Search Results for: Bias

Climate science’s ‘masking bias’ problem

by Judith Curry How valid conclusions often lay hidden within research reports, masked by plausible but unjustified conclusions reached in those reports.  And how the IPCC institutionalizes such masking errors in climate science.

Gregory et al 2019: Unsound claims about bias in climate feedback and climate sensitivity estimation

By Nic Lewis The recently published open-access paper “How accurately can the climate sensitivity to CO2 be estimated from historical climate change?” by Gregory et al.[i] makes a number of assertions, many uncontentious but others in my view unjustified, misleading … Continue reading

How we fool ourselves. Part II: Scientific consensus building

by Judith Curry “Like a magnetic field that pulls iron filings into alignment, a powerful cultural belief is aligning multiple sources of scientific bias in the same direction. – policy scientist Daniel Sarewitz

How we fool ourselves. Part III: Social biases

by Judith Curry “Is the road to scientific hell paved with good intentions?” – political psychologist Philip Tetlock (1994)

New Confirmation that Climate Models Overstate Atmospheric Warming

by Ross McKitrick Two new peer-reviewed papers from independent teams confirm that climate models overstate atmospheric warming and the problem has gotten worse over time, not better. The papers are Mitchell et al. (2020) “The vertical profile of recent tropical … Continue reading

How we fool ourselves

by Judith Curry Crowd sourcing examples of fallacious thinking from climate science.

Death spiral of American academia

by Patrick J Michaels Earlier this year, Eric Kaufmann of the University of London published a remarkably detailed and comprehensive study of bias in academia, “Academic Freedom in Crisis: Punishment, Political Discrimination, and Self-Censorship.” Kaufmann’s writing is a product of California’s Center for the … Continue reading

How epidemiologists try to fool us with flawed statistical practices

by S. Stanley Young and Warren Kindzierski Climate Etc. recently carried several insightful posts about How we fool ourselves. One of the posts – Part II: Scientific consensus building – was right on the money given our experience! The post pointed out that… ‘researcher degrees … Continue reading

New confirmation that climate models overstate atmospheric warming

by Ross McKitrick Two new peer-reviewed papers from independent teams confirm that climate models overstate atmospheric warming and the problem has gotten worse over time, not better.

Climate is everything

by Judith Curry . . . according to the cover story of April 26 issue of Time Magazine. How have we have fooled ourselves into thinking that manmade climate change is the dominant cause of societal problems?

Climate scientists’ motivated reasoning

by Judith Curry Insights into the motivated reasoning of climate scientists, including my own efforts to sort out my own biases and motivated reasoning following publication of the Webster et al. (2005) paper

Week in review – science edition

by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye over the past several weeks.

New paper suggests historical period estimates of climate sensitivity are not biased low by unusual variability in sea surface temperature patterns

By Nic Lewis An important new paper by Thorsten Mauritsen, Associate Professor at Stockholm University[i] and myself has just been accepted for publication (Lewis and Mauritsen 2020)[ii]. Its abstract reads:

Week in review – science edition

by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye the past 7(!) weeks.

Why I don’t ‘believe’ in ‘science’

by Judith Curry ” ‘I believe in science’ is an homage given to science by people who generally don’t understand much about it. Science is used here not to describe specific methods or theories, but to provide a badge of … Continue reading

Public ClimateBall

by Andy West Although a game played on a relatively tiny stage, ClimateBall™ points to fundamental processes, which across the vastly larger global public stage and involving billions of meme transactions annually, have caused the emergence of a cultural belief-system … Continue reading

Comment by Cowtan & Jacobs on Lewis & Curry 2018 and Reply: Part 1

By Nic Lewis A comment on LC18 (recent paper by Lewis and Curry on climate sensitivity)  by Cowtan and Jacobs has been published, along with our response.

What the pandemic has taught us about science

The scientific method remains the best way to solve many problems, but bias, overconfidence and politics can sometimes lead scientists astray

Week in review – science edition

by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye this past week.

Osman et al. 2021: a flawed Nature paleoclimate paper?

By Nic Lewis This article concerns the paper “Globally resolved surface temperatures since the Last Glacial Maximum” by Matthew Osman et al.[2]  (hereafter Osman 2021) published by Nature in November 2021.

Week in review – climate edition

by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye these past weeks

Week in review – science edition

by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye these past few weeks

Week in review – science edition

by Judith Curry A few things that caught my eye these past 10 (!) weeks

Year in review

by Judith Curry A year ago, who would have thought that 2021 would be crazier than 2020?

Science and politics

by Judith Curry “I’m reaching out to scientists this week about the election. How do you feel about it? Which of the candidates has the best plan, for you, in science and technology?”