Category Archives: climate models

Questioning the robustness of the climate modeling paradigm

by Judith Curry

Are climate models the best tools? A recent Ph.D. thesis from The Netherlands provides strong arguments for ‘no’.

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Applications of subseasonal weather forecasts

by Judith Curry

There is growing interest in the scientific, operational and applications communities in developing forecasts that fill the gap between medium range weather forecasts (up to two weeks) and seasonal forecasts (3-6 months).

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Will a return of rising temperatures validate the climate models?

by Donald C. Morton

The coincidence of the current plateau in global surface temperatures with the continuing rise in the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide has raised many questions about the climate models and their forecasts of serious anthropogenic global warming.

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Model structural uncertainty – are GCMs the best tools?

by Judith Curry

Rarely are the following questions asked:  Is the approach that we are taking to climate modeling adequate?  Could other model structural forms be more useful for advancing climate science and informing policy?

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On the AR4’s projected 0.2C/decade temperature increase

by Judith Curry

“For the next two decades a warming of about 0.2C per decade is expected for a range of emission scenarios.” – IPCC AR4

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The heart of the climate dynamics debate

by Judith Curry

Lennart Bengtsson’s recent statement on climate research has elicited a response from Andy Lacis, that directly points to the fundamental debate in climate dynamics.

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How simple is simple?

by Tomas Milanovic

This essay has been motivated by Isaac Held’s paper [link] arguing for possible emerging simplicity or even linearity in climate dynamics.

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