Category Archives: Consensus

Consensus angst

by Judith Curry

The public seems to have gotten the memo that climate scientists believe that humans are warming the planet, and the warming is dangerous.  They also don’t seem to care.

Continue reading

AGU: Enforcing the consensus

by Michael Asten

I have decided to reject the submission based on the significant scientific consensus regarding the question of human-induced climate change. – Eos editor

Continue reading

The Curry factor: 30 to 1

by Judith Curry

For balance, for every @curryja you would need 30 from mainstream. – Victor Venema

Continue reading

NAS/RS Report on Climate Change: Evidence and Causes

by Judith Curry

Climate change is one of the defining issues of our time. It is now more certain than ever, based on many lines of evidence, that humans are changing Earth’s climate. – Royal Society

Continue reading

The IPCC’s ‘inconvenient truth’

by Judith Curry

I have a fairly lengthy op-ed that has been published in The Australian.

Continue reading

Consensus denialism

by Judith Curry

Consensus denial:   attacking the expert consensus on human caused global warming.  - Dana Nuccitelli

Continue reading

True courage(?)

by Judith Curry

True courage is knowing when you’re wrong but refusing to admit it. - The Onion

Continue reading

Who is on which ‘side’ in the climate debate, anyways?

by Judith Curry

Well, if you judge ‘sides’ by what climate scientists have to say about the science, it is getting difficult to tell.

Continue reading

AGU Statement on Climate Change

by Judith Curry

Human induced climate change requires urgent action. – AGU

Continue reading

The 97% ‘consensus’: Part II

by Judith Curry

[T]here’s good reason to believe that the self-righteous and contemptuous tone with which the “scientific consensus” point is typically advanced (“assault on reason,” “the debate is over” etc.) deepens polarization.  That’s because “scientific consensus,” when used as a rhetorical bludgeon, predictably excites reciprocally contemptuous and recriminatory responses by those who are being beaten about the head and neck with it. – Dan Kahan

Continue reading

The 97% ‘consensus’

by Judith Curry

 Isn’t everyone in the 97%?  I am.  – Andrew Montford

Continue reading

Manufacturing consensus: clinical guidelines

by Judith Curry

Yet these and other guidelines continue to be followed despite concerns about bias, because “We like to stick within the standard of care, because when the shit hits the fan we all want to be able to say we were just doing what everyone else is doing—even if what everyone else is doing isn’t very good.” – Jeanne Lenzer

Continue reading

UN climate talks: no consensus on consensus

AFP - A debilitating row with Russia at UN climate talks this week exposed a fundamental flaw in how decisions are taken — the entire system balanced precariously on an ill-defined notion of consensus, observers say.

Continue reading

Consensus and controversy

by Judith Curry

This report outlines the main positions and debates surrounding the literally hot topic of man-made global warming.  Inspired by social studies of science and technology, the goal of the report is to document, describe and take stock of this potent scientific and public ‘battlefield’ that plays out arguably some of the more pressing issues of our time. – Emil Royrvik

Continue reading

Do scientific assessments need to be consensual to be authoritative?

by Judith Curry

The drive for consensus within the IPCC process, and its subsequent public marketing, has becomes a source of scientific weakness rather than of scientific strength in the turbulent social discourses on climate change. – Mike Hulme

Continue reading

Trusting (?) the experts

by Judith Curry

Mathbabe asks ‘Whom can you trust?’ and discusses trusting experts, climate change research, and scientific translators.

Continue reading

Climate change: no consensus on consensus

by Judith Curry

The manufactured consensus of the IPCC has had the unintended consequences of distorting the science, elevating the voices of scientists that dispute the consensus, and motivating actions by the consensus scientists and their supporters that have diminished the public’s trust in the IPCC.

Continue reading

The ‘hard won’ consensus

by Judith Curry

The extent to which a consensus is “hard won” can be understood to depend on the personal qualities of the participating experts.” Brent Ranalli

Continue reading

AMS Statement on Climate Change

by Judith Curry

The American Meteorological Society (AMS) has just published its new statement on Climate Change.

Continue reading

‘Consensus’ by exhaustion

by Judith Curry

Regarding the consensus-seeking process for the IPCC SAR:

It is diplomacy by exhaustion. And then it becomes consensus by exhaustion as we shall see. – Bernie Lewin

Continue reading

What climate sensitivity says about the IPCC assessment process

by Rud Istvan

If climate sensitivity is high, then modest GHG increases cause significant warming. If it is low, then significant GHG increases will not. Analysis of the IPCC assessment of sensitivity provides another window into the ‘government-climate research’ complex and its propensity to overstate future warming, misrepresent findings, and dismiss challenging evidence.

Continue reading

No consensus on consensus: Part II

by Judith Curry

I’ve been invited to write a paper on the topic of consensus in climate change.

Continue reading

Between tribalism and trust

by Judith Curry

By addressing the symptoms (lack of information and communication) rather than the underlying causes (lack of public accountability and transparency), the IPCC leadership is failing to adequately address the problem of restoring expert credibility. By using its communication strategy as a means of “gatekeeping,” the IPCC is exacerbating rather than solving the problem of public trust caused by the authoritarian and exclusive performance of the “establishment.” – Silke Beck

Continue reading