Search Results for: cfan

Precision agriculture for South Asia

by Judith Curry An exciting new project for my company, Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) to support smallholder farmers in Pakistan and India.

Climate Change, Extreme Weather, and Electric System Reliability

by Judith Curry I recently participated in a Technical Conference sponsored by the U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC).

2019 Atlantic hurricane forecast

by Judith Curry and Jim Johnstone CFAN predicts an active North Atlantic hurricane season season.

2019 ENSO forecast

by Judith Curry and Jim Johnstone CFAN’s 2019 ENSO forecast is for a transition away from El Niño conditions as the summer progresses. The forecast for Sept-Oct-Nov 2019 calls for 60% probability of ENSO neutral conditions, with 40% probability of … Continue reading

Climate adaptation follies. Part II: scenarios of future sea level rise

by Judith Curry How did the state of New Jersey come to adopt sea level rise projections for their adaptation planning that are more than twice as high as the IPCC’s values?

FIRE

by Judith Curry Subtitle: our failure to live in harmony with nature.

Assessment of climate change risk to the insurance sector

by Judith Curry The insurance sector is abuzz with a new report from AIR Worldwide on the insurance risk from the impact of climate change on hurricanes.  Insurance industry clients of my company, Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN), have requested … Continue reading

Coronavirus uncertainty

by Judith Curry My thoughts on coronavirus and deep uncertainty.

Climate adaptation sense. Part III: Dynamic Adaptation Policy Pathways

by Judith Curry Best practices in adapting to sea level rise use a framework suitable for decision making under deep uncertainty.

Special Report on Sea Level Rise

by Judith Curry I have now completed my assessment of sea level rise and climate change.

Don’t overhype the link between climate change and hurricanes

by Judith Curry Doing so erodes scientific credibility — and distracts from the urgent need to shore up our vulnerability to storms’ impacts.

CFAN’s forecast for the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season

by Judith Curry Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN)’s  first seasonal forecast for  Atlantic hurricanes is based on a breakthrough in understanding of the impact of global climate dynamics on Atlantic hurricane activity.

Beyond ENSO: new signals of seasonal to interannual predictability

by Judith Curry My new talk on improving seasonal to interannual climate predictions.

ENSO forecast for 2018

by Jim Johnstone and Judith Curry Attempting to breach the ENSO springtime  ‘predictability barrier.’

Long-range predictability of seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity

by Jim Johnstone and Judith Curry Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) has identified new early precursors for seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity that involve systematic, repeating interactions among ENSO, stratospheric circulations and regional North Atlantic processes.

Truth(?) in testimony and convincing policy makers

by Judith Curry Some reflections, stimulated by yesterday’s Congressional Hearing, on the different strategies of presenting Congressional testimony.

Hurricane Irma eyes Florida

by Judith Curry Cat 5 Hurricane Irma is one for the record books; it’s eye is on Florida.

Hurricane Harvey: long-range forecasts

by Judith Curry The 12 year drought of major hurricane landfalls in the U.S. is over, with catastrophic impacts in Texas.  Predictions of Hurricane Harvey illustrate the realization of extended- and long-range hurricane forecasts.

Hurricane Florence: climate dynamics context

by Judith Curry “Impending massive hurricanes bring the best out of weather twitter and the worst out of climate twitter” – Joseph Maykut

Causes and predictability of the exceptionally active 2017 Atlantic hurricane season

by Jim Johnstone and Judith Curry The good news: the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season is over.  The bad news: it was an extremely active season, with substantial damage in the U.S. and the Caribbean islands. What caused this extremely active hurricane … Continue reading

JC’s (un)motivated reasoning

by Judith Curry “I think open explorations of the ideological assumptions scientists bring into policy debates are not only welcome but often necessary for having productive conversations.” – Aaron Huertas

Hurricanes & climate change: detection

by Judith Curry I am preparing a new Special Report on Hurricanes and Climate Change.

The coming global demographic imbalance

by Judith Curry National security implications of the rapidly changing global population dynamic.

Post-mortem on the forecasts of Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew

by Judith Curry Reflections on forecasting hurricanes in light of U.S. landfalling Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew, highlighting the complexities of forecast ensemble interpretation.

JC in transition

by Judith Curry Effective January 1, I have resigned my tenured faculty position at Georgia Tech.