Search Results for: uncertain

The Primacy of Doubt

by Judith Curry Tim Palmer’s new book has just been published: “The Primacy of Doubt: From Quantum Physics to Climate Change, How the Science of Uncertainty Can Help Us Understand Our Chaotic World” This book is a physics-intellectual feast.  Must … Continue reading

How we have mischaracterized climate risk

by Judith Curry “The current thinking and approaches guiding this conceptualization and description have been shown to lack scientific rigour, the consequence being that climate change risk and uncertainties are poorly presented. The climate change field needs to strengthen its … Continue reading

Dissipation, continuum mechanics, mixtures and glaciers

by Dan Hughes A brief continuation of previous discussions about calculation of viscous heat dissipation in the flow of liquids having linear stress/rate-of-strain constitutive description.

Solar variations controversy

by Judith Curry “The field of Sun-climate relations . . . in recent years has been corrupted by unwelcome political and financial influence as climate change sceptics have seized upon putative solar effects as an excuse for inaction on anthropogenic … Continue reading

An interview with top climate scientist Bjorn Stevens

by Nic Lewis This week Die Zeit published an interview with Bjorn Stevens. Die Zeit is the largest German weekly newspaper (circulation well over one million), and has a highly educated readership.  

The Penetration Problem. Part I: Wind and Solar – The More You Do, The Harder It Gets

by Planning Engineer There seems to be a belief that increasing the level of wind and solar projects will make subsequent progress with these resources easier. Nothing could be further from the truth.

Climate book shelf

by Judith Curry Reviews of new books by Steve Koonin, Matthew Kahn and Marc Morano.

Assessment of climate change risk to the insurance sector

by Judith Curry The insurance sector is abuzz with a new report from AIR Worldwide on the insurance risk from the impact of climate change on hurricanes.  Insurance industry clients of my company, Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN), have requested … Continue reading

Climate adaptation sense. Part III: Dynamic Adaptation Policy Pathways

by Judith Curry Best practices in adapting to sea level rise use a framework suitable for decision making under deep uncertainty.

Projecting manmade climate change: scenarios to 2050

by Judith Curry Stop using the worst-case scenario for climate change — more realistic scenarios make for better policy. 

The yin and yang of climate science

by Judith Curry How the duality of yin-yang can illuminate the climate debate and enlighten transformational research.

Week in review – science edition

by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye these past few weeks

Biases in climate fingerprinting methods

by Ross McKitrick Optimal fingerprinting is a statistical method that estimates the effect of greenhouse gases (GHGs) on the climate in the form of a regression slope coefficient. The larger the coefficient associated with GHGs, the bigger the implied effect … Continue reading

Week in review – science edition

by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye this past week

Green energy: Don’t stick Granny with the bill

by Planning Engineer (Russell Schussler) Renewable energy has an equity problem.  Energy policies that force consumers to incur huge costs to meet larger public aims become a hidden form of taxation.  Energy bills eat up much larger proportions of income for … Continue reading

Victims of the faux climate ‘crisis’. Part I: Children

by Judith Curry The apocalyptic rhetoric surrounding the climate “crisis” has numerous victims.  Children and young adults rank among the victims of greatest concern.

Crossing (or not) the 1.5 and 2.0C thresholds

by Judith Curry “The first rule of climate chess is this.  The board is bigger than we think, and includes more than fossil fuels.”  – Jon Foley

Comment by Cowtan & Jacobs on Lewis & Curry 2018 and Reply: Part 1

By Nic Lewis A comment on LC18 (recent paper by Lewis and Curry on climate sensitivity)  by Cowtan and Jacobs has been published, along with our response.

Climate Change, Extreme Weather, and Electric System Reliability

by Judith Curry I recently participated in a Technical Conference sponsored by the U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC).

What’s the worst case? A possibilistic approach

by Judith Curry Are all of the ‘worst-case’ climate scenarios and outcomes described in assessment reports, journal publications and the media plausible? Are some of these outcomes impossible? On the other hand, are there unexplored worst-case scenarios that we have … Continue reading

Don’t overhype the link between climate change and hurricanes

by Judith Curry Doing so erodes scientific credibility — and distracts from the urgent need to shore up our vulnerability to storms’ impacts.

Osman et al. 2021: a flawed Nature paleoclimate paper?

By Nic Lewis This article concerns the paper “Globally resolved surface temperatures since the Last Glacial Maximum” by Matthew Osman et al.[2]  (hereafter Osman 2021) published by Nature in November 2021.

The Sun-Climate Effect: The Winter Gatekeeper Hypothesis (II). Solar activity unexplained/ignored effects on climate

The Sun-Climate Effect: The Winter Gatekeeper Hypothesis (II). Solar activity unexplained/ignored effects on climate by Javier Vinós & Andy May “The complicated pattern of sun-weather relationships undoubtedly needs much further clarification, but progress in this field will be hindered if … Continue reading

Dynamics of the Tropical Atmosphere and Oceans

by Judith Curry Peter Webster’s magnum opus is now published: Dynamics of the Tropical Atmosphere and Oceans.

Committed warming and the pattern effect

By Nic Lewis A critique of the paper “Greater committed warming after accounting for the pattern effect”, by Zhou, Zelinka, Dessler and Wang.