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Search Results for: uncertain
Resplandy et al. Part 2: Regression in the presence of trend and scale systematic errors
by Nic Lewis In a recent article I set out why I thought that the trend in ΔAPOClimate was overstated, and its uncertainty greatly understated, in the Resplandy et al. ocean heat uptake study. In this article I expand on the … Continue reading
Posted in Oceans
Week in review – science edition
by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye this past week.
Posted in Week in review
Resplandy et al. Part 3: Findings regarding statistical issues and the authors’ planned correction
By Nic Lewis Introduction The Resplandy et al. (2018) ocean heat uptake study (henceforth Resplandy18) is based on measured changes in the O2/N2 ratio of air sampled each year, compared to air stored in high pressure tanks originally sampled in … Continue reading
Posted in Data and observations, Oceans, Uncertainty
Climate Change: What’s the Worst Case?
by Judith Curry My new manuscript is now available.
Posted in Uncertainty
Hearing on Using Technology to Address Climate Change
by Judith Curry The House Committee on Science, Space & Technology Hearing on Using Technology to Address Climate Change is about to begin.
Posted in Policy
Early 20th century global warming
by Judith Curry A careful look at the early 20th century global warming, which is almost as large as the warming since 1950. Until we can explain the early 20th century warming, I have little confidence IPCC and NCA4 attribution … Continue reading
Posted in Attribution
Committed warming and the pattern effect
By Nic Lewis A critique of the paper “Greater committed warming after accounting for the pattern effect”, by Zhou, Zelinka, Dessler and Wang.
Posted in Sensitivity & feedbacks
Is ocean warming accelerating faster than thought?
by Nic Lewis *** UPDATE : response to comments by Zeke Hausfather appended There are a number of statements in Cheng et al. (2019) ‘How fast are the oceans warming’, (‘the paper’) that appear to be mistaken and/or potentially misleading. … Continue reading
Posted in climate models, IPCC, Oceans
Hothouse Earth
by Judith Curry We need to raise the bar on how we think about the possible worst case scenario for climate change.
Posted in Sensitivity & feedbacks
Hurricanes and Climate Change: Attribution
by Judith Curry Part II: what causes variations and changes in hurricane activity?
Posted in Hurricanes, Uncategorized
Climate uncertainty & risk
by Judith Curry I’ve been invited to write an article on climate uncertainty and risk.
Posted in climate models, Policy, Uncertainty
The Uncertainty Monster: Lessons From Non-Orthodox Economics
by Vincent Randall A perspective on economists’ grappling with the ‘uncertainty monster.’
Posted in Economics, Uncertainty
Decision strategies for uncertain, complex situations
by Judith Curry How to gain clarity when making decisions in uncertain and complex situations.
Posted in Policy, Uncertainty
A philospher’s reflections on AGW denial
by Dr. Paul Viminitz Of the things I care most about, AGW is near the bottom. But because, as George W. Bush put it, either you’re with us or you’re against them, I think I’d rather be interestingly wrong than … Continue reading
Posted in Skeptics
Four questions on climate change
by Garth Paltridge An essay on the state of climate change science.
Posted in Sociology of science
Ocean Heat Content Surprises
by Judith Curry There have several interesting papers on ocean heat content published in recent weeks, with some very important implications.
Posted in Oceans
Sea level rise: what’s the worst case?
by Judith Curry Draft of article to be submitted for journal publication.
Posted in Oceans, Uncertainty
Paris Accord: QTIIPS
by Judith Curry QTIIPS stands for Quantitatively Trivial Impact + Intense Political Symbolism. – Keith Hennessey
Posted in Policy
A major problem with the Resplandy et al. ocean heat uptake paper
by Nic Lewis Obviously doubtful claims about new research regarding ocean content reveal how unquestioning Nature, climate scientists and the MSM are.
Posted in Data and observations, Oceans, Uncertainty
Beyond ENSO: new signals of seasonal to interannual predictability
by Judith Curry My new talk on improving seasonal to interannual climate predictions.
Posted in Prediction
Rethinking the Social Cost of Carbon
by Judith Curry The Social Cost of Carbon is emerging as a major source of contention in the Trump Administration.
Posted in Economics, Policy, Sensitivity & feedbacks
Sea level rise acceleration (or not): Part VI. Projections for the 21st century
by Judith Curry The concern about sea level rise is driven primarily by projections of future sea level rise.
Posted in Oceans
The politics of knowledge
by Judith Curry One needs to ask good questions about whose claims to trust and why. – Sheila Jasanoff
Posted in Politics, Sociology of science
Assessment of Approaches to Updating the Social Cost of Carbon
by Judith Curry Some new analyses are shedding some light on deficiencies in the approach to estimate the social cost of carbon.
Warming patterns are unlikely to explain low historical estimates of climate sensitivity
By Nic Lewis A critique of of a new paper by Andrews et al., Accounting for changing temperature patterns increases historical estimates of climate sensitivity.
Posted in climate models, Sensitivity & feedbacks
