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Search Results for: cfan
Precision agriculture for South Asia
by Judith Curry An exciting new project for my company, Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) to support smallholder farmers in Pakistan and India.
Posted in Uncategorized
Climate Change, Extreme Weather, and Electric System Reliability
by Judith Curry I recently participated in a Technical Conference sponsored by the U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC).
Posted in Uncategorized
2019 Atlantic hurricane forecast
by Judith Curry and Jim Johnstone CFAN predicts an active North Atlantic hurricane season season.
Posted in Hurricanes
2019 ENSO forecast
by Judith Curry and Jim Johnstone CFAN’s 2019 ENSO forecast is for a transition away from El Niño conditions as the summer progresses. The forecast for Sept-Oct-Nov 2019 calls for 60% probability of ENSO neutral conditions, with 40% probability of … Continue reading
Posted in Prediction
Climate adaptation follies. Part II: scenarios of future sea level rise
by Judith Curry How did the state of New Jersey come to adopt sea level rise projections for their adaptation planning that are more than twice as high as the IPCC’s values?
Posted in Adaptation, Uncertainty
Assessment of climate change risk to the insurance sector
by Judith Curry The insurance sector is abuzz with a new report from AIR Worldwide on the insurance risk from the impact of climate change on hurricanes. Insurance industry clients of my company, Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN), have requested … Continue reading
Posted in Hurricanes
Coronavirus uncertainty
by Judith Curry My thoughts on coronavirus and deep uncertainty.
Posted in Uncertainty
Climate adaptation sense. Part III: Dynamic Adaptation Policy Pathways
by Judith Curry Best practices in adapting to sea level rise use a framework suitable for decision making under deep uncertainty.
Posted in Adaptation, Oceans, Uncertainty
Special Report on Sea Level Rise
by Judith Curry I have now completed my assessment of sea level rise and climate change.
Posted in Climate change impacts, Oceans
Don’t overhype the link between climate change and hurricanes
by Judith Curry Doing so erodes scientific credibility — and distracts from the urgent need to shore up our vulnerability to storms’ impacts.
Posted in Hurricanes
CFAN’s forecast for the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season
by Judith Curry Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN)’s first seasonal forecast for Atlantic hurricanes is based on a breakthrough in understanding of the impact of global climate dynamics on Atlantic hurricane activity.
Posted in Hurricanes
Beyond ENSO: new signals of seasonal to interannual predictability
by Judith Curry My new talk on improving seasonal to interannual climate predictions.
Posted in Prediction
ENSO forecast for 2018
by Jim Johnstone and Judith Curry Attempting to breach the ENSO springtime ‘predictability barrier.’
Posted in Prediction
Long-range predictability of seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity
by Jim Johnstone and Judith Curry Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) has identified new early precursors for seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity that involve systematic, repeating interactions among ENSO, stratospheric circulations and regional North Atlantic processes.
Posted in Hurricanes
Truth(?) in testimony and convincing policy makers
by Judith Curry Some reflections, stimulated by yesterday’s Congressional Hearing, on the different strategies of presenting Congressional testimony.
Posted in Politics, Scientific method, Sociology of science
Hurricane Irma eyes Florida
by Judith Curry Cat 5 Hurricane Irma is one for the record books; it’s eye is on Florida.
Posted in Hurricanes
Hurricane Harvey: long-range forecasts
by Judith Curry The 12 year drought of major hurricane landfalls in the U.S. is over, with catastrophic impacts in Texas. Predictions of Hurricane Harvey illustrate the realization of extended- and long-range hurricane forecasts.
Posted in Hurricanes
Hurricane Florence: climate dynamics context
by Judith Curry “Impending massive hurricanes bring the best out of weather twitter and the worst out of climate twitter” – Joseph Maykut
Posted in Hurricanes
Causes and predictability of the exceptionally active 2017 Atlantic hurricane season
by Jim Johnstone and Judith Curry The good news: the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season is over. The bad news: it was an extremely active season, with substantial damage in the U.S. and the Caribbean islands. What caused this extremely active hurricane … Continue reading
Posted in Hurricanes
JC’s (un)motivated reasoning
by Judith Curry “I think open explorations of the ideological assumptions scientists bring into policy debates are not only welcome but often necessary for having productive conversations.” – Aaron Huertas
Posted in Sociology of science
Hurricanes & climate change: detection
by Judith Curry I am preparing a new Special Report on Hurricanes and Climate Change.
Posted in Hurricanes
The coming global demographic imbalance
by Judith Curry National security implications of the rapidly changing global population dynamic.
Posted in Policy
Post-mortem on the forecasts of Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew
by Judith Curry Reflections on forecasting hurricanes in light of U.S. landfalling Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew, highlighting the complexities of forecast ensemble interpretation.
Posted in Extreme events, Hurricanes
JC in transition
by Judith Curry Effective January 1, I have resigned my tenured faculty position at Georgia Tech.
Posted in Sociology of science
