Worst case scenario versus fat tail

by Judith Curry

 If we omit discussion of tail risk, are we really telling the whole truth? 

Continue reading

Climate change: what we don’t know

by Judith Curry

This past week, there have been several essays and one debate that provide some good perspectives on what we don’t know about climate change, and whether we should be alarmed.

Continue reading

Forest climate and condensation

by Douglas Sheil

Despite major investments in incorporating land cover in climate simulation models, much remains uncertain, especially concerning the influence of land-cover change on cloud cover and rain.

Continue reading

El Nino watch

by Judith Curry

All eyes are on the tropical Pacific Ocean

Continue reading

Open thread

by Judith Curry

It’s your turn to introduce topics for discussion.

Curry versus Trenberth

by Judith Curry

At the Conference for World Affairs, in Boulder Colorado.

Continue reading

Are academia and publishing destroying scientific innovation?

by Judith Curry

It is alarming that so many Nobel Prize recipients have lamented that they would never have survived this current academic environment. What are the implications of this on the discovery of future scientific paradigm shifts and scientific inquiry in general?

Continue reading