Search Results for: red team

Framing the challenge for the climate red team

by Judith Curry There is an opportunity to steer the proposed red team exercise in a useful direction.  The first step is to frame the problem to be addressed.

What is red teaming?

by Judith Curry Last week, Scott Pruitt, EPA Administrator, stated he intended to form a ‘red team’ to debate climate science.  What exactly is ‘red teaming’, and how can this be implemented in a way that is useful for climate … Continue reading

A ‘Red Team’ Exercise Would Strengthen Climate Science

by Judith Curry Put the ‘consensus’ to a test, and improve public understanding, though an open and adversarial process. – Steve Koonin

Long-range predictability of seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity

by Jim Johnstone and Judith Curry Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) has identified new early precursors for seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity that involve systematic, repeating interactions among ENSO, stratospheric circulations and regional North Atlantic processes.

Can Coal-Fired Plants be Re-Powered Today with Stored Energy from Wind and Solar?

by Davis Swan There is a consensus in many countries that burning coal to generate electricity is something that needs to be phased out as quickly as possible. The Clean Power Plan in the U.S. has that as one of … Continue reading

Structured expert judgment

by Judith Curry Any attempt to impose agreement will “promote confusion between consensus and certainty”. The goal should be to quantify uncertainty, not to remove it from the decision process. –  Willy Aspinall

Predictions of climate change impacts on fisheries can be a mirage

by Judith Curry A novel method for causal inference has been motivated by .  .  .  sardines.

U.S. weather prediction: falling behind

by Judith Curry “It’s a national embarrassment. It has resulted in large unnecessary costs for the U.S. economy and needless endangerment of our citizens. And it shouldn’t be occurring. What am I talking about? The third rate status of numerical … Continue reading

Climate science’s ‘masking bias’ problem

by Judith Curry How valid conclusions often lay hidden within research reports, masked by plausible but unjustified conclusions reached in those reports.  And how the IPCC institutionalizes such masking errors in climate science.

National Climate Assessment: A crisis of epistemic overconfidence

by Judith Curry “You can say I don’t believe in gravity. But if you step off the cliff you are going down. So we can say I don’t believe climate is changing, but it is based on science.” – Katherine … Continue reading

Admitting mistakes in a ‘hostile environment’

by Judith Curry Reflections on Nic Lewis’ audit of the Resplandy et al. paper.

What are the main sources of heat that account for the incremental rise in temperature on Earth?

by Judith Curry Suggestions for the climate ‘red team’ response.

A veneer of certainty stoking climate alarm

by Judith Curry In private, climate scientists are much less certain than they tell the public. – Rupert Darwall

Steve Koonin: A Deceptive New Report on Climate

by Judith Curry Red-teaming the the U.S. government’s Climate Science Special Report on the topic of sea level rise.

Reviewing the Climate Science Special Report

by Judith Curry Calling on CE Denizens to review the Climate Science Special Report:  nominate an official reviewer, or participate in the CE Crowdsourced Review.

Alarm about alarmism

by Judith Curry The climate change debate has entered what we might call the “Campfire Phase”, in which the goal is to tell the scariest story. – Oren Cass (twitter)

Consensus enforcers versus the Trump administration

by Judith Curry Tough days on The Hill for the enforcers of the climate consensus.

National Climate Assessment and the Trump administration

The National Climate Assessment must be redirected or terminated by Patrick J. Michaels Periodic National Assessments of the effects of climate change on the U.S. are mandated by the 1990 Global Change Research Act. The next Assessment Report is scheduled to … Continue reading

Discussion thread: reactions to House Hearing

by Judith Curry Climate Feedback has interviewed a number of scientists regarding the recent House Hearing on climate science.

‘Deniers,’ lies and politics

by Judith Curry House Science Committee Hearing:  where the so-called ‘deniers’ behave like scientists and the defender of the establishment consensus . . . lies.

Discussion thread – improving the interface between climate science and policy

by Judith Curry I’m looking for ideas and discussion on ways to improve what I regard to be a broken interface between climate science and policy.

Assessments, meta-analyses, discussion and peer review

by Judith Curry There is an unfortunate knowledge monopoly in climate science and policy – the IPCC and UNFCCC.  As a result there is insufficient intellectual and political diversity in assessments about climate change.  To break this monopoly, we need … Continue reading

We are all confident idiots

by Judith Curry Stumbling through all our cognitive clutter just to recognize a true “I don’t know” may not constitute failure as much as it does an enviable success, a crucial signpost that shows us we are traveling in the … Continue reading

Institutionalizing Dissent

by Judith Curry As many have argued, rigorous scientific research requires dissent, or what Robert Merton called “organized skepticism”. Yet it is increasingly the case that some forms of dissent in pharmaceutical research are either absent or unheard. – Justin … Continue reading

Hearing: A Factual Look at the Relationship Between Climate and Weather

by Judith Curry The U.S. House Subcommittee on  Environment is holding a Hearing today: A Factual Look at the Relationship Between Climate and Weather.