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Week in review 3/2/12

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week.

The climate wars have continued this week, aided and abetted by the Gleick affair.

Climate warriors

An op-ed in Physics Today: Climate Scientists Not Cowed by Relentless Climate Deniers.  Read the whole thing.  Some excerpts:

Fossil-fuel interests, says Gavin Schmidt, a climate researcher at NASA, “have adopted a shoot-the-messenger approach. It’s been a very successful strategy. They have created a chilling effect, so other [scientists] won’t say what they think and the conversation in public stays bereft of anyone who knows what they are talking about.” Schmidt cofounded RealClimate.org, a forum for climate scientists to “provide a quick response to developing stories and provide the context sometimes missing in mainstream commentary.” Meanwhile, the Competitive Enterprise Institute, a vocal opponent to limiting greenhouse gas emissions, is suing NASA for the release of Schmidt’s personal emails.

One new development is the Climate Science Rapid Response Team, which features more than 140 climate scientists plus a few historians and economists on call to provide information to journalists and lawmakers. Trenberth, a member of the team, says, “[We] provide rebuttal, response, and clarification” to misleading reports in the media.
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This past September, rapid response team cofounder Scott Mandia and others launched the Climate Science Legal Defense Fund. The nonprofit group raises money for climate scientists embroiled in legal battles. As of December, it had raised more than $20 000 for Mann, who is fighting Freedom of Information Act demands by the American Tradition Institute think tank for 5000 pages of his email correspondence. The fund also offers informal counseling to harassed climate scientists and plans to hire a staff attorney to offer quick and experienced help. “Many scientists think they can win by blocking punches. You have to throw them,” says Mandia, who teaches physical sciences at New York’s Suffolk County Community College. “The main thing is that the world understands there is a group that will defend climate scientists who are being harassed.”
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JC question:  I assume this went to press prior to the Heartland/Gleick affair?  And what is it that scientists are trying to ‘win’?  By the way, Ben Santer has the closest thing to sensible comments in this essay.
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The LA Times has a lengthy article on Michael Mann’s new book:  The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars.  Has anyone read this yet?  I read the 2+ chapters available for free at amazon.com.  The LA Times review reads like it could have been written by Michael Mann himself.  Until you get to the last few paragraphs, which I reproduce here:

Mann ends his book on a prophetic note with a chapter titled “Fighting Back.” He expresses hopefulness that he and his fellow scientists can turn the tide of public opinion not by remaining unbiased observers on the sidelines, as they have done traditionally, but by taking a more active role in the debate. After many of his colleagues stood up for him during a witch hunt by Virginia Atty. Gen. Ken Cuccinelli, who was demanding every email, record or document related to Mann during his time as a professor at the University of Virginia, Mann was inspired to believe that scientists working as a team could make a difference. “Something is different now,” Mann concludes. “The forces of climate change denial have, I believe, awakened a ‘sleeping bear.’ My fellow scientists will be fighting back, and I look forward to joining them in this battle.”

That’s something Mann might want to rethink. Peter Gleick, a MacArthur “genius” grant recipient for his work on global freshwater challenges and president of the Pacific Institute, admitted earlier this month to borrowing a page directly from the denialists’ playbook. Posing as someone else, he obtained internal documents from the Heartland Institute and distributed them to journalists, a tactic little different from the hack attack at the University of East Anglia that has been decried by environmentalists. Gleick’s activism has ravaged his own reputation and given further ammunition to climate deniers, who won’t have to look far to find a climate scientist whose political opinions have seemingly overcome his better judgment.

That’s why Mann’s conclusion is the only sour note in an otherwise highly readable and intelligent book, and why his own growing profile as an activist might come back to haunt him. Scientists, like journalists, really are more credible when they stick to the evidence, report the facts and let society come to its own conclusions. You handle the science, professor Mann; we’ll handle the punditry.

JC comment:  Bravo for the last paragraph.

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Climate Science Watch has a post entitled Climate Science Legal Defense Fund: Support Michael Mann. Excerpts:

Funds are needed to:

1.     Fend-off the American Tradition Institute’s demand to take Dr. Mann’s deposition, which is a blatant attempt to harass and intimidate him for exercising his constitutional rights by petitioning to intervene in the case.

2.     Defeat ATI’s attempt to obtain Dr. Mann’s email correspondence through the civil discovery process, which essentially is an “end-run” around the scholarly research exemption under the Virginia FOIA law.

3.     Prepare for summary judgment on the issue of the exempt status of his email correspondence under the Virginia FOIA law

JC comment:  The date of this post is Feb 28.  Only Michael Mann is mentioned.  Looks like Gleick is being thrown under the bus by this group?  I don’t envy Gleick’s lawyer bills.

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The (dis)loyal opposition

Check out this WSJ video interview of Joseph Bast, President of Heartland Institute.  Its about 8 minutes long, but well worth a watch.  His statements about climate science sound pretty lukewarm.

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Ben Pile has a hard hitting article with subtitle ” the inconvenient truth for greens is that there is no denialist conspiracy blocking climate change action.”  His closing paragraph:

The environmental movement is as promiscuous with its ‘ethics’ as it is with ‘The Science’. You can make stuff up, apparently, just so long as you do so in order to ‘save the planet’. And this is why sums as paltry and insignificant as $1,000 are so important to their perspective. It is only by amplifying the trivial that the myth of ‘networks’ of ‘well-funded deniers’ can be sustained. It’s only when you lose a sense of proportion that a few million dollars can stop global action on climate change. Trivia, vanity and mythology allows environmentalists to turn ordinary facts of politics – funding, associations of people, and campaigning organisations – into secret conspiracies to explain their own failure to create a popular movement.

Keeping score from the sidelines

The Columbia Journalism Review has an article Heartland, Gleick and Media Law.  A very interesting but long article.  The punchline:

It’s hard to imagine, then, that after answering the three big questions about deception—Is it legal? Questionable. Is it worth it? Questionable. Is there another way? Probably.—that a news outlet would have acted as Gleick did.

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Donna LaFramboise asks the following question: Where do Gleick’s apologists draw the line?  Excerpts:

Climate change is a strange beast. When it enters the room, even ethicists lose the ability to think straight.

It will be fascinating to see how this story develops. In the meantime here is a question for all of the above apologists. Where do you draw the line?

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I get it. Lying and stealing and misleading are OK so long as they help advance a good cause. What else is acceptable? Old fashioned burglary? Arson? Car bombs?

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Where is the line?

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Megan McArdle has an  interesting article in the Atlantic entitled Why we should act to stop global warming and why we won’t.   Read this paragraph and be amazed:

I’ve basically outsourced my opinion on the science to people like Jonathan Adler, Ron Bailey, and Pat Michaels of Cato–all of whom concede that anthropogenic global warming is real, though they may contest the likely extent, or desired remedies.  
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JC comment: these are her preferred experts, and they have convinced her of global warming.
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So why do I still support action–especially, climate skeptics demand, when the science is so uncertain?
 
Well, because we’ve only go the one climate.  I don’t like running large one-way experiments on vital systems we don’t know how to fix.  The risk of a catastrophic outcome may be small, but it would be pretty darn terrible to find out that hey, we hit the jackpot!
 
Of course, in some sense, this is a cheap belief, because I don’t think that we’re going to do anything about it–nay, not even if Megan McArdle spends all her time advocating for such an outcome.  The forces arrayed against action are just too powerful–and no, I don’t mean the Cato Institute.
 
Indeed, I think that this is where Peter Gleick went off the rails.  As much as I disagree with Heartland on global warming, they may influence a bare handful of people.  What really influences people is contemplating their own lives with doubled or tripled electric bills and $8 a gallon gas.  To paraphrase Chesterton, serious belief in global warming–the kind that makes you stop climbing aboard $@#! planes to climate change conferences in scenic and distant locales–has not been tried and found wanting.  It has been found difficult, and left untried.
 
Even if he’d found something much more damaging than he managed to fish out of their confidential files, it wouldn’t have meaningfully altered the global warming policy debate.  That debate really isn’t much about whether this is happening, because most people don’t have the scientific background, the intellectual ability, or the interest to determine whether this is happening.  (I am speaking now of both sides: the average person who drips contempt for those mouth-breathing climate deniers has exactly as much personal knowledge about climate change as some talk radio host arguing that global warming is a crock because hey, it snowed last week!) 
 
No, the debate is about how unpleasant it would be to prevent it–which really isn’t much of a debate, either, because the obvious answer is “very, except maybe for DINK urbanites”.  And that’s where the discussion pretty much stalls out.
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