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Search Results for: decision making uncertainty
Climate Uncertainty and Risk: Table of Contents
by Judith Curry A preview of the contents of my forthcoming book Climate Uncertainty and Risk. Plus an update on the publication process and availability of the paperbook version for pre-orders.
Posted in Uncategorized
Climate Uncertainty and Risk: in press
by Judith Curry My book Climate Uncertainty and Risk has now been accepted for publication, following peer review and submission of my revised manuscript.
Posted in Uncategorized
The Primacy of Doubt
by Judith Curry Tim Palmer’s new book has just been published: “The Primacy of Doubt: From Quantum Physics to Climate Change, How the Science of Uncertainty Can Help Us Understand Our Chaotic World” This book is a physics-intellectual feast. Must … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Precision agriculture for South Asia
by Judith Curry An exciting new project for my company, Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) to support smallholder farmers in Pakistan and India.
Posted in Uncategorized
Climate Uncertainty & Risk: the presentation
by Judith Curry A 20 minute presentation on Climate & Uncertainty and Risk (including some content from my forthcoming book)
Posted in Uncategorized
Experiment with me: A user-friendly algorithm for chatting about climate change
by Joe Nalven I recently published one article about how to incorporate an AI chatbot as part of a college course. I focused on lying, persuasion and self-reflection. I went even further and anticipated a White House comprehensive plan to … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Climate adaptation sense. Part III: Dynamic Adaptation Policy Pathways
by Judith Curry Best practices in adapting to sea level rise use a framework suitable for decision making under deep uncertainty.
Posted in Adaptation, Oceans, Uncertainty
The yin and yang of climate science
by Judith Curry How the duality of yin-yang can illuminate the climate debate and enlighten transformational research.
Posted in Uncategorized
Climate scientists & politics: Simpleton versus wicked scientists
by Judith Curry In which wicked scientists are the good guys.
Posted in Uncategorized
New York’s Good Environmental Intentions Unsullied by Reality
by Roger Caiazza However noble the concept of eliminating any risks from any source of pollution, if it is construed to mean that anything that might be contributing to bad health must be prohibited, then there will be massive consequences.
Posted in Uncategorized
Five rules for evidence communication
by Judith Curry “Avoid unwarranted certainty, neat narratives and partisan presentation; strive to inform, not persuade.”
Posted in Communication, Uncertainty
15 minutes
by Judith Curry In a recent invited talk at the American Chemical Society annual meeting, I attempted to explain the climate debate in 15 minutes.
Posted in Uncategorized
Climate adaptation follies. Part II: scenarios of future sea level rise
by Judith Curry How did the state of New Jersey come to adopt sea level rise projections for their adaptation planning that are more than twice as high as the IPCC’s values?
Posted in Adaptation, Uncertainty
Science and politics
by Judith Curry “I’m reaching out to scientists this week about the election. How do you feel about it? Which of the candidates has the best plan, for you, in science and technology?”
Posted in Politics
How we have mischaracterized climate risk
by Judith Curry “The current thinking and approaches guiding this conceptualization and description have been shown to lack scientific rigour, the consequence being that climate change risk and uncertainties are poorly presented. The climate change field needs to strengthen its … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
A ‘Plan B’ for addressing climate change and the energy transition
by Judith Curry I have a new article published in the latest issue of International Affairs Forum.
Posted in Uncategorized
How the Disinformation Industrial Complex is destroying trust in science
by David Young Much has changed in science since the pandemic and much of it is change for the worse. The pandemic has highlighted the loss of credibility of the public health establishment and the often toxic nature of current … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
IPCC AR6: Breaking the hegemony of global climate models
by Judith Curry A rather astonishing conclusion drawn from reading the fine print of the IPCC AR6 WG1 Report.
Posted in Uncategorized
Challenges of the clean energy transition
by Judith Curry This morning I participated Conference on Energy and Decarbonization – A New Jersey Business Perspective. https://njbia.regfox.com/energy-summit. UPDATE: full recording of the conference [here]
Posted in Uncategorized
Uncomfortable knowledge
by Judith Curry On the misuse of science and scientific authority.
Posted in Policy, Sociology of science, Uncertainty
Truth or consequences: global warming consensus thinking and the decline of public debate
by Geoffrey Weiss and Claude Roessiger The so-called debate about the causes and effects of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) is a notable irony. Rather than a forum for free disputation, AGW has in recent years become the site of a … Continue reading
Posted in Consensus, Uncategorized
Escape from model land
by Judith Curry “Letting go of the phantastic mathematical objects and achievables of model- land can lead to more relevant information on the real world and thus better-informed decision- making.” – Erica Thompson and Lenny Smith
Posted in climate models, Uncertainty
How epidemiologists try to fool us with flawed statistical practices
by S. Stanley Young and Warren Kindzierski Climate Etc. recently carried several insightful posts about How we fool ourselves. One of the posts – Part II: Scientific consensus building – was right on the money given our experience! The post pointed out that… ‘researcher degrees … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Assessment of climate change risk to the insurance sector
by Judith Curry The insurance sector is abuzz with a new report from AIR Worldwide on the insurance risk from the impact of climate change on hurricanes. Insurance industry clients of my company, Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN), have requested … Continue reading
Posted in Hurricanes
The toxic rhetoric of climate change
by Judith Curry “I genuinely have the fear that climate change is going to kill me and all my family, I’m not even kidding it’s all I have thought about for the last 9 months every second of the day. … Continue reading
Posted in Communication