Category Archives: Consensus

The conceits of consensus

by Judith Curry

Critiques, the 3%, and is 47 the new 97?

Continue reading

Climate Change, Epistemic Trust, and Expert Trustworthiness

by Judith Curry

Among the best indirect indicators available to nonexperts is the overwhelming numbers of scientists testifying to anthropogenic climate change. Yet the evidential significance of such clear numbers turns substantially on our nonexpert assessment of these scientists’ trustworthiness. Absent trust, even without active distrust, the numbers’ evidential weight drops considerably. – Ben Almassi

Continue reading

Is the EPA’s Clean Power Plan legal? Lawyers and law professors disagree

by Judith Curry

We polled 130 environmental attorneys and law professors from around the country about the legality of the Environmental Protection Agency’s proposed Clean Power Plan. The results might surprise you. – Brian Potts and Abigail Barnes

Continue reading

A key admission regarding climate memes

by Andy West

Lewandowsky and Oreskes raise the prospect that via the agency of memes, the climate Consensus with its high certainty of danger, could be a socially generated artifact and not a scientific fact.

Continue reading

Scientists speaking with one voice: panacea or pathology?

by Judith Curry

The authority of a scientific body is not undermined by questioning, but rather depends upon it – Beatty & Moore

Continue reading

Against ‘consensus’ messaging

by Judith Curry

A decades’ experience shows that “Consensus messaging” doesn’t work. – Dan Kahan

Continue reading

Ethics of climate expertise

by Judith Curry

If deference to the authoritative opinions of experts is essential to our rationality and knowledge, and if that deference unavoidably rests on trust, not only in the competence, but also in the epistemic and ethical characters of our experts–then it is high time that we get to work on the ethics of expertise. Indeed, it is past time. – John Hardwig

Continue reading