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Recent Posts
- Radiative energy flux variations from 2000 – 2020
- IPCC AR6: Breaking the hegemony of global climate models
- Dubious climate science about the Texas cold disaster
- Week in review – science edition
- Cancel culture in climate change
- 15 minutes
- The IPCC’s attribution methodology is fundamentally flawed
- New Confirmation that Climate Models Overstate Atmospheric Warming
- IPCC AR6 WG1 discussion thread
- Week in review – science edition
- Heat waves and hot air
- 5 minutes
- Climate Change, Extreme Weather, and Electric System Reliability
- Death spiral of American academia
- Week in review – science edition
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COVID discussion thread V
by Judith Curry A round up of recent interesting articles
Posted in Week in review
Week in review – science edition
by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye the past 7(!) weeks.
Posted in Week in review
Greater future global warming (still) predicted from Earth’s recent energy budget
by Patrick Brown A response to Nic Lewis’ post A closer look shows global warming will not be greater than we thought.
Posted in Sensitivity & feedbacks
Week in review – science edition
by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye this past week.
Posted in Week in review
Week in review – science edition
by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye this past week.
Posted in Week in review
Week in review – science edition
by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye this past week.
Posted in Week in review
The IPCC’s attribution methodology is fundamentally flawed
by Ross McKitrick One day after the IPCC released the AR6 I published a paper in Climate Dynamics showing that their “Optimal Fingerprinting” methodology on which they have long relied for attributing climate change to greenhouse gases is seriously flawed … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Brown and Caldeira: A closer look shows global warming will not be greater than we thought
by Nic Lewis A critique of a recent paper by Brown and Caldeira published in Nature that predicted greater than expected global warming.
Posted in climate models, Sensitivity & feedbacks
What’s the worst case? A possibilistic approach
by Judith Curry Are all of the ‘worst-case’ climate scenarios and outcomes described in assessment reports, journal publications and the media plausible? Are some of these outcomes impossible? On the other hand, are there unexplored worst-case scenarios that we have … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Climate modelers open up their black boxes to scrutiny
by Judith Curry Paul Voosen has written a remarkable article in Science about climate model tuning.
Posted in climate models
Reply to Patrick Brown’s response to comments on his Nature article
by Nic Lewis My reply to Patrick Brown’s response to my my comments on his Nature article.
Posted in Sensitivity & feedbacks
The politics of knowledge
by Judith Curry One needs to ask good questions about whose claims to trust and why. – Sheila Jasanoff
Posted in Politics, Sociology of science
Climate uncertainty & risk
by Judith Curry I’ve been invited to write an article on climate uncertainty and risk.
Posted in climate models, Policy, Uncertainty
Sea level rise: what’s the worst case?
by Judith Curry Draft of article to be submitted for journal publication.
Posted in Oceans, Uncertainty
Uncertainties in sea surface temperatures
by Judith Curry Two new papers have focused on the quality, uncertainties and interpretation of global sea surface temperature data.
Posted in Data and observations, Oceans
The art and science of climate model tuning
by Judith Curry We survey the rationale and diversity of approaches for tuning, a fundamental aspect of climate modeling which should be more systematically documented and taken into account in multi-model analysis. – Hourdin et al.
Posted in climate models, Uncertainty
Estimating the cost to America of damage from climate change in the 21st century
by Larry Kummer, originally posted at the Fabius Maximus website. Another peer-reviewed paper predicting disaster from climate change by misrepresenting and exaggerating the science. We can still learn much from it.
Posted in Climate change impacts
Manufacturing consensus: the early history of the IPCC
by Judith Curry Short summary: scientists sought political relevance and allowed policy makers to put a big thumb on the scale of the scientific assessment of the attribution of climate change.
Posted in Attribution, Consensus, IPCC, Sociology of science
Expert judgement and uncertainty quantification for climate change
by Judith Curry When it comes to climate change, the procedure by which experts assess the accuracy of models projecting potentially ruinous outcomes for the planet and society is surprisingly informal. – Michael Oppenheimer
Posted in Uncertainty
Week in review – science edition
by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye this past week
Posted in Week in review
Warming patterns are unlikely to explain low historical estimates of climate sensitivity
By Nic Lewis A critique of of a new paper by Andrews et al., Accounting for changing temperature patterns increases historical estimates of climate sensitivity.
Posted in climate models, Sensitivity & feedbacks
Insights from Karl Popper: how to open the deadlocked climate debate
by Larry Kummer, from the Fabius Maximus website. Many factors have frozen the public policy debate on climate change, but none more important than the disinterest of both sides in tests that might provide better evidence — and perhaps restart … Continue reading
Posted in Attribution, Scientific method
Global climate models and the laws of physics
by Dan Hughes We frequently see the simple statement, “The Laws of Physics”, invoked as the canonical summary of the status of the theoretical basis of GCMs.
Posted in climate models
Earth to Trump
by Judith Curry Defending NASA’s Earth Science Division, in terms that the Trump administration can relate to.
Posted in Politics, Sociology of science
Assessing atmospheric temperature data sets for climate studies
By Judith Curry It is therefore suggested to use either the more robust tropospheric temperature or ocean surface temperature in studies of climate sensitivity. – Cederlof, Bengtsson, Hodges
Posted in Data and observations
