Search Results for: credibility

Alarm about alarmism

by Judith Curry The climate change debate has entered what we might call the “Campfire Phase”, in which the goal is to tell the scariest story. – Oren Cass (twitter)

Plausible scenarios for climate change: 2020-2050

by Judith Curry A range of scenarios for global mean surface temperature change between 2020 and 2050, derived using a semi-empirical approach. All three modes of natural climate variability – volcanoes, solar and internal variability – are expected to act … Continue reading

Emergent constraints on climate sensitivity: Part II

by Nic Lewis The four constraints that Caldwell assessed as credible.

Happy Birthday Climate Etc.

by Judith Curry Can you guess which birthday this is?

Week in review – science edition

by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye this past week (well actually, the past month).

National Climate Assessment and the Trump administration

The National Climate Assessment must be redirected or terminated by Patrick J. Michaels Periodic National Assessments of the effects of climate change on the U.S. are mandated by the 1990 Global Change Research Act. The next Assessment Report is scheduled to … Continue reading

Hurricanes and Climate Change: Attribution

by Judith Curry Part II:  what causes variations and changes in hurricane activity?

(Mis) communicating science in public controversies

by Judith Curry Bringing uncertainty to the public debate or putting the credibility of climate science at risk matters less to them than interest groups misusing or the public misinterpreting their results. – Senja Post

A veneer of certainty stoking climate alarm

by Judith Curry In private, climate scientists are much less certain than they tell the public. – Rupert Darwall

Week in review – science edition

by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye this past week.

Sea level rise acceleration (or not): Part II – The geological record

By Judith Curry Part II of the Climate Etc. series on sea level rise –the geological record provides context for the recent sea level rise.

Discussion: JC’s ‘role’

by Judith Curry In view of recent controversies, numerous criticisms have been made about my ‘role,’ with expectations of things that I ‘should’ be doing.

Brown and Caldeira: A closer look shows global warming will not be greater than we thought

by Nic Lewis A critique of a recent paper by Brown and Caldeira published in Nature that predicted greater than expected global warming.

Climate modelers open up their black boxes to scrutiny

by Judith Curry Paul Voosen has written a remarkable article in Science about climate model tuning.

Renewable resources and the importance of generation diversity

by Planning Engineer How feasible are calls for 100% renewable energy?

Sea level rise acceleration (or not): Part III – 19th & 20th century observations

By Judith Curry “We are in the uncomfortable position of extrapolating into the next century without understanding the last.” – Walter Munk 

Week in review – energy and policy edition

by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye this past week.

Controversy over comparing models with observations

by Judith Curry My draft talk elicited an interesting conversation on twitter, that deserves some wider discussion.

Beyond Physics: Advanced Biology and Climate Change

by Clive Hambler Reflections on the stabilization of Earth’s climate by life.

Appraising Marvel et al.: Implications of forcing efficacies for climate sensitivity estimates

by Nicholas Lewis Different agents may have effects on global temperature (GMST) different to those which would be expected simply by reference to the radiative forcing they exert. This difference is encapsulated in the term “forcing efficacy”.

Response to critiques: Climate scientists versus climate data

by Judith Curry Not surprisingly, John Bates’ blog post and David Rose’s article in the Mail on Sunday have been receiving some substantial attention.

Politics and the Changing Norms of Science

by Lucas Bergkamp  “The politician is sometimes tempted to encroach on the normal territory of the scientific estate. In such issues the problem is less often whether politics will presume to dictate to science than it is how much politics … Continue reading

Climate Change, Epistemic Trust, and Expert Trustworthiness

by Judith Curry Among the best indirect indicators available to nonexperts is the overwhelming numbers of scientists testifying to anthropogenic climate change. Yet the evidential significance of such clear numbers turns substantially on our nonexpert assessment of these scientists’ trustworthiness. … Continue reading

Improving climate change communication: moving beyond scientific certainty

by Judith Curry A new report from The University of Nottingham looks at whether climate scientists threaten their own scientific credibility when trying to make their research accessible to members of the public.

IPCC in transition

by Judith Curry Will Pachauri’s karma run over IPCC’s dogma? – Peter Foster