile of recent tropical … Continue reading

Climate adaptation sense. Part III: Dynamic Adaptation Policy Pathways

by Judith Curry Best practices in adapting to sea level rise use a framework suitable for decision making under deep uncertainty.

Crossing (or not) the 1.5 and 2.0C thresholds

by Judith Curry “The first rule of climate chess is this.  The board is bigger than we think, and includes more than fossil fuels.”  – Jon Foley

3 degrees C?

by Judith Curry Is 3 C warming over the 21st century now the ‘best estimate’?  A reframing of how we think about climate change over the 21st century, and my arguments for 1 C.

The toxic rhetoric of climate change

by Judith Curry “I genuinely have the fear that climate change is going to kill me and all my family, I’m not even kidding it’s  all I have thought about for the last 9 months every second of the day. … Continue reading

Feasibility for achieving a net zero economy for the U.S. by 2050

By Michael J. Kelly I imagine that I have been appointed the first CEO of a new agency set up by the Federal Government of the United States of America with the explicit goal of actually delivering a Net Zero … Continue reading

What’s the worst case? Emissions/concentration scenarios

by Judith Curry Is the RCP8.5 scenario plausible?

Climate ‘limits’ and timelines

by Judith Curry Some thoughts in response to a query from a reporter.

Reassessing the RCPs

by Kevin Murphy A response to: “Is RCP8.5 an impossible scenario?”. This post demonstrates that RCP8.5 is so highly improbable that it should be dismissed from consideration, and thereby draws into question the validity of RCP8.5-based assertions such as those … Continue reading