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Search Results for: uncertain
How we have mischaracterized climate risk
by Judith Curry “The current thinking and approaches guiding this conceptualization and description have been shown to lack scientific rigour, the consequence being that climate change risk and uncertainties are poorly presented. The climate change field needs to strengthen its … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Solar variations controversy
by Judith Curry “The field of Sun-climate relations . . . in recent years has been corrupted by unwelcome political and financial influence as climate change sceptics have seized upon putative solar effects as an excuse for inaction on anthropogenic … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Climate book shelf
by Judith Curry Reviews of new books by Steve Koonin, Matthew Kahn and Marc Morano.
Posted in Uncategorized
Projecting manmade climate change: scenarios to 2050
by Judith Curry Stop using the worst-case scenario for climate change — more realistic scenarios make for better policy.
Posted in Uncategorized
Climate adaptation sense. Part III: Dynamic Adaptation Policy Pathways
by Judith Curry Best practices in adapting to sea level rise use a framework suitable for decision making under deep uncertainty.
Posted in Adaptation, Oceans, Uncertainty
Assessment of climate change risk to the insurance sector
by Judith Curry The insurance sector is abuzz with a new report from AIR Worldwide on the insurance risk from the impact of climate change on hurricanes. Insurance industry clients of my company, Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN), have requested … Continue reading
Posted in Hurricanes
Week in review – science edition
by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye this past week
Posted in Week in review
Week in review – science edition
by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye these past few weeks
Posted in Week in review
Crossing (or not) the 1.5 and 2.0C thresholds
by Judith Curry “The first rule of climate chess is this. The board is bigger than we think, and includes more than fossil fuels.” – Jon Foley
Posted in Uncategorized
What’s the worst case? A possibilistic approach
by Judith Curry Are all of the ‘worst-case’ climate scenarios and outcomes described in assessment reports, journal publications and the media plausible? Are some of these outcomes impossible? On the other hand, are there unexplored worst-case scenarios that we have … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Don’t overhype the link between climate change and hurricanes
by Judith Curry Doing so erodes scientific credibility — and distracts from the urgent need to shore up our vulnerability to storms’ impacts.
Posted in Hurricanes
Hearing – Climate Change: The Impacts and the Need to Act
by Judith Curry The House Natural Resources Committee Hearing on Climate Change will be livestreamed on their Facebook page.
Posted in Policy
The debate
by Judith Curry On June 12, I am scheduled to appear in a debate that includes Michael Mann
Posted in Communication
Comment by Cowtan & Jacobs on Lewis & Curry 2018 and Reply: Part 1
By Nic Lewis A comment on LC18 (recent paper by Lewis and Curry on climate sensitivity) by Cowtan and Jacobs has been published, along with our response.
Posted in Sensitivity & feedbacks
Dynamics of the Tropical Atmosphere and Oceans
by Judith Curry Peter Webster’s magnum opus is now published: Dynamics of the Tropical Atmosphere and Oceans.
Posted in Oceans
Climate Change, Extreme Weather, and Electric System Reliability
by Judith Curry I recently participated in a Technical Conference sponsored by the U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC).
Posted in Uncategorized
‘Alarmism enforcement’ on hurricanes and global warming
by Judith Curry I used to be concerned about ‘consensus enforcement’ on the topic of climate change. Now I am concerned about ‘alarmism enforcement.’
Posted in Hurricanes, Sociology of science
1.5 degrees
by Judith Curry The IPCC Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5C is now published [link].
Posted in IPCC
3 degrees C?
by Judith Curry Is 3 C warming over the 21st century now the ‘best estimate’? A reframing of how we think about climate change over the 21st century, and my arguments for 1 C.
Posted in Sensitivity & feedbacks
New paper suggests historical period estimates of climate sensitivity are not biased low by unusual variability in sea surface temperature patterns
By Nic Lewis An important new paper by Thorsten Mauritsen, Associate Professor at Stockholm University[i] and myself has just been accepted for publication (Lewis and Mauritsen 2020)[ii]. Its abstract reads:
Posted in Sensitivity & feedbacks
Special Report on Sea Level Rise
by Judith Curry I have now completed my assessment of sea level rise and climate change.
Posted in Climate change impacts, Oceans
Hearing on the Biodiversity Report
by Judith Curry The House Natural Resources Committee Subcommittee on Water, Oceans and Wildlife is holding a Hearing today on Responding to the Global Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services.
Posted in Climate change impacts, Consensus
Week in review – science edition
by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye this past week.
Posted in Week in review
Resplandy et al. Part 2: Regression in the presence of trend and scale systematic errors
by Nic Lewis In a recent article I set out why I thought that the trend in ΔAPOClimate was overstated, and its uncertainty greatly understated, in the Resplandy et al. ocean heat uptake study. In this article I expand on the … Continue reading
Posted in Oceans
Osman et al. 2021: a flawed Nature paleoclimate paper?
By Nic Lewis This article concerns the paper “Globally resolved surface temperatures since the Last Glacial Maximum” by Matthew Osman et al.[2] (hereafter Osman 2021) published by Nature in November 2021.
Posted in Uncategorized
