by Judith Curry
Tropical Storm Isaac is now spinning up in the Gulf of Mexico. The models have finally converged on New Orleans as the landfall location. Are better forecasts of hurricanes possible? New research is pointing the way for improvements, and more useful hurricane forecasts are becoming available from the private sector, particularly at longer time horizons and also with regards to landfall impacts.
Posted in Hurricanes
by Judith Curry
The American Meteorological Society (AMS) has just published its new statement on Climate Change.
Posted in Consensus
by Judith Curry
Predictions of global famine and the end of oil in the 1970s proved just as wrong as end-of-the-world forecasts from millennialist priests. Yet there is no sign that experts are becoming more cautious about apocalyptic promises. If anything, the rhetoric has ramped up in recent years. Echoing the Mayan calendar folk, theBulletin of the Atomic Scientists moved its Doomsday Clock one minute closer to midnight at the start of 2012, commenting: “The global community may be near a point of no return in efforts to prevent catastrophe from changes in Earth’s atmosphere.” – Matt Ridley
Posted in Climate change impacts
