-
Search
Denizens
Recent comments
- jim2 on Fact checking the fact checkers on my Prager U video
- BA Bushaw (ganon1950) on Fact checking the fact checkers on my Prager U video
- Joshua on Fact checking the fact checkers on my Prager U video
- Joshua on Fact checking the fact checkers on my Prager U video
- Joshua on Fact checking the fact checkers on my Prager U video
- climategrog on How we know the sun changes the climate. III: Theories
- climategrog on How we know the sun changes the climate. III: Theories
- climategrog on How we know the sun changes the climate. III: Theories
- Christos Vournas on How we know the sun changes the climate. III: Theories
- Christos Vournas on How we know the sun changes the climate. III: Theories
-
Recent Posts
- How we know the sun changes the climate. III: Theories
- Fact checking the fact checkers on my Prager U video
- How we know that the sun changes climate (II). The present
- Annual GWPF lecture: Climate Uncertainty and Risk
- How we know that the sun changes the Climate. Part I: The past
- There is no human right to a safe or stable climate
- The extraordinary climate events of 2022-24
- Mann v. Steyn: Round 2
- IPCC’s New “Hockey Stick” Temperature Graph
- Time to Retire the Term “Renewable Energy” from Serious Discussions and Policy Directives: Part 3
- Time to Retire the Term “Renewable Energy” from Serious Discussions and Policy Directives: Part II
- JC’s ethics complaint against Michael Mann
- JC’s expert report
- Time to retire the term ‘renewable energy’ from serious discussion and energy policy directives
- Two model-observation comparisons confirm: CMIP6 models run too hot
Categories
Blogroll
- A chemist in Langley
- AndThenTheresPhysics
- Bill Hooke
- Cliff Mass
- Climate Audit
- Clive Best
- Ed Hawkins
- HeterodoxAcademy
- Kahn: Environmental & Urban Economics
- Paul Homewood
- Pragmatic Environmentalist
- Saravanan: MetaModel
- Science of Doom
- The Ethical Skeptic
- Watts Up With That?
- WoodForTrees
- Wx & Climate @ Reading
Archives
Email Subscription
Join 5,410 other subscribersMeta
Search Results for: uncertainty monster
Open thread weekend.
Here in the U.S. we have been distracted all week by Hurricane Sandy and Presidential election. Its your turn to introduce some new topics for discussion.
Posted in Week in review
Quote of the week
by Judith Curry I can envisage an irony of history where climatology enters a period of crisis and loses its central place in public discourse about climate change, thus opening up discursive spaces for pragmatic options to deal with the … Continue reading
Posted in IPCC
Sensitivity about sensitivity
by Judith Curry . . . the IPCC’s sensitivity estimate cannot readily be reconciled with forcing estimates and observational data. – James Annan
Posted in Sensitivity & feedbacks
The ethics of framing science
by Judith Curry . . . as scientists are increasingly viewed not as honest brokers, but as advocates aligned with the goals of the Democratic party, scientists and their organizations risk losing public trust and only likely contribute to polarization … Continue reading
Posted in Communication, Ethics
Social cost of carbon
by Judith Curry The debate on the social cost of carbon is heating up.
Posted in Policy
Keith Seitter on the ‘uncertainty monster’
by Judith Curry Keith Seitter is Executive Director of the American Meteorological Society.
Posted in Uncertainty
Stratospheric uncertainty
by Judith Curry The new data call into question our understanding of observed stratospheric temperature trends and our ability to test simulations of the stratospheric response to emissions of greenhouse gases and ozone-depleting substances. – Thompson et al.
Posted in Data and observations, Uncertainty
Climate sensitivity in the AR5 SOD
by Judith Curry By far the most important debate about climate change is taking place among scientists, on the issue of climate sensitivity: How much warming will a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide actually produce? – Matt Ridley
Posted in Sensitivity & feedbacks
John Howard: One Religion is Enough
by Judith Curry “I chose the…title largely in reaction to the sanctimonious tone employed by so many of those who advocate substantial and and costly responses to what they see as irrefutable evidence that the world’s climate faces catastrophe…To them … Continue reading
Posted in Policy
Italian seismologists: guilty(?)
by Judith Curry Six Italian scientists and an ex-government official have been sentenced to six years in prison over the 2009 deadly earthquake in L’Aquila. – BBC
Posted in Communication, Ethics, Uncertainty
Climate model discussion thread
by Judith Curry My perspective on climate models (uncertainty monster, DOE presentation, RS presentation) have been regarded as outside the ‘mainstream’. Here are some new papers by leading climate modelers that provide new evidence and arguments on the concerns that … Continue reading
Posted in climate models
Hegerl et al. react to the Uncertainty Monster paper
by Judith Curry Gabrielle Hegerl, Peter Stott, Susan Solomon, and Francis Zwiers have published a comment to our paper “Climate Science and the Uncertainty Monster.” Webster and Curry respond. The CRU emails provide some interesting context for this discussion. .
Posted in Uncertainty
‘Pause’ : Waving the Italian Flag
by Judith Curry The recent articles in the Daily Mail and the Guardian are generating heated reactions – more heat than light. Lets break down the arguments on both side and assess them systematically.
Posted in Attribution
Defending the Uncertainty Monster paper
by Judith Curry I’ve completed a revised draft of my response the to Reply to our Uncertainty Monster paper.
Posted in Uncertainty
Pause tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling
by Judith Curry Update: New comment from Xie My mind has been blown by a new paper just published in Nature.
Posted in Attribution, climate models
Uncertainty monster visits MIT
by Judith Curry This Thursday, I will be visiting the Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences (EAPS) at MIT, giving the Victor Starr Lecture.
Posted in Uncertainty
Uncertainty monster visits MIT: Part II
by Judith Curry I’m in San Diego, with a few moments to catch up on the blog and share my impressions of my visit to MIT.
Posted in Uncertainty
Does the Aliasing Beast Feed the Uncertainty Monster?
by Richard Saumarez Many continuous signals are sampled so that they can be manipulated digitally. We assume that the train of samples in the time domain gives a true picture of what the underlying signal is doing, but can we … Continue reading
Posted in Data and observations, Uncertainty
John Christy’s EPW testimony
by Judith Curry John Christy’s testimony to the Senate Committee Environment & Public Works Committee can be found here [christy testimony 2012].
Posted in Attribution, Skeptics
Breaking News: Gleick Confesses
by Judith Curry Peter Gleick Admits to Deception in Obtaining Heartland Files
Posted in Ethics
Psychology of Uncertainty
by Judith Curry When we fail to distinguish between discovering order IN nature and imposing order ON nature, we have lost relationship with the very thing we yearn to know. Whereas once we were students of nature, looking to her for meaning, we now denigrate her … Continue reading
Posted in Uncertainty
Uncertainty Monster paper in press
by Judith Curry My paper “Climate Science and the Uncertainty Monster” is in press at the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
Posted in Uncertainty
Philosophical reflections on climate model projections
by Judith Curry Should probabilistic qualities be assigned to climate model projections? Are the approaches used by the IPCC for assessing climate model projection quality – confidence building, subjective Bayesian, and likelihood – appropriate for climate models? What are some … Continue reading
Posted in climate models, Scientific method
Observation-based (?) attribution
by Judith Curry Moreover, it appears likely that essentially all of this increase results from the human emission of greenhouse gases. These findings are stronger than those of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the United Nations group that defines the … Continue reading
Posted in Attribution
Taming the Uncertainty Monster
by Judith Curry The concluding section in my draft paper on “Climate Science and the Uncertainty Monster” (discussed previously on this thread) is entitled “Taming the uncertainty monster.”
Posted in Uncertainty
