Search Results for: red team

Why the CO2 reduction pathways are too stringent

by Jacques Hagoort Why the IPCC carbon budgets in SR1.5 are over conservative, and the CO2 reduction pathways are too stringent.

Did lockdowns really save 3 million COVID-19 deaths, as Flaxman et al. claim?

By Nic Lewis Key points about the recent Nature paper by Flaxman and other Imperial College modellers

Assessments, meta-analyses, discussion and peer review

by Judith Curry There is an unfortunate knowledge monopoly in climate science and policy – the IPCC and UNFCCC.  As a result there is insufficient intellectual and political diversity in assessments about climate change.  To break this monopoly, we need … Continue reading

Shifting sands of the climate debate

by Judith Curry Insiders are out; and outsiders are becoming the insiders.

Long-range predictability of seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity

by Jim Johnstone and Judith Curry Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) has identified new early precursors for seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity that involve systematic, repeating interactions among ENSO, stratospheric circulations and regional North Atlantic processes.

The Oroville Dam 2017 Spillway Incident – Possible Causes and Solutions

by Telis Koskinas On February 2017, Oroville Dam gained worldwide attention when its main spillway suddenly failed, seemingly without precedent, under natural operating conditions.

How hurricanes replenish their vast supply of rain water

by Makarieva A.M., Gorshkov V.G., Nefiodov A.V., Chikunov A.V., Sheil D., Nobre A.D., Li B.-L. New questions and ideas about hurricanes and their power.

We are all confident idiots

by Judith Curry Stumbling through all our cognitive clutter just to recognize a true “I don’t know” may not constitute failure as much as it does an enviable success, a crucial signpost that shows us we are traveling in the … Continue reading

Impact of Climate Change on Human Evolution: The Odyssey from Africa

by Phil Salmon How a small group of people from Africa changed the world.

Institutionalizing Dissent

by Judith Curry As many have argued, rigorous scientific research requires dissent, or what Robert Merton called “organized skepticism”. Yet it is increasingly the case that some forms of dissent in pharmaceutical research are either absent or unheard. – Justin … Continue reading

Sea level rise acceleration (or not): Part IV – Satellite era record

by Judith Curry Part IV of the Climate Etc. series on sea level rise focuses on the satellite era (since 1993), including the recent causes of sea level variations and arguments regarding the acceleration (or not) of recent sea level … Continue reading

Is the Arctic sea ice ‘spiral of death’ dead?

by Greg Goodman This year, as every year, there has been much excitement in the media about ‘catastrophic’ melting of Arctic sea-ice, run-away melting, tipping points, death spirals and “ice-free” summers.

Post-mortem on the forecasts of Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew

by Judith Curry Reflections on forecasting hurricanes in light of U.S. landfalling Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew, highlighting the complexities of forecast ensemble interpretation.

Climate scientists versus climate data

by John Bates A look behind the curtain at NOAA’s climate data center.

Lorenz validated

by Kip Hansen Some reflections on NCAR’s Large Ensemble.

Hearing: A Factual Look at the Relationship Between Climate and Weather

by Judith Curry The U.S. House Subcommittee on  Environment is holding a Hearing today: A Factual Look at the Relationship Between Climate and Weather.

Impact of AMO/PDO on U.S. regional surface temperatures

by Judith Curry The conclusion is that the oscillatory mode (mostly due to the AMO) is significantly more important than the monotonic mode (mostly due to increasing atmospheric CO2) in explaining the 1980–2000 U.S. temperature increase.  – Bruce Kurtz

Has NOAA ‘busted’ the pause in global warming?

by Judith Curry A new blockbuster paper published today by NOAA: These results do not support the notion of a “slowdown” in the increase of global surface temperature.   Color me ‘unconvinced.’

Critique of Mann’s new paper characterizing the AMO

by Nic Lewis Michael Mann has had a paper on the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) accepted by Geophysical Research Letters.  The paper seeks to overturn the current understanding of the AMO. But on my reading of the paper Mann’s case … Continue reading

Conflicts of interest in climate science

by Judith Curry Once you tug on the thread of undisclosed financial interests in climate science, you’ll find it more a norm than exception. – Roger Pielke Jr (tweet)

John Christy’s EPW testimony

by Judith Curry John Christy’s testimony to the Senate Committee Environment & Public Works Committee can be found here [christy testimony 2012].

Ice sheet collapse?

by Rud Istvan One of the catastrophes associated with anthropogenic global warming (CAGW) is a rising sea.     Is the projected rise and rate unprecedented? Will it be catastrophic?                           … Continue reading

Nic Lewis on the UK Met Office on the pause

by Nic Lewis These comments constitute a response to erroneous statements and misrepresentations made in a report published by the Met Office in July 2013: “The recent pause in global warming (3): What are the implications for projections of future … Continue reading

Gamesmanship

by Judith Curry “Extreme Event Learning Through Serious Fun”– a completely new way of engaging with the risks of climate change impacts and how we manage them.

Nature on Heartland

by Judith Curry Nature has just published an editorial on the Heartland Conference entitled “Heart of the Matter” with subtitle “The Heartland Institute’s climate conference reveals the motives of global warming skeptics.”