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Search Results for: cfan
Post-mortem on the forecasts of Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew
by Judith Curry Reflections on forecasting hurricanes in light of U.S. landfalling Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew, highlighting the complexities of forecast ensemble interpretation.
Posted in Extreme events, Hurricanes
Skin in the game
by Judith Curry Some reflections on my transition from academic climate research to private sector weather forecasting and regional climate change assessments.
Posted in Energy, Sociology of science
JC interview: hurricanes and global warming
by Judith Curry My recent interview with David Whitehouse of the Global Warming Policy Foundation on Hurricanes Harvey and Irma and the link with global warming.
Posted in Hurricanes
Generating regional scenarios of climate change
by Judith Curry This post is about the practical aspects of generating regional scenarios of climate variability and change for the 21st century.
Posted in climate models
Tactical adaptation to Indian heat waves
by Judith Curry Ahmedabad’s Heat Action Plan offers a proven track record and model to protect their residents from heat waves. My Georgia Tech/CFAN colleagues Violeta Toma, Peter Webster and Mark Jelinek are enabling this Plan with a pioneering heat wave … Continue reading
Posted in Adaptation
Confluence (not conflict) of interest
by Judith Curry The term conflict of interest is pejorative. It is confrontational and presumptive of inappropriate behavior. – Anne Cappola and Garret FitzGerald
Posted in Ethics, Sociology of science
Conflicts of interest in climate science
by Judith Curry Once you tug on the thread of undisclosed financial interests in climate science, you’ll find it more a norm than exception. – Roger Pielke Jr (tweet)
Posted in Ethics
Ins and outs of the ivory tower
by Judith Curry This is the strongest, and most cogently made, argument that I’ve seen against political advocacy by academics related to their subject of expertise.
Posted in Ethics
My interview with Mrs. Green
by Judith Curry This is definitely among the most interesting interviews that I’ve done.
Posted in Communication
Snowpocalypse – not
pby Judith Curry Some reflections on the east coast U.S. snowstorm: the forecasts, their communication and the response.
Posted in Communication, Extreme events
What can we expect for this year’s Arctic sea ice?
by Judith Curry The seasonal forecasts of Arctic sea ice minimum have been submitted to annual SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook
Posted in Polar regions
Impacts of China’s hydropower boom
by Judith Curry China is engaged in a push to build hydroelectric dams on a scale unprecedented in human history. While being touted for producing lower-emission electricity, these massive dam projects are wreaking havoc on river systems across China and … Continue reading
Posted in Energy
Practice-relevant climate adaptation science
by Judith Curry Informing the extensive preparations needed to manage climate risks, avoid damages, and realize emerging opportunities is a grand challenge for climate change science.
Posted in Policy
Perspective from a weather forecaster
by Judith Curry The answer is the fruit of my labor, not the object of it. Because of that, you’ll look for anything to come up with the correct answer, not just a predetermined one where your self-esteem depends on it. – Joe Bastardi
Posted in Skeptics
Himalayan melt impacts
by Judith Curry A new publication in Nature Geoscience projects an increase in runoff from Himalayan catchmants during the 21st century, despite a decline in glacier size.
Posted in Climate change impacts, South Asia
How should we interpret an ensemble of models? Part I: Weather models
by Judith Curry Over the last two weeks, there have been some interesting exchanges in the blogosphere on the topic of interpreting an ensemble of models.
Posted in climate models
Frankenstorm
by Judith Curry Hurricane Sandy is the largest Atlantic hurricane on record in terms of diameter of the storm. Sandy was associated with an estimated 13 foot storm surge in areas near New York City.
Posted in Hurricanes
Improving weather forecasts for the developing world
by Judith Curry Global prediction partnerships would cost little and reduce the regional carnage caused by floods, droughts and tropical cyclones. – Peter Webster
Posted in Policy, South Asia
Hurricane (?) Isaac
by Judith Curry Tropical Storm Isaac is now spinning up in the Gulf of Mexico. The models have finally converged on New Orleans as the landfall location. Are better forecasts of hurricanes possible? New research is pointing the way … Continue reading
Posted in Hurricanes
Learning (?) lessons from Sandy
by Judith Curry America is growing more skilled – and getting better fast – at emergency response to disasters of growing geographical reach, cost, and complexity. But we can and should do more. America needs a comparable national effort and accompanying long-term … Continue reading
Posted in Hurricanes, Policy
Hurricane Sandy: Part n
by Judith Curry Hurricane Sandy is having many repercussions beyond the obvious damage.
Posted in Hurricanes
2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season
by Judith Curry So, what can we expect for the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season? All of the seasonal forecasts are coming in for a near or below normal year. But already, we have seen two named storms, before the official … Continue reading
Posted in Hurricanes
What global warming looks like (?)
by Judith Curry But since at least 1988, climate scientists have warned that climate change would bring, in general, increased heat waves, more droughts, more sudden downpours, more widespread wildfires and worsening storms. In the United States, those extremes are … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change impacts
U.S. weather prediction: falling behind
by Judith Curry “It’s a national embarrassment. It has resulted in large unnecessary costs for the U.S. economy and needless endangerment of our citizens. And it shouldn’t be occurring. What am I talking about? The third rate status of numerical … Continue reading
Posted in climate models